AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions for this Europa League clash. AZ Alkmaar face Tottenham in the Europa League last-16 first leg at AFAS Stadion, battling for a quarter-final spot in Thursday’s clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Europa League  | Mar 6, 2025 at 5:45pm UK at AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Can Tottenham Overcome Their Inconsistent Form in Alkmaar?

• AZ’s goal-scoring form: The Dutch side have netted 19 times in the Europa League this season, ranking among the competition’s top-scoring teams.
• Tottenham’s defensive struggles in Europe: Spurs have only won three of their last 18 away legs in major European knockout ties, highlighting their vulnerabilities on the road.
• Troy Parrott’s home form: The Irish striker has scored in five of his last seven home appearances, making him a major threat against his former club.

Best Bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham

The Europa League knockout stages bring fresh intrigue as AZ Alkmaar prepare to host Tottenham Hotspur in the first leg of their last-16 tie. While Spurs enter as tournament favourites, their inconsistent form this season suggests that this may not be a straightforward affair in the Netherlands.

AZ, having battled through the play-off round with an impressive 6-3 aggregate win over Galatasaray, have been strong at home in Europe this season. However, their recent domestic form has been patchy, with a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Heerenveen showing some vulnerabilities. Still, their attack, led by former Tottenham forward Troy Parrott, has been lively, with AZ among the highest-scoring sides in this season’s competition.

Tottenham, on the other hand, are in desperate need of a positive result. Their Premier League campaign has been underwhelming, sitting in 13th place and seemingly out of contention for European qualification through the league. The pressure is mounting on Ange Postecoglou, who has already declared his ambition to win silverware in his second year at the club. Despite a mixed run of results, Spurs have the quality to trouble AZ, and with Son Heung-min back in the side alongside January signings Kevin Danso and Mathys Tel, they should be capable of posing a serious attacking threat.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t throw out multiple predictions for every game—we focus on the single best bet to help our readers make the smartest choice. For this match, our top selection is Over 2.5 Goals.

Why Back Over 2.5 Goals?

A high-scoring affair looks likely given both teams’ recent trends and the attacking talent on display. AZ Alkmaar have been prolific in the Europa League, netting 19 times in the tournament so far. Their home form in Europe has been solid, and they have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches at the AFAS Stadion. Meanwhile, Tottenham have also seen plenty of goals in their European fixtures, with four of their last five Europa League games featuring over 2.5 goals.

Spurs’ defensive issues are another factor to consider. Postecoglou’s side have struggled for consistency at the back, particularly in away games. They have only won three of their last 18 away legs in European knockout ties, often conceding avoidable goals. With doubts over Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero’s fitness, they may not be at full strength defensively.

AZ’s main attacking threat comes from Troy Parrott, who has scored 17 goals in all competitions this season. He has also been particularly effective at home, netting in five of his last seven appearances at the AFAS Stadion. With the extra motivation of facing his former club, Parrott could be a key player in breaking down a shaky Tottenham backline.

At the other end, Tottenham still possess enough quality to trouble AZ’s defence. Son Heung-min remains one of their most reliable goal threats in European knockout ties, while Mathys Tel will be looking to impress in his first European start for the club. James Maddison’s creativity from midfield will be crucial in unlocking AZ’s defence, and given that the Dutch side conceded three against Heerenveen last weekend, there are clear weaknesses for Spurs to exploit.

Even if Tottenham dominate possession, AZ will not sit back. Maarten Martens’ side play an attacking brand of football, and with the backing of their home crowd, they will look to go toe-to-toe with the visitors. The result could go either way, but the likelihood of goals seems high.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

“With both teams possessing attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities, this match has all the ingredients for a goal-fest. Over 2.5 goals looks a fantastic bet, given that both sides have been involved in high-scoring European games recently. Don’t be surprised if Troy Parrott makes his mark against his former club, adding to the drama of the night.”

Predicted Score: AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur

A thrilling contest is on the cards, and a 2-2 draw looks like a strong possibility. Tottenham’s firepower should see them get on the scoresheet, but their defensive frailties could allow AZ to grab a couple of goals as well. Given that both teams have been involved in multiple 2-2 draws in their recent European outings, this scoreline feels very much in play.

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