Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Predictions

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo predictions, betting tips and match previews for this Copa do Brasil clash. Atlético Mineiro face São Paulo on Thursday at Arena MRV, aiming to eliminate the reigning Copa do Brasil champions in the second leg of their quarter-final tie. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg | Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Predictions

Can Atlético Mineiro’s Defence Propel Them to the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals?

• Atlético Mineiro’s Home Resilience Atlético Mineiro have been a fortress at Arena MRV in the Copa do Brasil, not losing a home match in normal time since 2018. Their strong defensive record is evident with only one goal conceded in their last five home fixtures across all competitions. Such form suggests they can comfortably handle the pressure of the second leg.
• São Paulo’s Attacking Struggles on the Road São Paulo have struggled to score in away games, failing to find the net in four of their last five away matches in the Brasileirão. Their lack of goals could be compounded by injuries to key offensive players, leaving them with few options to break down Atlético’s well-organised defence.
• Everson’s Goalkeeping Heroics Atlético’s goalkeeper Everson was crucial in the first leg, making four vital saves to preserve his team’s clean sheet. He has been consistent in keeping his goal secure throughout the tournament, which bodes well for another strong defensive showing in this decisive fixture.

Best Bet

On Thursday, Atlético Mineiro will host São Paulo at the Arena MRV in the second leg of their Copa do Brasil quarter-final, with the home side holding a slender 1-0 lead from the first encounter. This sets up a fascinating fixture, with São Paulo needing to overturn the deficit if they are to retain their title. The narrow victory in August has given Atlético the upper hand, and with a semi-final spot within their grasp, the hosts will aim to build on their recent strong form. São Paulo, on the other hand, must address their recent inconsistencies if they are to keep their cup run alive.

Having displayed defensive resilience in the first leg, Atlético Mineiro will look to maintain their edge at home, where they are unbeaten in this tournament since 2018. São Paulo, however, arrive under pressure, having struggled to find their rhythm in the league and on the road, making this a must-win encounter for the visitors. Both teams will need to navigate injuries and tactical adjustments, which could play a pivotal role in how this decisive clash unfolds.

The recommendation to back Atlético Mineiro to win without conceding is based on several factors that favour the home side. Firstly, Atlético Mineiro’s defensive solidity in this competition has been impressive. They come into this game on the back of a crucial away win in São Paulo, where they managed to keep a clean sheet. Goalkeeper Everson has been a standout performer, making key saves in that match, and the backline has shown resilience, conceding only once in their last five matches across all competitions. With such form, Atlético are well-equipped to hold firm against a São Paulo side that has struggled in front of goal in recent fixtures.

São Paulo’s attacking output has been below par, particularly away from home, where they have failed to score in four of their last five away matches in the league. With Luciano and Jonathan Calleri struggling to make a decisive impact in recent games, it’s hard to see where the goals will come from for the visitors, especially against a well-organised Atlético defence. Moreover, the absence of key creative players such as Alisson due to injury further weakens São Paulo’s offensive threat, leaving them vulnerable to Atlético’s solid structure.

Atlético Mineiro have also been strong at home in the Copa do Brasil, remaining undefeated in normal time at Arena MRV in recent years. Their ability to control possession, with an average of over 60%, means they are likely to dominate the game and limit São Paulo’s opportunities to counter-attack. Additionally, they have only conceded once in their last five home matches in all competitions, underlining their defensive strength, especially when playing in front of their fans.

According to BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa, “Given Atlético Mineiro’s solid defensive record and São Paulo’s struggles on the road, backing the home side to win to nil looks like the most reliable bet. Atlético’s ability to control games and shut down opponents at home should give them a clear edge in this encounter.”

With all this in mind, the prediction for Atlético Mineiro to win without conceding is well supported by the data. Their form, both defensively and in controlling possession, combined with São Paulo’s attacking inefficiency on the road, makes this a bet that carries a strong rationale.

Correct Score Prediction: Atlético Mineiro 2-0 São Paulo

In line with the best bet of Atlético Mineiro winning to nil, a 2-0 scoreline seems plausible for this fixture. Given Atlético’s capacity to manage games with discipline and structure, especially at home, they are likely to find the back of the net while keeping São Paulo at bay. Rodrigo Battaglia’s late winner in the first leg showcased the home side’s ability to capitalise on key moments, and with their attack spearheaded by Paulinho and Bernard, who have both been in decent form, a couple of goals seems within reach.

São Paulo’s defence, while not disastrous, has shown signs of vulnerability, particularly in away matches, where they have conceded multiple goals on several occasions recently. Atlético’s superior attacking options and the likelihood of São Paulo needing to push forward at some stage could leave gaps at the back for Atlético to exploit. A 2-0 scoreline fits with the narrative of a controlled, professional performance from the home side, securing their place in the semi-finals with minimal fuss.

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