Benfica vs Toulouse Predictions

Benfica vs Toulouse Predictions for this Europa League play-off round first-leg at Estadio da Luz. Toulouse visits Lisbon to play against Portuguese champions Benfica in the first leg of their Europa League playoff round on Thursday. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.


Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg – Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Toulouse Predictions

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Lisbon’s Litmus Test: Benfica’s Ambition Meets Toulouse’s Grit

Key Stats
– Benfica have been on a scoring spree, with 35 goals in their last 13 matches, showcasing their formidable attacking prowess.
– Toulouse, despite their domestic challenges, have proven their European mettle by securing points against formidable opponents, including a victory over Liverpool.
– Arthur Cabral’s recent scoring streak, finding the net in four consecutive games, underlines his critical role in Benfica’s quest for European glory.

As the Europa League playoff round beckons, a fascinating encounter is set to unfold at Estádio da Luz, where Benfica’s rich European heritage will be put to the test against Toulouse’s resilient underdog spirit. This match not only embodies the unpredictability of European football but also sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.

Benfica’s Renaissance

After a dismal start to their Champions League campaign, Benfica’s remarkable resurgence has been nothing short of cinematic. The late rally that secured their Europa League spot was a testament to their unwavering spirit and newfound offensive prowess. Under Roger Schmidt’s guidance, the team has found a lethal edge, netting an impressive tally of 35 goals in their last 13 outings. Despite a recent hiccup in domestic competition, Benfica’s form has been formidable, making them a daunting opponent on the European stage.


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The anticipated lineup, featuring Trubin, Bah, Antonio Silva, Otamendi, and Aursnes, underscores a blend of defensive solidity and midfield creativity. The forward line, likely spearheaded by Arthur Cabral, flanked by Di Maria and Rafa Silva, promises to be a relentless force, ready to exploit any defensive frailties.

Toulouse’s Tenacity

Contrastingly, Toulouse’s journey has been marked by domestic struggles, yet their European escapades tell a story of defiance and unexpected triumphs. The French side’s capability to transcend their Ligue 1 woes on the continental stage has been noteworthy. Despite the daunting challenge that lies ahead, their historic win over Liverpool in the group stages is a stark reminder of their potential to upset the odds.

Projected to field Restes, Mawissa Elebi, Costa, Nicolaisen, Diarra, Sierro, Spierings, Casseres, Donnum, Dallinga, and Babicka, Toulouse’s lineup is a blend of experience and youthful exuberance. Thijs Dallinga, the attacking spearhead, alongside Shavy Babicka, will be pivotal in Toulouse’s quest for a memorable outcome in Lisbon.

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

The midfield duel, particularly between Benfica’s Joao Mario and Toulouse’s Stijn Spierings, could be decisive in controlling the game’s rhythm. Moreover, the battle between Di Maria and Toulouse’s defensive flank will be crucial. Benfica’s fluid attacking movements and Toulouse’s counter-attacking resolve are set to define the contours of this encounter.

Predictions and Strategic Insights

1. Match Outcome: Benfica -1 Win

Benfica’s superior form, combined with their home advantage, positions them as clear favourites. The tactical acumen of Schmidt, coupled with their scoring form, suggests a comfortable victory for the Portuguese giants.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Benfica 3-1 Toulouse

Considering Benfica’s offensive firepower and Toulouse’s ability to find the back of the net in Europe, a 3-1 scoreline in favour of Benfica reflects a likely outcome. This scoreline acknowledges both teams’ current forms and attacking intentions.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Arthur Cabral to Score

Arthur Cabral, having found his scoring touch, is primed to be a key figure for Benfica. His knack for being in the right place at the right time, especially in crucial fixtures, makes him a strong candidate to score.

4. Team to Score First: Benfica

Given Benfica’s tendency to start strongly, especially at Estádio da Luz, and their cohesive and aggressive attacking play, it’s highly probable they will open the scoring. This early lead could set the tone for the remainder of the match.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.