Blackpool vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

Blackpool vs Nottingham Forest predictions for Wednesday’s FA Cup replay at Bloomfield Road. Blackpool, having relinquished a 2-0 lead against Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup, have a chance to redeem themselves in the third-round replay at Bloomfield Road. Read on for our free FA Cup predictions and betting tips.

Blackpool
Nottingham Forest

FA Cup | Third Round Replays – Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Bloomfield Road

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Blackpool vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

£20 Returns £36

Reason for tip: Blackpool's strong home record at Bloomfield Road, winning 9 of their last 10, is balanced against Nottingham Forest's revitalised form under Nuno Espirito Santo. Forest's refreshed squad and experience, coupled with the high stakes of an FA Cup replay, suggest a cautious, evenly matched game, likely leading to a draw.

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£10 Returns £70

Reason for tip: A 1-1 draw is a realistic expectation, given Blackpool's home scoring average of 1.6 goals per game and attacking prowess, led by Jordan Rhodes. Forest's Premier League experience and offensive strength, featuring Chris Wood, indicate they can score against Blackpool's defence. Both teams' scoring ability and defensive frailties suggest an evenly matched scoreline.

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Bloomfield Road Showdown: Blackpool’s Home Advantage Clashes with Forest’s Renewed Vigour

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Key Stats
– Blackpool’s strong home record with nine wins in their last ten home games.
– Chris Wood’s tally of seven goals for Nottingham Forest, showcasing his threat as a forward.
– The contrasting ball possession stats, with Blackpool averaging 53.6% and Nottingham Forest 39.6%, hinting at differing tactical approaches.

The third-round replay of the FA Cup at Bloomfield Road sets the stage for a fascinating encounter between Blackpool and Nottingham Forest. This match promises a captivating clash of styles, strategies, and a battle for supremacy, with both teams bringing unique strengths and weaknesses to the table.

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Blackpool: Riding the Wave of Home Comfort

Blackpool, performing impressively in League One, have shown remarkable resilience and attacking prowess, particularly at Bloomfield Road. Their average BettingTips4You rating of 6.97, ranking fifth in their competition, is a testament to their consistent performances. With a goals per game average of 1.6 and a strong tendency to create big chances (2 per game), they exhibit a threat in the attacking third, primarily inside the box.

Strengths and Strategies:
  • Dominant Home Form: Winning nine of their last ten home matches, Blackpool’s home advantage is a significant factor. Their ability to utilise home conditions effectively, as seen in their FA Cup victory over Forest last season, suggests a psychological edge.
  • Attacking Versatility: With a blend of left-footed, right-footed, and headed goals, Blackpool’s attack, led by Jordan Rhodes and Jake Beesley, is versatile and adaptable.

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Weaknesses and Areas for Improvement:
  • Defensive Concerns: Despite a decent clean sheet record, Blackpool’s occasional defensive lapses, as indicated by errors leading to shots and goals, could be exploited by a Premier League side like Forest.
  • Midfield Battle: The midfield, while robust, needs to assert more control to match Forest’s Premier League-level intensity.

Nottingham Forest: Premier League Grit under Santo

Under Nuno Espirito Santo, Nottingham Forest has displayed a rejuvenated spirit, evident in their performances against top-tier teams. Their average BettingTips4You rating of 6.85, despite ranking 16th in the Premier League, hints at competitive displays against high-quality opposition.

Strengths and Strategies:
  • Premier League Experience: The experience and class of playing in the top flight give Forest a tactical edge, especially in challenging situations.
  • Diverse Scoring Options: With Chris Wood leading the scoring charts, Forest has multiple avenues to goal, including set-pieces and counter-attacks.
Weaknesses and Areas for Improvement:
  • Inconsistent Away Form: Forest’s struggle in away fixtures this season raises concerns about their adaptability in different environments.
  • Balancing Priorities: Santo’s focus on Premier League survival might lead to rotation and a divided focus, potentially weakening their FA Cup campaign.

Key Match Dynamics and Player Duels

The game’s outcome may hinge on key areas and player matchups. Blackpool’s attacking thrust will be tested against Forest’s Premier League-tested defence, including the likes of Scott McKenna and Willy Boly. The midfield duel, particularly involving Blackpool’s Albie Morgan and Forest’s Nicolás Domínguez, could be decisive in setting the game’s tempo.

Analysis of Expected Goals Averages and Gameplay Prediction

Blackpool’s average of 1.6 goals per game in League One contrasts with Forest’s 1.2 in the Premier League. This suggests Blackpool might be more proactive in creating scoring opportunities, especially at home. Forest, however, could rely on their tactical discipline and counter-attacking strategy to exploit Blackpool’s defensive gaps.

The gameplay is expected to be a mix of Blackpool’s attacking intent and Forest’s tactical countermeasures. Blackpool will likely dominate possession and try to break down Forest’s defence, while Forest may adopt a pragmatic approach, utilising quick transitions to catch Blackpool off guard.

Opinions on Managers and Tactical Approaches

Neil Critchley has done a commendable job with Blackpool, building a team that is formidable at home and capable of upsetting higher-division teams. However, his challenge lies in translating this form into consistency across all competitions.

Nuno Espirito Santo, on the other hand, brings a wealth of Premier League experience. His tactical acumen is notable, but his focus on league survival could lead to a diluted effort in the FA Cup. His rotation policy, while necessary, might disrupt team cohesion in crucial matches.

Expected Lineups and Commentary

Blackpool: Rhodes, Dembélé, Husband, Beesley, Morgan, Casey, Hamilton, Ekpiteta, Grimshaw, Norburn. This lineup indicates Blackpool’s intent to leverage their attacking strengths, with Rhodes and Beesley posing a significant threat upfront.

Nottingham Forest: Gibbs-White, Elanga, Turner, Wood, Domínguez, Awoniyi, McKenna, Boly, Murillo, Montiel. Forest’s lineup showcases their depth and Premier League quality, especially in attack with Wood and Elanga, who could exploit Blackpool’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Predictions and Rationale

  1. Draw at Full Time (Win-Draw-Win Market): The rationale for predicting a draw stems from a balanced matchup between Blackpool’s formidable home record and Nottingham Forest’s rejuvenated form under Nuno Espirito Santo. Blackpool’s tenacity at Bloomfield Road, where they’ve won nine of their last ten matches, positions them well against a Forest side that has experienced mixed results on the road. Forest’s refreshed squad, following a break in Premier League action, coupled with their quality and experience, may counterbalance Blackpool’s momentum. Additionally, the high stakes of an FA Cup replay often lead to cautious, tightly-contested matches, where neither team takes excessive risks. This cautious approach, combined with both teams’ capabilities to offset each other’s strengths, suggests a draw is a likely outcome.
  2. 1-1 Draw (Correct Score Prediction): A 1-1 draw appears to be a reasonable outcome considering both teams’ offensive and defensive qualities. Blackpool has shown a knack for scoring, particularly at home, with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Their attacking impetus, led by the likes of Jordan Rhodes, is likely to break through Forest’s defence at least once. However, Forest’s Premier League experience and recent form, especially in attacking play with Chris Wood as a key figure, suggest they are more than capable of finding the back of the net against Blackpool’s defence. The likelihood of both teams scoring, combined with their respective defensive vulnerabilities, points towards a balanced scoreline, with each team securing a goal.
  3. Chris Wood to Score (Goalscorer Prediction): Chris Wood’s recent form for Nottingham Forest, particularly his goal-scoring spree over the festive period, positions him as a likely candidate to score in this fixture. With eight goals this season, Wood has been a pivotal figure in Forest’s attacking setup. His physicality, aerial prowess, and poaching instincts make him a constant threat, especially against a Blackpool side that has shown occasional defensive frailties. Additionally, Forest’s style of play under Santo, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting set-piece situations, could provide Wood with ample opportunities to add to his tally.
  4. Draw at Half Time (First Half Result): Predicting a draw at half time is based on the anticipation of a cautious start from both teams. In high-stakes cup replays like this, it’s common for teams to adopt a more measured and strategic approach in the initial stages, avoiding early risks. Blackpool, aware of Forest’s quality, might focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure, while Forest, acclimatising to the away environment, could take time to impose their game. This mutual caution is likely to result in a deadlock at the break, with neither team able to establish a clear advantage in the opening 45 minutes.

£20 Returns £36

Reason for tip: Blackpool's strong home record at Bloomfield Road, winning 9 of their last 10, is balanced against Nottingham Forest's revitalised form under Nuno Espirito Santo. Forest's refreshed squad and experience, coupled with the high stakes of an FA Cup replay, suggest a cautious, evenly matched game, likely leading to a draw.

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£10 Returns £70

Reason for tip: A 1-1 draw is a realistic expectation, given Blackpool's home scoring average of 1.6 goals per game and attacking prowess, led by Jordan Rhodes. Forest's Premier League experience and offensive strength, featuring Chris Wood, indicate they can score against Blackpool's defence. Both teams' scoring ability and defensive frailties suggest an evenly matched scoreline.

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change; Stake Limits Might Apply; T&C's Apply; #Ad

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.