Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz predictions for Tuesday’s Bundesliga affair. Mainz’s visit stirs painful memories for Dortmund, as their failure to defeat them on the last day of the previous season cost them the Bundesliga title. Can the hosts take revenge? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Borussia Dortmund
Match Live Tuesday, 19th December at 7:30 pm In:
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Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

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Dortmund’s Offensive Might vs Mainz’s Defensive Woes: A Predictable Outcome?

Key Stats
– Borussia Dortmund has only lost twice in their last 23 home league games.
– Mainz has scored more than once in only three of their 15 league matches this season.
– Dortmund has seen at least three goals in eight of their last 21 home Bundesliga matches.

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund welcomes Mainz to their stronghold, a venue where they have historically dominated. Dortmund’s impressive record of losing just two of their last 23 home league games underscores their home turf advantage. Meanwhile, Mainz, languishing near the bottom of the league table, struggles with a lack of scoring prowess, having netted more than once in only three of their 15 league matches this season. This backdrop sets the stage for a potentially one-sided encounter.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

£20 Returns £42

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming Bundesliga encounter, Borussia Dortmund’s Niclas Füllkrug stands out as an exceptional choice for a goalscorer bet, currently boosted to an attractive 11/10 from 1/1 by Bet365. This value bet is well-founded, given Füllkrug’s impressive form and Dortmund’s overall scoring prowess, especially at home.
Füllkrug, with a notable average rating of 7.20 and a scoring frequency of a goal every 226 minutes, has proven to be a crucial component of Dortmund’s attacking machinery. His ability to find the net from both inside and outside the box, coupled with his right-foot strength, makes him a significant threat. This season, he has already found the back of the net five times and created six big chances, indicating his impact in Dortmund’s offensive play.

Dortmund’s impressive home record, where they have lost just two of their last 23 league games, further bolsters the rationale behind backing Füllkrug to score. Their tendency to feature high-scoring games, with eight of their last 21 home matches witnessing at least three goals, provides a conducive environment for a striker of Füllkrug’s calibre to thrive.
Furthermore, Mainz’s current form and defensive vulnerabilities play into this prediction. Mainz, positioned near the bottom of the table, have shown a lack of firepower, having scored more than one goal in only three of their 15 league matches this season. Their struggles, combined with Dortmund’s attacking strength, particularly at home, present a favourable scenario for Füllkrug to add to his goal tally.
In summary, given the data and current circumstances, Niclas Füllkrug scoring at any time during the game offers not only a sensible but also a value-laden betting opportunity, especially with the boosted odds provided by Bet365.

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Dortmund’s Home Fortress

Dortmund’s Signal Iduna Park is a fortress where they have consistently displayed robust performances. Their attacking flair, especially at home, has been evident, with eight of their last 21 home Bundesliga matches featuring at least three goals. This statistic is a testament to their offensive efficiency and ability to break down opposition defences.

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Mainz’s Scoring Struggles

Contrastingly, Mainz’s offensive output has been lacklustre. Their struggle to find the back of the net, coupled with their position in the league standings, indicates a team battling to create and convert chances. This deficiency is a significant handicap, especially when up against a team with Dortmund’s defensive capabilities.

Key Areas and Managerial Analysis

The match could be decided in the midfield, where Dortmund’s creative forces like Julian Brandt and Marco Reus will likely dominate possession and dictate play. Mainz will need to be defensively astute to withstand Dortmund’s attacking waves.

Edin Terzić, Dortmund’s coach, has managed to create a team that is resilient and aggressive at home. His tactics will likely focus on exploiting Mainz’s defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Mainz’s coach Jan Siewert faces the daunting task of rallying his troops against a superior opponent, requiring a tactically sound and defensively robust approach.

Expected Lineups

Borussia Dortmund: Gregor Kobel, Thomas Meunier, Mats Hummels, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Brandt, Emre Can, Donyell Malen, Marco Reus, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Niclas Füllkrug.

Mainz: Daniel Batz, Danny da Costa, Sepp van den Berg, Dominik Kohr, Phillipp Mwene, Tom Krauß, Merveille Papela, Brajan Gruda, Marco Richter, Jonathan Burkardt, Ludovic Ajorque.

Dortmund’s lineup, laden with attacking talent, indicates their intention to dominate possession and create numerous goal-scoring opportunities. Mainz’s setup suggests a more conservative approach, aiming to contain Dortmund’s attack and exploit any counterattacking opportunities.

Tactical Analysis and Predictions

1. Match Outcome: Dortmund Win

Given the stark contrast in both teams’ form and Dortmund’s historical dominance at home, a win for the home side seems the most plausible outcome. Dortmund’s attacking prowess should prove too overwhelming for Mainz’s struggling defence.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Dortmund 3-0 Mainz

Considering Dortmund’s scoring rate at home and Mainz’s offensive struggles, a 3-0 victory for Dortmund appears a likely scenario. This scoreline would reflect Dortmund’s attacking strength and Mainz’s inability to penetrate Dortmund’s defence.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Niclas Füllkrug to Score

Niclas Füllkrug, one of Dortmund’s leading scorers this season, is a prime candidate to find the net in this matchup. His positioning and finishing abilities make him a constant threat in the opposition’s penalty area.

4. Team to Score First: Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund is expected to take the initiative early in the game, leveraging their home advantage and offensive firepower. Therefore, they are likely to open the scoring.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!