Azerbaijan vs Slovakia Predictions

Azerbaijan vs Slovakia predictions for this Nations League fixture. Slovakia will look to get back to winning form in their UEFA Nations League Group 1 clash against Azerbaijan on Monday night, aiming to boost their 2024-25 campaign. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League C | Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK at Ədliyya stadionu

Azerbaijan vs Slovakia Predictions

Can Slovakia Pile More Misery on Azerbaijan?

• Azerbaijan’s leaky defence: With 2.7 goals conceded per game, Azerbaijan’s defence has been breached far too easily in the Nations League, raising concerns about their ability to stop a confident Slovakia side.
• Slovakia’s clinical attack: Slovakia have averaged 17.3 shots per game in this competition, showing their ability to create chances. In contrast, Azerbaijan’s attacking efforts have been erratic, with only 0.7 goals per game.
• David Strelec’s scoring form: The Slovakian striker has been key for his side, scoring three goals in three matches, including a brace in their last outing against Sweden. Expect him to play a pivotal role again.

Our Tips

As the UEFA Nations League progresses, Slovakia travel to face Azerbaijan in what promises to be a pivotal encounter for both teams. Slovakia, sitting second in the group, are level on points with group leaders Sweden and will be looking to capitalise on this fixture to potentially claim top spot. On the other hand, Azerbaijan are languishing at the bottom of the table, yet to secure a single point from their three matches, and desperately searching for a way to turn their fortunes around.

Azerbaijan’s recent form has been woeful, and their new manager Fernando Santos is under immense pressure to deliver some sort of result. Having lost all three matches so far, the national team have struggled to find a cohesive strategy under the Portuguese boss. They face an uphill battle against a confident Slovakian side that are determined to push for promotion and continue their positive run in the competition. Slovakia, meanwhile, will be looking to return to winning ways after their thrilling 2-2 draw against Sweden, where they came back from 2-0 down, showcasing both resilience and a touch of class in front of goal.

With emotions running high for both sides, this match offers an intriguing balance of pressure and opportunity. Can Slovakia capitalise on Azerbaijan’s weaknesses, or will the home side finally find a way to get points on the board?

Best Bet: Slovakia -1 to Win

Looking at the context of this match, one bet seems to stand out from the crowd: Slovakia -1 to win. This line is justified by several factors, most notably the stark contrast in form and quality between the two sides. Slovakia are simply the better team at the moment, with more talent spread across the pitch and a far more reliable defensive record. They’ve shown they are difficult to break down, with two clean sheets already in the competition, and Azerbaijan’s attack looks far too blunt to cause them serious problems.

The defensive stats for Azerbaijan are concerning. Conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game, they’ve leaked eight goals across their three matches and seem to be struggling to get a foothold in games defensively. On top of that, they’ve allowed five shots on target per game, indicating that they frequently give the opposition too much space in dangerous areas. Slovakia’s ability to convert chances, spearheaded by the in-form David Strelec, could be decisive. With Strelec scoring twice against Sweden and once in their reverse fixture, it’s hard to see him not adding to his tally in this fixture.

Slovakia’s disciplined defence, which has allowed just two goals in three matches, also strengthens this bet. They have conceded fewer than one goal per game, and with players like Milan Skriniar marshalling the backline, Azerbaijan’s forwards will struggle to find a way through. The combination of a solid defence and an improving attack makes Slovakia -1 to win the best betting option. Slovakia’s possession and passing accuracy stats (53.3% possession and 84% pass accuracy) further support the notion that they will control the tempo and grind down Azerbaijan throughout the match.

“Slovakia are coming into this match full of confidence after their resilient performance against Sweden. With David Strelec in form and Azerbaijan struggling defensively, Slovakia -1 looks like great value,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten.

Correct Score Prediction: Azerbaijan 0-2 Slovakia

For a correct score prediction, it’s hard to look past a repeat of Slovakia’s 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture. Azerbaijan’s attack has been toothless in recent outings, scoring just two goals in three matches in this competition. They’ve struggled to create clear-cut chances, as evidenced by their average of only 0.7 goals per game and the fact they’ve missed 3.3 big chances per match. Even with players like Mahir Emreli and Renat Dadashov pushing for a breakthrough, the lack of creativity in midfield and a lack of clinical finishing up front mean it’s unlikely they’ll find the back of the net.

Slovakia, by contrast, have a potent mix of defensive organisation and attacking flair, particularly with Strelec leading the line and Ondrej Duda providing creativity from midfield. Their five goals in three matches show a balanced approach to scoring, and they’ve consistently been able to carve out opportunities with 17.3 shots per game. The home side’s defensive frailties, combined with Slovakia’s more fluid attack, suggest that a 2-0 win for the visitors is a highly probable outcome.

Slovakia’s knack for keeping clean sheets, as seen in their two shutouts already in this tournament, aligns with the prediction. Given Azerbaijan’s struggles in front of goal and Slovakia’s defensive strength, a 2-0 victory for the visitors feels like a logical prediction, allowing Slovakia to keep the pressure on Sweden at the top of the group.

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