Belarus vs Luxembourg Predictions

Belarus vs Luxembourg predictions for this UEFA Nations League fixture. Belarus face Luxembourg on Tuesday in the UEFA Nations League, after both teams recorded goalless draws at the weekend. Top and bottom of League C Group 3, they’ll compete for crucial points. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Luxembourg

Nations League | League C | Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at ZTE-Arena

Belarus vs Luxembourg Predictions

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Can Belarus Hold On to Their Promotion Hopes Against a Goal-Shy Luxembourg?

Best Odds Boost for this Match
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BORUSSIA DORTMUND TO WIN BOTH HALVES
11/8 (was 5/4)
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  • Luxembourg’s Attack Still Firing Blanks: Luxembourg have failed to score in their last five matches, managing just 0.3 shots on target per game in the Nations League.
  • Belarus’s Defence Holding Firm: Belarus have kept clean sheets in all three of their Nations League matches so far, conceding zero goals and allowing just 5.3 shots per game.
  • Goals Hard to Come By for Belarus: Despite their defensive strength, Belarus have only scored one goal in their last seven matches, a figure that underscores their struggles up front.

Our Tips

Borussia Dortmund -2 to Win
11/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A -2 handicap bet on Dortmund looks promising due to their formidable home form and Sturm Graz’s poor European record. Dortmund’s attacking depth should comfortably overcome Graz’s defensive weaknesses.
Borussia Dortmund 4-1
14/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 4-1 victory for Dortmund seems realistic, given their prolific home scoring and defensive gaps. Sturm Graz could exploit Dortmund's weakened backline but should struggle to match Dortmund’s offensive firepower.

As the UEFA Nations League approaches the business end of the campaign, Belarus are set to host Luxembourg on Tuesday night in what promises to be a tight affair. Both teams are in need of points, albeit for vastly different reasons. Belarus, enjoying a modest unbeaten start to their campaign, sit near the top of League C Group 3 and are eyeing promotion to League B. Meanwhile, Luxembourg, struggling at the bottom, are desperate to avoid relegation to the ignominy of League D.

Belarus are the nominal “hosts,” but as they have been forced to play their games in Hungary, the ZTE Arena will once again provide the stage for this encounter. Both sides played out goalless draws over the weekend, with Belarus holding Northern Ireland and Luxembourg settling for a stalemate against Bulgaria. With neither side exactly brimming with attacking flair at the moment, the upcoming match could well be defined by defensive resilience and a lack of goals.

Best Bet: Back a Draw

The first and perhaps most confident prediction for this game is a draw. Given the recent form of both sides, it’s difficult to see either team pulling away for a win, especially in a match where scoring chances will likely be at a premium. Belarus have kept clean sheets in all of their group stage matches so far, and Luxembourg’s blunt attack has managed only one point in three games. Both sides’ inability to break through defences is a significant factor here.

Luxembourg’s troubles in front of goal cannot be understated. They have failed to score in any of their last five games across all competitions, and their 0.3 shots on target per game in the Nations League showcases their glaring lack of creativity in the final third. Sure, Gerson Rodrigues returned to the side against Bulgaria, but he’s been far from his best and looks well off the pace, particularly after his move to the Chinese second division. His rustiness is unlikely to vanish overnight, leaving Luxembourg’s attack toothless once again.

Belarus, on the other hand, have hardly set the world alight in attack either. Scoring just one goal in their last three Nations League games suggests that while their defence may be solid, their ability to put the ball in the back of the net is far from consistent. Despite fielding forwards like Dmitri Antilevski and Yevgeni Shikavka, who have yet to find the net, they remain goal-shy. It’s hard to see where the breakthrough will come from, even though they might have a slight edge playing in Hungary, far away from the usual pressure of home soil.

“Both teams are clearly struggling for goals, and while Belarus are the more solid outfit, their lack of attacking bite makes a draw the best value bet,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Robin Bylund. “This could well be a 0-0 bore, but given Luxembourg’s desperation, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a 1-1.”

Belarus’s promotion hopes hinge on their ability to eke out results, and this could very well be another case of grinding out a low-scoring draw. But with neither side in scintillating form, the most likely scenario is a repeat of the cagey, uninspiring encounters that have defined their recent clashes.

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Correct Score Prediction: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg

In keeping with the expectation of a draw, the correct score prediction for this match is 1-1. As drab as the recent encounters between these two teams have been, there’s still a sense that, eventually, the deadlock will be broken. Belarus’s defence has been resilient, but even the best walls can be breached. Meanwhile, Luxembourg’s reintroduction of Rodrigues gives them a glimmer of hope, and perhaps their desperation will lead to a rare goal.

Belarus have scored just once in the group stage, a late winner against Luxembourg in the reverse fixture, so it wouldn’t be far-fetched to think they could nick another goal. However, given that they’ve blanked in six of their last seven games, scoring more than once seems highly unlikely. Luxembourg, as mentioned, have been toothless, but perhaps a moment of brilliance—or sheer desperation—will see them score their first goal of the campaign.

The logic behind this 1-1 prediction also aligns with the overall tightness of the competition. Both teams will be scrapping for any advantage they can get, but with neither side carrying much in the way of attacking form, a 1-1 result feels appropriate. Luxembourg will be hoping to break their goal drought, and Belarus will likely be content with a point as they look to stay in the top two of their group.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.