Bologna vs AC Milan Predictions

Bologna vs AC Milan betting predictions for Monday’s Serie A fixture at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. After a very active transfer window, Milan hope to begin their title chase with a win against last year’s revelation, Bologna. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Bologna vs AC Milan Predictions


£10 Returns £190

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change


AC Milan and Bologna Lock Horns: A Tale of Redemption and Resilience

Key Stats
– AC Milan lagged a staggering 20 points behind Serie A champions Napoli last season.
– Bologna conceded the joint-fewest home goals last term, an impressive tally of just 14.
– Stefan Posch of Bologna scored six times last season, a record for a Bologna defender since the 2001-02 season.

After a rather disappointing defence of their title last season, AC Milan are raring to start their 2023-24 journey. Their adventure kicks off against Bologna, a team they’ve often enjoyed playing against. Here, we delve into a comprehensive analysis of both teams and their recent history, all while leading to some bold predictions for the game.

The Rossoneri’s Recent Rough Patch

Last season, AC Milan found themselves lagging a whopping 20 points behind the champions Napoli. Their fourth-place finish starkly contrasted the celebrations a year prior when they ascended to the Serie A pinnacle. Chronic inconsistency, coupled with defensive and offensive frailties, led to a season to forget for Stefano Pioli’s men.


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The stats reveal a troubling tale: 10 draws and 8 defeats. Their Champions League journey was also cut short in the semi-finals by neighbours Inter Milan. To add salt to the wound, this summer saw some emotional exits: the dynamic Sandro Tonali left for the Premier League, Zlatan Ibrahimovic retired, and club stalwart Paolo Maldini departed amidst transfer market controversies.

However, every cloud has a silver lining. Their pre-season tour, although marred with defeats, should be viewed as a time of restructuring. The additions of Samuel Chukwueze, Yunus Musah, and Christian Pulisic promise to inject some much-needed flair and dynamism into the side.

Bologna’s Steady Ascent

On the other side, Bologna, under the stewardship of Thiago Motta, are slowly but surely making their mark. They finished ninth last term, and while they weren’t really challenging for European spots, they showcased a formidable defence, conceding the joint-fewest home goals.

Motta’s men have started the 2023-24 season on a positive note, besting Cesena 2-0 and advancing in the Coppa Italia. The responsibility will now fall on Joshua Zirkzee, especially in the absence of star striker Marko Arnautovic. Interestingly, Bologna’s track record at Stadio Dall’Ara on opening day is worth noting. They’ve only tasted defeat once in their last 11 opening fixtures.

Players To Watch

As the teams gear up for their clash, a few key players are poised to make an impact. For Milan, Christian Pulisic is expected to debut, partnering with Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao up front. Samuel Chukwueze, known for his dribbling prowess in La Liga, will likely feature, albeit from the bench.

For Bologna, all eyes will be on Stefan Posch. The defender had a remarkable previous season, netting six times – a record for a Bologna defender since 2001-02. The absence of Adama Soumaoro will be a blow, but Bologna’s depth will be tested with the likes of Riccardo Orsolini and Musa Barrow.


1. Milan to Edge a Victory

When looking at the trajectory of both teams over the past few years, AC Milan consistently show dominance against Bologna. Their track record, especially in season openers, is notably strong. Under Stefano Pioli, Milan have impressively won all three Serie A season openers they’ve participated in. Couple that with their historical performances against Bologna – where they’ve suffered just one loss in their last 27 league encounters – and it starts painting a picture.

Even when you break down the location specifics, Bologna’s record at Stadio Dall’Ara against the Rossoneri is dire, having not managed a win in their last 17 clashes there. Now, with fresh faces like Christian Pulisic on Milan’s side, there’s every reason to believe that AC Milan could have a slight edge over their hosts in this opening fixture.

2. A Tight 2-1 Win for AC Milan

Delving into last season’s statistics gives some more clarity. AC Milan averaged 1.7 goals per game, while Bologna averaged 1.4. While Bologna conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game, Milan had a tighter defence, letting in only 1.13 goals on average each game. Considering that both teams have undergone several changes since last season, the margins are expected to be fine.

With Marko Arnautovic’s departure, Bologna might feel the pinch in their attacking prowess, but the emergence of players like Joshua Zirkzee offers them hope. On the other side, with Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao expected to lead the attack for Milan, they have the firepower to breach Bologna’s defence. Taking all this into account, a narrow 2-1 win for Milan seems to be a plausible outcome.

3. Rafael Leão to Find the Net

Rafael Leão, who notched up 15 goals last season, stands out as Milan’s primary threat. As the top scorer for Milan in the 2022-23 Serie A season, Leão’s prowess in front of goal cannot be understated. He possesses the pace, technique, and finishing ability to unsettle any defence.

With Milan expected to enjoy a decent amount of possession and potentially create numerous chances against Bologna, it’s likely that Leão will be at the end of a few of those opportunities. Given his form and the probable chances that might come his way, backing Rafael Leão to find the net in this encounter appears to be a solid prediction.


£10 Returns £190

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!