Benfica vs Inter Milan predictions for Tuesday’s Champions League quarterfinal. Benfica hope to make use of their home advantage in the first leg of their Champions League tie with Inter Milan. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Tuesday, 11th April at 8:00pm In:
Benfica vs Inter Milan Predictions
£20 Returns £74  ----- £10 Returns £120  Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Key Stats
– Inter Milan are winless in their last six matches in all competition.
– Benfica have defeated both PSG and Juventus during the group stage.
Benfica vs Inter Milan Predictions: Benfica’s Stellar Home Record
Benfica have built their successes this year on a stellar home record. The Estadio da Luz has become a fortress for them as they have won 18 of their 21 competitive home games. Their only loss came against Porto, which may serve as a warning ahead of this difficult game against Inter Milan.
Schmidt’s men’s attacking force has been bolstered by Joao Mario, who is actually a former Inter player. The 30-year-old has been in sensational form, scoring 23 goals in 34 appearances and netting 12 in his last 13 outings. If Inter will not be able to contain Benfica’s prolific attack, there will be serious problems for Simone Inzaghi’s men.
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Additionally to Joao Mario, Benfica can also count on their young talent, Goncalo Ramos, who announced himself to the world with a hat-trick for Portugal against Switzerland in the last World Cup in Qatar. Ramos has already made his mark in the Champions League, having netted twice against Club Brugge in the last round, and surely will be a player to watch carefully as we get into the crucial part of this competition.
Inter Milan’s Struggles and Potential: The Need for a Turnaround
If Benfica are coming to this game in great spirit and confidence, the same cannot be said for Inter Milan. The Italian giants are currently in fifth place in the Serie A standings and have been struggling to find consistency all season. Even their Champions League campaign has been less impressive, with Inzaghi’s men barely making it past Porto with a 1-0 aggregate victory.
Inter are heading to Portugal on a six-match winless run in all competitions, which is raising concerns about their form ahead of this crucial match against Benfica. Further, Simone Inzaghi is at risk of being sacked, and most likely he will be fighting for his life in this tie, as an elimination from the Champions League would almost certainly cost him the job.
Despite their recent struggles, Inter Milan should not be underestimated. They have a European pedigree that cannot be forgotten, and players like Romelu Lukaku in attack, always capable of posing a serious threat to any team, even Benfica’s unbeaten home record. Lukaku, who scored the only goal across the two games against Porto, will be the key player for Inter Milan in their pursuit of a positive result in this first leg.
Head coach Simone Inzaghi will be under pressure to deliver a strong performance against Benfica, as Inter Milan’s recent form has left much to be desired. Inzaghi would have to come up with a strategy that takes advantage of Benfica’s weaknesses while stopping their attacks.
Benfica vs Inter Milan Main Betting Tip: Benfica To Win
| £20 returns £43 Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
The tactical battle between Roger Schmidt and Simone Inzaghi will be a key factor in determining the outcome. Schmidt’s attacking-minded Benfica will focus on maintaining their impressive home record and taking advantage of Inter Milan’s recent struggles. On the other hand, Inzaghi’s Inter Milan will need to find a way to contain Benfica’s potent attack while capitalising on their own offensive weapons, such as Romelu Lukaku or Lautaro Martinez.
Historically, Inter Milan has had the edge in head-to-head encounters, with three wins and one draw in four meetings, but it is worth remembering that their last encounter was nearly two decades ago, with both teams having changed completely since.
Benfica vs Inter Milan Value Bet: Benfica 7+ Shots on Target
| £20 return £64 Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
For our value bet, we are looking at Benfica shots on target, as I believe I have found a great price on BetVictor. You can get Benfica 7+ shots on target at the boosted price of 11/5, from 2/1, at the moment of writing. As mentioned earlier, Benfica’s focus is on a highly attacking style when at home, and this strategy won’t change against Inter Milan, who will try to contain and hit on a counterattack.
In the Primeira Liga, they are averaging 6.3 shots on target per game, but at home their average shots on target goes up to 9. Clearly, Inter are a strong team, so I do expect Benfica to have fewer than 9 shots on target, but for this number to be between 7 and 9 is credible, and there is very good value at this price, in my opinion.
Benfica vs Inter Milan Correct Score Prediction: Benfica 2-0
| £10 return £90 Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
In conclusion, the Benfica vs Inter Milan Champions League quarterfinal clash promises to be a fascinating encounter between two European heavyweights. With both teams eager to prove their worth on the continental stage, this match should be very interesting to watch. I expect Benfica to largely dominate this tie and prevail with a score of 2-0, which will put them in the driving seat ahead of the return match in San Siro.
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