AVS vs SC Farense Predictions

AVS vs Farense predictions for their meeting in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. The final match of Primeira Liga gameweek seven sees AVS hosting SC Farense at Estadio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, with both teams seeking crucial points on Monday night. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

Primeira Liga | Sep 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK at Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS vs SC Farense Predictions

Can AVS Maintain Their Home Fortress Against a Floundering Farense?

• AVS Defence Unbeaten at Home
  • AVS have yet to lose a home game this season, collecting seven points in three matches. Their success is built on defensive solidity, as they have kept two clean sheets in three home games, winning both by 1-0 margins.
• Farense’s Offensive Troubles
  • Farense’s attack has been toothless, with only two goals scored in six matches this season. Despite averaging 13.8 shots per game, they have struggled to convert chances, registering just 0.7 big chances per game and failing to score in four of their last six matches.
• Farense’s Woeful Away Form
  • The visitors have been dreadful away from home, losing eight of their last ten Liga fixtures on the road. They’ve conceded 13 goals this season and have not won an away game since April, a streak that underscores their vulnerability ahead of this clash.

Our Tips

The final match of Primeira Liga’s gameweek seven brings AVS and SC Farense head-to-head at the Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves. Both sides enter this contest with contrasting narratives shaping their seasons. AVS, playing their first season in the Portuguese top-flight, have shown promise on home turf. They sit just outside the relegation zone, collecting seven points—all of which have come from matches played at home. Their fans will be hoping for a third consecutive win at home following narrow 1-0 victories over Vitória Guimarães and Rio Ave.

On the other hand, Farense are languishing at the bottom of the table after a disastrous start to the season. With six consecutive losses, they’ve struggled to find any rhythm, both defensively and in attack. To make matters worse, Farense have conceded 13 goals while managing to score just two. Their travelling form offers little optimism either, with the team having lost eight of their last ten away matches. Monday night’s clash provides them with an opportunity to end this woeful streak, but they’ll need more than just luck to topple an AVS side that appears resolute on home soil.

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score – NO

The standout prediction for this fixture is that both teams will not score. With Farense’s attacking woes evident—they’ve only scored two goals in six matches—there’s little to suggest they will find the back of the net against AVS. Farense’s toothless front line, combined with AVS’ solid home form, points towards a likely scenario where only one team scores, if at all.

Farense’s struggles in front of goal are glaring. Their average of 0.3 goals per game reflects their severe limitations in attack, with only two goals scored from 49 attempts inside the box. Even when they do create chances, they are unable to capitalise, with only 0.7 big chances per game. Farense’s lack of firepower is compounded by injuries to key attacking players, making it even more challenging for them to mount any serious threat.

AVS, by contrast, have been relatively sturdy in defence when playing at home. Despite conceding 10 goals overall this season, they have kept clean sheets in two of their three home games. This includes victories over Vitória Guimarães and Rio Ave, where they limited their opponents to minimal chances. Their defensive organisation is evident from their average of 15.5 tackles and 8.5 interceptions per game. Additionally, with Farense managing just 3.2 shots on target per game, the likelihood of them breaching AVS’ defence appears slim.

Further strengthening the case for this prediction is Farense’s poor away record. With no goals scored in three of their last four away matches, including a disheartening 1-0 defeat to Arouca last weekend, it’s hard to see where their goals will come from. AVS, meanwhile, have developed a habit of grinding out narrow victories at home, often by one-goal margins. BettingTips4You.com’s expert Gerard Gabasa summarises this scenario perfectly:

“Farense’s lack of attacking threat, combined with AVS’ defensive solidity at home, makes a clean sheet for the hosts highly probable. With Farense’s struggles in front of goal, a low-scoring game is almost certain.”

Thus, backing Both Teams to Score – NO emerges as a sound strategy for this match, as Farense’s scoring record simply does not inspire confidence.

Correct Score Prediction: AVS 2-0 Farense

Based on the data provided, the most logical scoreline prediction is a 2-0 win for AVS. This outcome aligns with the prediction that Farense are unlikely to score, and AVS’ consistent home form suggests they can edge out a win while keeping a clean sheet.

AVS have shown the ability to win without being particularly prolific in front of goal, netting just six times across six matches, but they have been efficient, especially at home. Despite missing Nene and Vasco Lopes due to injury, AVS should still have enough quality in their squad to find the net twice, especially given Farense’s leaky defence, which has conceded 13 goals in six matches—an average of more than two per game.

Farense’s defensive fragility is underlined by their average of 2.2 goals conceded per match. With AVS averaging one goal per game, there is a strong chance that the hosts can extend that tally in this encounter, particularly with Rodrigo Ribeiro returning to lead their attack. Even if AVS don’t overwhelm Farense with attacking intent, they should be able to find the back of the net twice against a side that has shown little resilience.

In line with the earlier tip of both teams not scoring, a 2-0 result encapsulates the most likely scenario for this match. AVS have the defensive capability to shut out Farense, while their attacking unit, even depleted, should manage a couple of goals against such a fragile defence.

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