Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli predictions for this match in the German Bundesliga. Borussia Dortmund sit seventh in the Bundesliga with 10 points, while St. Pauli are 15th, having earned four points from six rounds. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Borussia Dortmund
St Pauli

Bundesliga | Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Predictions

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Can St. Pauli Hold Off a Relentless Borussia Dortmund Attack?

  • Dortmund’s Scoring Streak: Borussia Dortmund have scored at least four goals in each of their last three home matches, underlining the attacking threat they pose at Signal Iduna Park.
  • St. Pauli’s Defensive Struggles: St. Pauli have conceded 24 goals in their last ten matches, making them highly vulnerable, especially against top-tier opponents like Dortmund.
  • Both Teams to Score?: In three of the last four encounters between these sides, both teams found the net, although Dortmund have always outscored their opponents comfortably.

Our Tips

Over 3.5 Goals
11/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Inter Milan to win and both teams to score is a strong bet. Inter’s attack is firing, but their defensive frailties should allow Torino, who’ve scored 10 goals in six games, to strike.
Borussia Dortmund 4-1
16/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 4-1 prediction aligns with Dortmund's strong attack and St. Pauli's defensive struggles. Dortmund should dominate, though St. Pauli could score through Elias Saad. Over 3.5 goals remains likely.

Friday night football at Signal Iduna Park promises an intriguing matchup as Borussia Dortmund take on St. Pauli in what could be a goal-laden contest. While Dortmund sit comfortably higher in the Bundesliga table, St. Pauli’s form has been nothing short of worrying. Dortmund have gathered ten points from their first six games, currently placing them seventh, while St. Pauli languish near the bottom with just four points in their account. Both teams will be desperate to improve their standings, but with such a contrast in form and firepower, can the visitors really stand up to a rampant Dortmund attack?

With the home side having enjoyed five wins in their last six matches at Signal Iduna Park, it’s hard to see anything other than a home victory. But the real question is, just how many goals will Dortmund put past St. Pauli? The hosts’ recent goal-scoring exploits have left fans excited for more, and it’s difficult to see the visitors keeping them at bay for long.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals

Looking at how this game is shaping up, it’s impossible not to expect goals—and plenty of them. Betting on over 3.5 goals looks like a strong choice. Dortmund have averaged a remarkable 2.2 goals per game in their last ten outings, with 22 goals scored over that period. Defensively, they’ve been a bit shaky, allowing 1.9 goals per game, so there’s potential for St. Pauli to grab a consolation goal as well. However, Dortmund’s strength at home, combined with St. Pauli’s frailties, suggests this match could easily hit four or more goals.

St. Pauli, on the other hand, have shipped 24 goals in their last ten games. That is an alarming figure, particularly when going up against a side as potent as Dortmund. St. Pauli’s defensive struggles will likely be exploited ruthlessly by players like Karim Adeyemi, who has already been involved in several of Dortmund’s recent scoring blitzes.

“Given Dortmund’s attacking prowess and St. Pauli’s tendency to crumble defensively, this is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair. Expect goals from both sides, but most of them will come from the hosts.BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten confidently predicts.

In their last three home matches alone, Dortmund have hit a staggering 20 goals, and if they carry that form into this game, St. Pauli could be looking at a repeat of the kind of hammering they’ve endured in recent weeks. St. Pauli have lost eight of their last ten away matches in the Bundesliga and have struggled to score, averaging less than 1.5 goals per game. The fact that St. Pauli also tend to concede heavily away from home makes this bet even more appealing.

Additionally, Dortmund have an excellent recent record against St. Pauli, winning both previous meetings, including a 3-1 victory. Based on this history and current form, a similar, if not heavier, margin of victory could well be on the cards.

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Correct Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 St. Pauli

Backing a 4-1 scoreline for this clash might sound ambitious, but it aligns perfectly with both the best bet of over 3.5 goals and the teams’ current trends. Dortmund’s attack has been relentless, and with St. Pauli conceding at such an alarming rate, it’s hard to see anything but a heavy scoreline in favour of the home side.

While Dortmund have been known to let a goal slip in—conceding 19 in their last ten games—St. Pauli’s attack isn’t completely toothless. Elias Saad, who has been a rare bright spot for the visitors, may well find the back of the net. That said, Dortmund’s sheer attacking firepower should see them comfortably clear, and a 4-1 result seems a likely outcome.

The BettingTips4You.com Expert Rating gives Dortmund’s attack a strong edge, with Adeyemi and Guirassy in particularly good form. The visitors’ defensive woes, coupled with Dortmund’s habit of scoring big at home, make this prediction feel like a solid call.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!