Belgium vs France Predictions

Belgium vs France predictions for this Nations League game. Belgium and France face off again on Monday night in the UEFA Nations League, just a month after their last meeting, as both neighbours seek crucial points in their respective group campaigns. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League A | Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium vs France Predictions

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Can Belgium Stifle France and Keep Their Nations League Hopes Alive?

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
CHRISTOPHER NKUNKU TO SCORE OR ASSIST & FRANCE TO WIN
3/1 (was 5/2)
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  • Belgium’s Resilience Without De Bruyne
    • Belgium have remained unbeaten in their last 12 matches without Kevin De Bruyne, winning seven and drawing five, showing their ability to cope without their talisman.
  • France’s Away Day Woes
    • France have failed to win five of their last nine away matches, highlighting their struggles when playing outside of Paris, particularly against well-drilled opposition.
  • Belgium’s Grit at Home
    • Belgium have won eight of their last 11 home matches, showing their strength in front of their fans, a factor that could play a key role in this upcoming fixture.

Our Tips

Draw
12/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A draw appears to be the most sensible bet for this fixture, with Belgium's resilience at home and France's inconsistency on the road. Both teams face key absences, pointing towards a tightly contested match.
Draw 1-1
24/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, with both teams capable of scoring but showing defensive frailties. Belgium’s creativity through Trossard and Openda, combined with France’s attacking talent, suggests both sides will find the net.

As the UEFA Nations League heats up, neighbours Belgium and France are set to square off once again in a crucial Group A2 clash. These two sides, familiar foes on the international stage, meet for the second time in a month, with both nations desperate for a result to boost their campaigns. France, fresh off the back of two consecutive victories, are beginning to find their feet after an opening defeat. Belgium, on the other hand, are navigating a tougher path, slipping to third in the group and managing just one win from their first three games.

With Belgium hosting this time around, the atmosphere in Brussels will be electric. The home crowd will be looking for revenge after a 2-0 defeat in France just a month ago, but without the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, Belgium face a significant challenge. France, too, are dealing with a number of key absentees, including Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann. Both teams are undeniably talented, yet somewhat under-strength, making this a fascinating encounter where the margins for error are slim.

Best Bet: Back the Draw

Given the circumstances surrounding both teams, a draw seems like the most sensible bet for this fixture. Belgium’s resilience at home, coupled with France’s struggles on the road, points towards a tight contest that could see the spoils shared.

Belgium showed tremendous fighting spirit in their 2-2 draw against Italy last week. After a shambolic start that saw them go 2-0 down, they battled back, even after a controversial red card incident, to salvage a point. This kind of grit and determination will be crucial against a French side that, while dangerous, are not without their own vulnerabilities. France may have dominated the reverse fixture a month ago, but playing away from home is a different story. Didier Deschamps’ side have failed to win five of their last nine away games, a stat that should give Belgium plenty of confidence going into this one.

Despite the absence of key players like De Bruyne and Lukaku, Belgium have proven they can cope, going unbeaten in their last 12 matches without the Manchester City playmaker. Leandro Trossard and Lois Openda have stepped up admirably in recent matches, and their form will be vital if Belgium are to secure a positive result. Trossard, in particular, has been in fine form, contributing both goals and assists, and he will be a key figure in Belgium’s attack.

France, for all their quality, have also shown signs of inconsistency. They’ve only kept one clean sheet in their last three Nations League games, conceding four goals in that time. While they comfortably dispatched Israel 4-1 last week, it’s worth noting that Israel offered little resistance, managing just one shot on target. Against a more determined Belgian side, France may find it tougher to impose their will. Deschamps is dealing with a squad lacking some of its star power, with Mbappé, Griezmann, and N’Golo Kanté all absent. Although players like Bradley Barcola and Matteo Guendouzi are emerging as future stars, their inexperience at the highest level could see France struggle to break down a well-organised Belgian defence.

“Both teams are capable of brilliance, but given the circumstances, a stalemate seems the most likely outcome,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Emmanuel Nwankwo. “Belgium’s strength at home and France’s patchy away form suggest a draw offers the best value for punters.”.

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Correct Score Prediction: Belgium 1-1 France

In line with our best bet for a draw, a 1-1 scoreline seems the most likely outcome. Belgium have averaged 1.7 goals per game in this competition, while France have been slightly more prolific with 2.3 goals per game. However, both sides have shown defensive frailties, conceding at similar rates. Belgium, for example, have let in 1.7 goals per game, while France have conceded 1.3.

The key to this scoreline prediction lies in the fact that both teams will likely create chances, but neither has been watertight at the back. Belgium, buoyed by home advantage and the creative spark of Trossard, should be able to find the back of the net at least once. Openda’s pace and movement will cause problems for France’s backline, while Trossard’s ability to strike from distance could exploit any lapses in concentration from the French defence.

On the other hand, France’s wealth of attacking talent, even in the absence of Mbappé, should ensure they get on the scoresheet. Nkunku and Barcola, both in excellent form, are likely to pose a threat to Belgium’s defence. While France may not dominate this game as they did in the reverse fixture, their individual quality in attack should be enough to secure a goal.

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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.