Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Europa League. Roma travel to Germany with a narrow 1-0 lead ahead of the second leg of the Europa League semifinal. Would that be enough? Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma
Match Live Thursday, 18th May at 8:00 pm In:
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Predictions

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Leverkusen’s Attempt to Overturn Roma’s Advantage in Europa League Semi-final Showdown

Key Stats
– Bayer Leverkusen have won five of their last seven home games across all competitions.
– Roma’s only away win in the Europa League this season came against Finland’s HJK.
– Florian Wirtz has scored three goals in seven Europa League appearances, with two coming at the BayArena.
Roma Face Injury Concerns Ahead of Leverkusen Clash

As Roma prepare to take on Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League semi-final second leg, they are grappling with injury concerns. Star striker Paulo Dybala is doubtful for the match due to an ankle injury, while Chris Smalling is unlikely to feature as he recovers from a hamstring injury. Mourinho’s defence is further weakened by the absence of Zeki Celik, Diego Llorente, Rick Karsdorp, and Marash Kumbulla. Fortunately for Roma, Stephan El Shaaraway is expected to make the bench.

Leverkusen Dealing with Injuries of Their Own

Injury issues are also plaguing Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen team. Robert Andrich (foot) and Odilon Kossounou (muscle) are confirmed to be out for the remainder of the season. In addition, former Roma striker Patrik Schick and veteran winger Karim Bellarabi (muscle) remain sidelined due to injuries.

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Analysing the Team Performances

Bayer Leverkusen boasts an impressive home record, with five wins in their last seven home games. On the other hand, Roma’s away form has been less than ideal, going winless in their last four away games (D2, L2). In this season’s Europa League, Roma’s sole away win came against Finland’s HJK in the group stages.

As Roma holds a slim 1-0 lead from the first leg, this tie is delicately balanced. Bayer Leverkusen’s home advantage could prove crucial in determining the outcome of this semi-final clash.

Florian Wirtz Could Make The Difference

Florian Wirtz, the young and talented midfielder for Bayer Leverkusen, has emerged as a key player for the team this season. With his eye for goal and impressive performances both in the Bundesliga and Europa League, Wirtz is a prime candidate to find the back of the net against Roma in the upcoming semi-final clash.

Taking a closer look at the data, Wirtz has played a total of 15 matches in the Bundesliga, starting in nine of them. In these appearances, he has managed to score one goal, with an expected goals (xG) of 0.73. This shows that he has been creating opportunities and getting into good scoring positions, despite not always converting them. His goal conversion rate of 17% further emphasises his ability to make an impact in front of goal.

Moreover, Wirtz has been instrumental in creating chances for his teammates. He has provided six assists, with an expected assists (xA) of 2.69. This highlights his exceptional vision and passing ability, which often help to unlock defences and create goal-scoring opportunities. In addition, Wirtz has been successful in 60% of his dribbles, showing his ability to beat opponents and penetrate defensive lines.

In the Europa League, Wirtz has particularly thrived on home turf. He has scored two of his three goals at the BayArena, demonstrating his comfort and confidence when playing in front of the home crowd. One of these goals came against Union SG in the previous round, further underlining his ability to deliver in crucial moments.

Considering Bayer Leverkusen’s strong home record, Wirtz’s impressive stats in the competition, and his penchant for scoring at the BayArena, it seems highly likely that the talented midfielder will make his mark on the scoresheet in the upcoming match against Roma.

The Aspirins Are Solid At Home

All considered, I predict a 2-0 victory for Bayer Leverkusen in the correct score market. This is likely to be a close affair, but there are key factors that push me to lean towards the Germans. 

Bayer Leverkusen have an impressive home record, with five wins in their last seven home games across all competitions. This highlights their ability to perform well and secure victories at the BayArena. Conversely, Roma have struggled on the road, remaining winless in their last four away matches (D2, L2) and only managing a single away win in this competition during the group stages against HJK of Finland. This contrast in form sets the stage for Bayer Leverkusen to take control of the match and capitalise on their home advantage.

Roma’s defence has been underwhelming during their away matches, especially with key defenders like Chris Smalling, Diego Llorente, Rick Karsdorp, and Marash Kumbulla all missing or doubtful for the match. This leaves their backline vulnerable, providing Bayer Leverkusen with an opportunity to exploit these weaknesses and score goals.

A 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen would allow them to progress to the final without the need for extra time, considering Roma’s current 1-0 lead from the first leg.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!