West Ham travel to St James’ Park aiming for a third consecutive victory, buoyed by an extended 11-day break. In contrast, Newcastle have endured a relentless schedule, with their Carabao Cup and FA Cup commitments taking a toll. Eddie Howe’s side have played 13 matches in 2025—four more than the Hammers—and fatigue appears to be setting in.
The Magpies’ injury concerns further complicate matters. Anthony Gordon is suspended, Alexander Isak faces a late fitness test, and Sven Botman and Lewis Hall are ruled out. Newcastle’s defensive struggles have been evident, conceding multiple goals in five straight games. Against an improving West Ham side, who are well-rested and adapting well to Graham Potter’s tactical demands, this encounter presents excellent betting opportunities.
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West Ham to Win
West Ham are priced as 23/10 outsiders to claim victory, but the circumstances suggest they have a strong chance of an upset. The Hammers have benefitted from a significant break, allowing Potter to refine his tactical setup, while Newcastle have battled through a congested fixture list. Fatigue has played a part in the Magpies’ inconsistent form, with four wins and five defeats in their last nine outings.
Injuries further weaken Newcastle’s chances. Gordon’s suspension removes a key attacking outlet, and Isak’s recent knock may limit his effectiveness. At the back, Botman’s absence is a major blow, with the Dutchman’s presence sorely missed in a defence that has struggled in recent weeks.
Meanwhile, West Ham are beginning to look more structured under Potter. They have kept back-to-back clean sheets and their defensive organisation has improved significantly since James Ward-Prowse was reinstated to the midfield. With fresh legs and a clearer game plan, the visitors are well-placed to capitalise on Newcastle’s vulnerabilities.
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Jarrod Bowen to Score Anytime
Bowen’s role has evolved due to West Ham’s injury woes in attack. With Michail Antonio and Niclas Füllkrug unavailable, Bowen has operated in a more advanced central position, thriving in front of goal. Since returning from injury, he has netted twice in four league appearances and looks increasingly dangerous in the final third.
Newcastle’s defensive issues further support this selection. They have conceded multiple goals in five successive matches and have struggled to keep clean sheets at home. Without Botman, their backline has been exposed, and with Kieran Trippier a doubt, defensive cohesion is lacking.
Bowen also boasts a strong record against Newcastle. Earlier in the season, he registered four shots in West Ham’s 2-0 victory at St James’ Park. While he did not score on that occasion, his current form suggests he has an excellent chance of finding the net this time around. His movement and finishing ability make him a prime candidate to exploit Newcastle’s frailties.
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Reasoning Newcastle’s fatigue and defensive injuries make West Ham strong contenders for victory, particularly with the visitors well-rested and improving under Potter. Bowen’s recent form and central role increase his chances of scoring, especially against a fragile Magpies defence. Meanwhile, Álvarez and Souček’s combative styles mean they are both well-placed to receive bookings in what is expected to be a feisty midfield battle. | |
Edson Álvarez to be Carded
Newcastle rank among the league leaders in drawing fouls from opponents, a trend that could see Edson Álvarez enter the referee’s book. The Mexican midfielder has received six yellow cards in 22 Premier League appearances this season, highlighting his combative style.
With Newcastle’s midfielders adept at drawing challenges, Álvarez will likely find himself involved in physical duels. His role as a defensive enforcer means he is tasked with breaking up play, often leading to mistimed tackles. Given Newcastle’s tendency to win free-kicks in dangerous areas, Álvarez’s aggressive approach could easily result in a booking.
Tomáš Souček to be Carded
Souček has been West Ham’s most frequently booked player this season, accumulating eight yellow cards. His physical approach in midfield makes him a prime candidate for another caution against Newcastle, who draw plenty of fouls due to their direct style of play.
With West Ham expected to spend periods of the game defending deep, Souček will be heavily involved in breaking up attacks. He will likely be tasked with disrupting Newcastle’s rhythm, increasing his chances of being penalised. Against a side that presses high and looks to win free-kicks, his disciplined defensive role makes him a strong contender for a yellow card.
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