Austria vs Slovenia Predictions

Austria vs Slovenia predictions for this UEFA Nations League tie. Austria host Slovenia in Vienna on Sunday for the UEFA Nations League Group B3 finale, with Austria aiming to secure their top spot in the group. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK at Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Austria vs Slovenia Predictions

Will Austria’s Ruthless Form Seal Their Promotion Dream in Vienna?

• Austria’s Scoring Spree: Austria have netted 11 goals in their last three Nations League matches, averaging 3.7 goals per game.
• Slovenia’s Defensive Struggles: Slovenia have conceded seven goals across their two meetings with Norway, highlighting their backline’s fragility against quality opposition.
• Home Dominance: Austria thrashed Norway 5-1 in their last home outing, a performance that underlines their strength on familiar turf.

Our Tips

Sunday evening in Vienna promises to be a dramatic culmination to Group B3 in the UEFA Nations League, as Austria host Slovenia in a match that could define their campaigns. Both teams enter this encounter with starkly contrasting ambitions. Austria sit at the top of the group, needing just a result that matches Norway’s to secure automatic promotion to League A. Meanwhile, Slovenia are clinging to a slim hope of avoiding the relegation playoffs, requiring an unlikely victory to leapfrog their opponents.

Austria arrive in fine form, having won their last three group games, including a resounding 5-1 triumph over Norway that highlighted their attacking prowess. Confidence is flowing after a comfortable 2-0 victory in freezing conditions away to Kazakhstan, where early goals from Christoph Baumgartner and Michael Gregoritsch set the tone. In contrast, Slovenia suffered a bruising 4-1 defeat at home to Norway, exposing defensive vulnerabilities and placing them on the back foot for this crucial tie. With both teams battling for vastly different outcomes, Vienna’s Ernst Happel Stadium is set for a night of compelling football.

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Best Bet: Austria to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Austria’s attacking efficiency has been a standout feature in their Nations League campaign, making a home win with a high-scoring outcome the most logical prediction. Ralf Rangnick’s side have been lethal in recent matches, scoring 11 goals in their last three outings. Their clinical dismantling of Norway, combined with the comfortable win over Kazakhstan, has demonstrated their ability to dominate both strong and struggling sides.

Slovenia, while capable of moments of brilliance, have struggled defensively, conceding seven goals in two matches against Norway. Despite boasting attacking talents like Benjamin Šeško, who continues to shine on the international stage, their defensive frailties have been exposed time and again. Austria, with their pressing game and efficient counter-attacks, are likely to exploit these weaknesses.

Moreover, Austria’s confidence at home cannot be understated. In their last Nations League match on home soil, they dismantled Norway with ease, showcasing a dynamic blend of possession football and incisive finishing. Baumgartner and Gregoritsch have been key contributors, and their recent form bodes well for another dominant display. Defensively, the return of Kevin Danso adds stability, even in the absence of David Alaba.

From Slovenia’s perspective, their reliance on Šeško for goals is a double-edged sword. While the RB Leipzig forward is a constant threat, their lack of midfield creativity often leaves him isolated. Slovenia’s inability to control games against stronger opponents, coupled with their shaky defence, makes their task in Vienna a monumental one.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten puts it:
“Austria are hitting their stride at just the right time. Their attacking form, combined with Slovenia’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes a high-scoring Austria win an excellent bet. The home advantage only strengthens this prediction.”

The odds clearly favour Austria, and with their recent form in front of goal, a victory with over 2.5 goals feels inevitable.

Correct Score Prediction: Austria 3-1 Slovenia

Given the context of the match and both teams’ current form, a 3-1 scoreline in Austria’s favour appears the most plausible outcome. Austria’s ability to create and convert chances has been evident throughout their campaign, and they are likely to breach Slovenia’s defence multiple times. The visitors, despite their struggles, have shown they can score, finding the net in four of their five group matches.

Slovenia’s reliance on Šeško means they could capitalise on a rare defensive lapse, but Austria’s overall superiority should see them dictate the tempo. With Baumgartner and Gregoritsch in form and the midfield orchestrating play effectively, Austria should comfortably secure their promotion with a two-goal margin.

The attacking intent of both teams, coupled with Slovenia’s need to push forward in search of an unlikely result, should create an open game with plenty of opportunities. Austria’s defensive organisation, bolstered by Danso, is likely to limit Slovenia’s chances, but the visitors’ sporadic attacking quality could still yield a consolation goal.

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