Austria vs Kazakhstan Predictions

Austria vs Kazakhstan predictions for this Nations League clash. Austria and Kazakhstan, both aiming for their first win of this UEFA Nations League campaign, face off in Linz on Thursday evening. A crucial match for both teams. Read on for all out Nations League predictions and betting tips

UEFA Nations League League C | Oct 10, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Raiffeisen Arena

Austria vs Kazakhstan Predictions

Can Austria Put Kazakhstan to the Sword, or Will There Be a Surprise in Linz?

• Austria’s leaky defence: Austria have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in the Nations League.
• Kazakhstan’s goal drought: Kazakhstan are yet to score in League B of the Nations League this season, with only 5.5 shots per game on average and a meagre 1 on target.
• Both teams to score: Eight of Austria’s last nine matches have seen both teams score, further supporting the prediction for a 3-1 scoreline in favour of the home side.

Our Tips

On Thursday evening, Austria will host Kazakhstan in a UEFA Nations League fixture, with both sides eager to grab their first victory of the season. With the stakes high in League B Group 3, neither team can afford another slip-up, especially considering the threat of relegation looms large. The setting in Linz promises to be electric as Austria, driven by home support, looks to make the most of the occasion. Kazakhstan, while traditionally seen as the underdogs, could well surprise those who underestimate their resilience.

Austria’s campaign has had a shaky start, as Ralf Rangnick’s side struggled in their opening fixtures. A hard-fought draw against Slovenia gave some hope, but a painful defeat to Norway, sealed by Erling Haaland’s late winner, has left the Austrians in a precarious position. On the other hand, Kazakhstan, despite being unable to find the back of the net in their opening two matches, have shown glimpses of a side that could pose problems. Their ability to hold Norway to a goalless draw was certainly a statement, and they will be looking to frustrate Austria in a similar fashion.

Best Bet for This Match: Austria to Win and Both Teams to Score

The best bet for this match lies in backing Austria to secure a victory while conceding at least once. On paper, Austria should be far too strong for Kazakhstan, especially when playing in front of their home crowd. However, Austria’s defence has been anything but watertight, which suggests Kazakhstan could capitalise on the odd mistake.

Kazakhstan’s defence, on the other hand, has been suspect, to say the least. Conceding 15 goals in their last six matches, including a 3-0 loss to Slovenia, it’s clear they’re vulnerable at the back. Austria, while not firing on all cylinders, boast an attack capable of exploiting such weaknesses, especially with Marko Arnautovic leading the line. Marcel Sabitzer’s equaliser against Norway highlighted his threat from midfield, and his link-up play with Arnautovic could spell trouble for Kazakhstan’s defence.

What adds more weight to the idea that Kazakhstan might score is Austria’s tendency to leave gaps at the back. Rangnick’s high-pressing approach, while effective in regaining possession, can sometimes backfire, leaving the team vulnerable to counter-attacks. Austria’s pressing style is aggressive, and while it creates chances for them, it also opens up opportunities for the opposition. Kazakhstan’s Abat Aymbetov, with his physical presence and ability to hold up the ball, could be the player to take advantage of such lapses. Aymbetov was their top scorer in the last edition of the Nations League, and despite their goalless start, he has the quality to break their drought.

Wolfgang Shotten, from BettingTips4You.com, backs this approach, stating:
“Austria’s attacking talent should be enough to see them through, but they have a habit of conceding, especially when pressing high up the pitch. Kazakhstan might sneak one in, but Austria’s firepower will be too much for them to handle.”

Austria’s attacking stats further back this prediction. They’ve averaged 10 shots per game, with 3.5 on target, and possess a solid 59.5% ball possession rate. Their ability to control the game, especially in their own half where they have an impressive 89.7% pass completion rate, suggests they will dominate the play. But the fact that Austria have conceded 1.5 goals per game shows that their defence isn’t entirely secure. This imbalance between attack and defence is where Kazakhstan can find their opportunity.

Kazakhstan, despite their poor goal-scoring form so far, have averaged 5.5 shots per game, with 1 on target. Not groundbreaking numbers, but enough to suggest they could test Austria’s sometimes shaky defence. It would be no shock to see them score, but ultimately, Austria’s class should shine through and secure the win.

Correct Score Prediction: Austria 3-1 Kazakhstan

Considering Austria’s superior attacking quality and Kazakhstan’s defensive frailties, the correct score prediction is for a 3-1 home victory. While Kazakhstan might be able to take advantage of an Austrian defensive lapse, it’s hard to see them keeping Austria at bay for long, especially with Arnautovic and Sabitzer in the mix. Austria have shown they can create chances, with 10 shots per game on average, and they’ve missed just as many big chances as they’ve created, indicating there’s room for improvement in their finishing.

Kazakhstan, on the other hand, have been porous defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in the Nations League. Austria’s attack should have no problem breaking them down. But Kazakhstan’s one goal will likely come on a counter-attack or set piece, exploiting Austria’s aggressive press. With Aymbetov lurking, Kazakhstan have a genuine target man capable of converting a rare chance.

This scoreline aligns well with Austria’s recent form, where both teams have scored in eight of their last nine games. It also fits Kazakhstan’s current run of poor form, where they’ve struggled to keep teams from scoring, but have the potential to grab a consolation goal.

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