Barcelona vs PSG Predictions

Barcelona vs PSG predictions for this Champions League tie. Paris Saint-Germain had a free weekend to rest before facing Barcelona in the second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals. Given Barcelona’s recent string of victories, PSG will need this advantage. Read on for all our free Champions League predictions and betting tips.

Barcelona
PSG

Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg – Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK at Lluís Companys Olympic Stadium

Barcelona vs PSG Predictions

Football Tip 60

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Champions League Showdown: Barcelona vs PSG—A Tactical Battle Set to Light Up the Night

Key Stats

– Barcelona has not lost a game since January, showcasing formidable form as they head into the quarter-final second leg.

– PSG’s Kylian Mbappé has scored 24 goals this season, highlighting his crucial role in PSG’s attack.

– Both teams have scored in all of Barcelona’s last five Champions League matches, underscoring the attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities involved.

As Barcelona and Paris Saint-Germain prepare to face off in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, the tie is delicately balanced following a pulsating 3-2 victory for Barcelona in Paris.

With a crucial advantage, Barcelona will aim to consolidate their position, while PSG knows that only a win will suffice to overturn their deficit. This setup promises another electrifying encounter between two of Europe’s footballing powerhouses.

Tactical Dynamics

Barcelona’s recent form has been formidable, demonstrating a blend of tactical flexibility and clinical finishing. Xavi’s men have shown they can control games through their dominant possession-based style, averaging a La Liga high of 64.8% ball possession, which they are likely to leverage to manage the game pace against PSG.

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In contrast, PSG, under Christophe Galtier, are no strangers to the pressing need for attacking football, especially when trailing. With an average of 2.3 goals per game in Ligue 1, their approach in Barcelona will need to be one of calculated risks.

Expected Lineups and Key Battles

Barcelona is expected to field a strong lineup despite the suspensions, with İlkay Gündoğan and Frenkie de Jong controlling the midfield, supported by the relentless energy of João Cancelo and Raphinha on the flanks. For PSG, the focus will be on Kylian Mbappé, whose pace and precision will be crucial in exploiting any spaces left by Barcelona’s attacking setup.

Barcelona’s Expected Lineup:

  • Ter Stegen; Cancelo, Koundé, Piqué, Alba; Gündoğan, de Jong, Pedri; Raphinha, Lewandowski, Torres

PSG’s Expected Lineup:

  • Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Ramos, Mendes; Verratti, Vitinha, Ruiz; Messi, Mbappé, Neymar

The key duels to watch will be between João Cancelo and Achraf Hakimi, two of the most dynamic full-backs in the game, and the midfield tussle between Gündoğan and Vitinha, which could dictate the tempo and control of the match.

Predictions and Rationale

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Best Bet: Barcelona to Win and Over 3.5 Goals

Barcelona’s current form and offensive strength suggest they are capable of securing a win, especially at home, while the game’s dynamics hint at a high-scoring affair. Both Barcelona and PSG possess formidable attacking line-ups, capable of producing goals in quick succession. Given Barcelona’s intention to solidify their first-leg advantage and PSG’s necessity to attack in order to reverse their deficit, this match is likely to witness at least four goals.

The inclusion of world-class forwards such as Robert Lewandowski for Barcelona and Kylian Mbappé for PSG, combined with the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both teams in high-pressure games, makes this scenario particularly plausible. This betting angle captures both the likely winner and the expected goal tally, aligning with the offensive trends and stakes of this pivotal Champions League encounter.

Correct Score Prediction: Barcelona 3-1 PSG

This prediction aligns with the best bet and reflects a balanced view of the game, where Barcelona leverages their home advantage to edge past PSG. The scoreline of 3-1 suggests a close encounter, fitting for a clash of this magnitude in the Champions League.

Barcelona’s ability to control the game at home and their clinical finishing could see them through, while PSG’s desperation to overturn a deficit should see them find the net at least once. This outcome would see Barcelona progress, capitalising on their slight lead from the first leg and their solid home form.

Goalscorer Prediction: Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski’s goal-scoring record speaks volumes, and his knack for finding the net in crucial matches makes him a prime candidate to score in the upcoming fixture.

Given PSG’s aggressive approach to overturn the deficit, spaces are likely to open up, which Lewandowski can exploit. His positioning, experience, and composure make him a constant threat, especially in matches where the stakes are high. Betting on Lewandowski to score anytime is backed by his impressive tally this season and his history of performing in big games.

Corner Prediction: More Corners for Barcelona

Barcelona’s style of play, which often involves maintaining possession and delivering crosses into the box from wide areas, typically generates a higher number of corners. With the team’s focus on attacking through the flanks, where players like Raphinha and João Cancelo are stationed, it’s expected that Barcelona will win more corners than PSG.

This game’s dynamic, with Barcelona likely attacking more to secure their advancement and PSG trying to respond, suggests a high number of corners, possibly exceeding ten for the match, with the majority being in Barcelona’s favour. This is also indicative of the pressing style and the need to create scoring opportunities from set-pieces.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.