Barcelona vs Alaves predictions for Sunday’s La Liga affair at the Estadio Olimpico. Barcelona, who sit third in La Liga, will be looking to get back to winning ways after the defeat in midweek in Europe. Can they do so against a struggling Alaves? Read on for our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.
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Match Live Sunday, 12th November at 3:15 pm In:
Barcelona vs Alaves Predictions
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Strategic Analysis: Barcelona vs Alaves – Tactical Battles, Key Match-Ups, and Predictions
Key Stats
– Alaves has conceded only 16 goals, highlighting their defensive resilience.
– Barcelona has won eight out of their 12 league matches, indicating a strong domestic form.
As Barcelona gears up to host Alaves at Camp Nou this Sunday, the focus intensifies on Xavi’s squad, seeking redemption after their recent Champions League setback. While Barcelona battles to maintain their La Liga title contention, Alaves enters this match with the momentum of back-to-back wins, including a recent triumph over Almeria.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Gundogan’s average BettingTips4You rating of 7.29, accentuated by noteworthy showings against Sevilla and Real Sociedad, indicates his consistent influence in Barcelona’s midfield. His attacking contribution isn’t just limited to orchestrating plays; he’s also actively involved in goal-scoring opportunities. With an average of 0.9 shots per game and a significant portion hitting the target, Gundogan’s likelihood of registering at least one shot on target in this match is high.
Barcelona, under Xavi’s management, is known for their possession-based style, often resulting in numerous shooting opportunities. Gundogan, with his ability to find spaces and his tendency to take shots from midfield, fits perfectly into this system. Against an Alaves side that has been defensively sound but may be forced to defend deep, opportunities are likely to arise for midfielders like Gundogan to attempt shots from distance.
Given Barcelona’s tactical approach, and with key players like Gavi and Frenkie de Jong unavailable, there’s an onus on Gundogan to step up in terms of offensive contributions. His proficiency in accurate passing and creating big chances, coupled with his tendency to shoot, makes the bet of over 0.5 shots on target a sensible and value-laden choice in this context.
It’s important to note that betting odds are subject to change, and terms and conditions apply, as indicated by Bet365. However, based on current data and match dynamics, Gundogan’s chance of registering on-target shots seems promising.
Barcelona’s Current Form and Challenges: Barcelona’s season has been a tale of fluctuating fortunes. Despite an impressive start, they stumbled with a 2-1 home defeat to Real Madrid and a recent loss to Shakhtar Donetsk, leaving their Champions League ambitions hanging by a thread. Their La Liga campaign, marked by eight wins and a lone defeat, places them third in the standings – trailing behind Real Madrid and the surprise leaders Girona.
Xavi faces the challenge of rallying his team without key players like Gavi, Sergi Roberto, and Frenkie de Jong. The anticipated changes in the lineup, with Joao Felix and others likely stepping in, could offer fresh dynamics but also pose the risk of disrupting established rhythms.
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Alaves’ Defensive Solidity and Scoring Woes: Alaves, promoted through the Segunda Division playoffs, have shown defensive resilience, conceding just 16 goals. However, their struggle upfront is evident, being joint-lowest scorers in the division. Luis Garcia’s side will rely heavily on their defensive discipline, with Rafa Marin expected to replace the injured Sedlar.
Tactical Match-Up: Barcelona, known for their possession-based, attacking football, will look to exploit Alaves’ defensive line, which might sit deep to absorb pressure. The key for Barcelona lies in breaking down this resilience, possibly through the creative prowess of players like Pedri, who’s gaining match sharpness.
Alaves, on the other hand, might adopt a counter-attacking strategy, capitalising on any overcommitment from Barcelona’s end. Antonio Blanco’s midfield role could be crucial in transitioning from defence to attack.
Expected Goals Analysis: Barcelona, with their attacking flair, is expected to have a higher xG compared to Alaves. Their ability to create and convert chances will be pivotal in this encounter.
Key Battles: The match could pivot on the midfield duel, where Barcelona’s creativity meets Alaves’ defensive organization. How Barcelona navigates through Alaves’ compact structure will be intriguing.
Our Take: While Xavi’s tactical acumen has been commendable, criticism looms over his inability to convert dominant performances into consistent results. The clash against Alaves presents an opportunity to silence doubters. For Alaves, the match is more about survival than spectacle. Their aim will be to frustrate Barcelona and snatch a point in a David vs. Goliath encounter.
Predictions:
- Win-Draw-Win Market: Considering Barcelona’s home advantage and Alaves’ struggle for goals, Barcelona emerges as the likely winner.
- Correct Score Prediction: A 2-0 victory for Barcelona seems plausible, given their need to respond strongly after their European disappointment.
- Goalscorer Prediction: In the absence of Gavi and with De Jong sidelined, the responsibility might fall on Joao Felix to find the net.
- First Half Result: Barcelona’s urgency to assert dominance early could see them leading at half-time.
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