AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen predictions for this Eredivisie tie. AZ Alkmaar host Heerenveen at AFAS Stadion on Thursday in the Eredivisie playoffs, with a coveted European qualification spot at stake for both sides. Read on for all our Scottish Premiership predictions and betting tips.

Eredivisie | May 22 2025 at 5:45pm UK at AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Predictions

Can Heerenveen’s Resurgence Stun AZ at the AFAS or Will Class Prevail in Alkmaar?

• Poor Travellers: Heerenveen have suffered five straight away defeats, conceding multiple goals in each of those matches, highlighting severe defensive fragility on the road.
• AZ Finishing Strong: AZ picked up 10 points from their final four Eredivisie games, including victories over strong opposition, proving their late-season momentum is real.
• Shooting Edge: Across their last ten, AZ have averaged 15.1 total attempts per game, significantly higher than Heerenveen’s 12.7, indicating a greater attacking threat throughout matches.

Best Bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

As the sun begins to linger a bit longer in the Dutch sky and the Eredivisie winds towards its dramatic finale, AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen step into Thursday night with European dreams clutched tightly in their hands. It’s not a final yet, but it might as well be, given what’s at stake. AFAS Stadion will bear witness to two sides taking vastly different emotional routes into this clash—AZ, steady and clinical, versus a Heerenveen team that has scrambled, battled and somehow dragged themselves into contention on the final day.

AZ wrapped up their regular campaign with a bit of a grumble rather than a roar, salvaging a 1-1 home draw with Almere City. That point was enough to cement fifth place, but one can’t ignore the mid-season wobble that saw them go seven games without victory. However, their strong finish—featuring wins over Groningen, Go Ahead Eagles, and a particularly gutsy 3-2 triumph away at Twente—reignited belief. They’ve shown flashes of the team that once chased a top-four spot, even if Troy Parrott’s absence has taken a fair chunk of firepower out of their attack.

Heerenveen, on the other hand, have been a story of unpredictability. Just when it looked like their playoff hopes had evaporated, they pulled off one of the shocks of the season—turning over Feyenoord with a 2-0 win, of all teams, to sneak into ninth. The vibes are immaculate, but beneath the surface, the cracks remain visible. Their away form has been, frankly, dreadful, with five straight defeats on the road. The real question is whether this final-day surge was a genuine revival or just a beautiful, one-off fluke.

Best Bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen: AZ -1.25 Asian Handicap

We’ve rifled through the stats, pored over the player data, and shouted at the telly more than once. And from everything we’ve seen, the standout selection—our Best Bet—is AZ Alkmaar to win with a -1.25 Asian Handicap. This is the only tip you’ll find here, because at BettingTips4You.com, we don’t chuck twenty darts at the wall and hope for a bullseye. One bet. One outcome. Maximum focus.

Now, let’s break it down. First off, AZ are miles ahead in terms of technical quality, tactical structure, and depth—even with injuries plaguing their key midfielders and attackers. Meerdink is filling in admirably up top with nine league goals, and he’s not short on support. Mijnans, van Bommel and Poku bring a blend of energy, movement and end product that’s tough to contain. And don’t let the recent draw with Almere fool you—this side has been carving out chances, averaging 15.1 attempts per game across their last ten league outings.

Contrast that with Heerenveen, who—despite their shock win—are simply not travelling well. They’ve been consistently outplayed away from home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals in that period. Their attacking trio of Lukovic, Trenskow and Gurbuz are full of promise, but promise doesn’t win you playoff matches—especially when your opponents are swarming you with more corners, more control, and frankly, more quality.

“Heerenveen’s fairytale moment against Feyenoord was great for the headlines, but AZ have been quietly getting their house in order. At home, they’ve got more than enough to win comfortably.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick

Predicted Scoreline: AZ Alkmaar 3 – 1 Heerenveen
With home dominance, a sharper attack and more structure in midfield, AZ should have the upper hand. Heerenveen might sneak a goal if things break right, but it won’t be enough.

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