Bodo Glimt vs Crvena Zvezda predictions ahead of this clash in Champions League qualifying. Bodo/Glimt and Red Star Belgrade face off in the first leg of their Champions League playoff, each aiming for a spot in the newly restructured group stage. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg | Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK at Aspmyra Stadion
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Bodo Glimt vs Crvena Zvezda Predictions
Can Bodo/Glimt Edge Red Star Belgrade in Crucial Champions League Playoff?
- Bodo/Glimt have kept a clean sheet in 31.5% of their Eliteserien matches this season.
- Red Star Belgrade have scored four or more goals in four of their five league games this term.
- Both teams have scored in five of Bodo/Glimt’s last six fixtures across all competitions.
Best Bet
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Bodo/Glimt will host Red Star Belgrade in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League playoff tie, with both teams aiming to secure a spot in the coveted group stage. The match, taking place beyond the Arctic Circle, sees the Norwegian champions hoping to build on their impressive European form, while the Serbian giants, with their rich history, are keen to return to Europe’s premier competition.
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The best wager for this match is backing Bodo/Glimt to secure a victory while the total goals remain under 2.5. This prediction is grounded in several key factors that suggest a low-scoring affair favouring the home side.
Bodo/Glimt have demonstrated formidable strength in their home fixtures, particularly in Europe, where they have made Aspmyra Stadion a fortress. Their current form in the Eliteserien, where they sit comfortably atop the standings, underscores their dominance. They have conceded just 0.9 goals per game in the league, which suggests a tight defensive approach in high-stakes matches like this one.
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Red Star Belgrade, on the other hand, have shown vulnerability away from home, especially in European competitions. Although they have a potent attack, averaging 3.6 goals per game domestically, their output tends to diminish when facing more disciplined defences like Bodo/Glimt’s. The Serbian side have struggled in recent Champions League campaigns, particularly in away fixtures, where they have often failed to impose their usual attacking rhythm.
Furthermore, Bodo/Glimt’s gameplay is likely to focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure while exploiting Red Star’s potential lapses at the back. Given their history of managing tight encounters at home, it is plausible that they will aim to keep the scoreline modest while ensuring they carry a lead into the second leg in Belgrade.
The under 2.5 goals aspect of the bet is supported by both teams’ tendency to adopt a cautious approach in such crucial ties. Red Star are aware of the dangers of conceding multiple goals away, and Bodo/Glimt, while potent in attack, will be wary of leaving themselves exposed. Thus, a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline in favour of the hosts appears to be the most likely outcome, making this combination bet a sound choice.
Additional Prediction
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Another plausible bet for this match is backing Bruno Duarte to find the net at any time during the game. The Brazilian forward has been in fine form for Red Star Belgrade, with four goals in five matches this season. His ability to score in crucial moments makes him a significant threat, even against a well-organised Bodo/Glimt defence.
Duarte’s knack for positioning himself in dangerous areas, combined with Red Star’s tendency to deliver crosses and set pieces aimed at him, enhances his chances of scoring. While Bodo/Glimt have been defensively solid, Duarte’s physicality and finishing ability could see him capitalise on any lapses, especially in the latter stages of the match when fatigue might set in.
Considering Red Star’s reliance on their forwards to pull through in tough fixtures, Duarte’s presence will be pivotal. Should Red Star manage to breach the home side’s defence, Duarte is likely to be the one making the breakthrough, making this bet a worthy consideration.
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