America MG vs Atletico GO predictions for their Brazil Serie A clash. Atletico Mineiro aim to extend their unbeaten run against Atletico Goianiense in Sunday’s Brasileiro match at Arena MRV. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Brasileiro | Jun 30, 2024 at 3pm UK at Arena MRV
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Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico GO Predictions
Can Atletico Mineiro Overcome Their Absentees to Edge Past Atletico Goianiense?
Key Stats
– Atletico Mineiro have seen both teams score in five of their last six matches.
– Atletico Goianiense have scored in four of their last five games.
– Atletico Mineiro average 5.9 corners per game compared to Atletico Goianiense’s 4.3.
In this Sunday’s Gameweek 13 of the Brasileiro, Atletico Mineiro are poised to extend their unbeaten run against Atletico Goianiense at the Arena MRV. This clash promises to be intriguing, not only because of the contrasting fortunes of the two teams but also due to the potential impact on their respective standings.
Current Form and Recent Results
Atletico Mineiro have had a turbulent start to their season, currently sitting 10th in the league, which is a significant drop from last season’s third-place finish. However, recent results suggest a possible turnaround.
A draw against Fortaleza was followed by a crucial 2-1 victory over Internacional. These results have provided some respite for a side that had previously conceded eight goals in two games against Palmeiras and Vitoria. The departure of Luiz Felipe Scolari in March has left the team in a state of flux, with their new manager still finding his feet in the league despite near-perfect results in the Copa Libertadores.
In contrast, Atletico Goianiense find themselves in the relegation zone, having slipped into it after the last round. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, evident from their recent form which includes a winless streak of six matches in the Brasileiro, with only one victory against the struggling Fluminense. The recent sacking of Jair Ventura following a defeat to Criciuma highlights the club’s desperation. Anderson Gomes, temporarily in charge, has managed two draws but remains without a win.
Team News and Key Absentees
Atletico Mineiro face several significant absences. Key players like Guilherme Arana, Eduardo Vargas, and Alan Franco are away on international duty. Additionally, Gustavo Scarpa, Igor Rabello, and Bruno Fuchs are suspended. Injuries further compound their woes, with Otavio, Rubens, and possibly Matias Zaracho expected to miss out. These absences could force Gabriel Milito to rely on a makeshift lineup.
Atletico Goianiense also have their share of absentees. Alix Vinicius, Gustavo Campanharo, and Pedro Henrique are likely to miss the game due to injuries. Gabriel Baralhas is suspended, adding to the selection headaches for Anderson Gomes.
Tactical Analysis
Atletico Mineiro, despite their absentees, have shown resilience in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game with a significant contribution from set pieces and counter-attacks. Their defence, however, remains a concern, conceding 1.4 goals per game on average. Their possession-based style, with 58.5% possession and high pass accuracy, indicates a preference for controlling the game, which they will likely try to impose against Atletico Goianiense.
On the other hand, Atletico Goianiense struggle in attack, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. Their defensive record is marginally better than Atletico Mineiro, with an average of 1.3 goals conceded per game. Their approach is likely to be more conservative, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces, given their lower possession statistics and fewer successful dribbles per game.
Key Duels and Areas of the Field
The battle in midfield could be decisive, particularly the duels between Atletico Mineiro’s Vitor and Palacios against Atletico Goianiense’s Shaylon and Kal. The effectiveness of Atletico Mineiro’s midfield in controlling the game and creating chances could determine the outcome. Meanwhile, the defensive pairing of Mariano and Battaglia for Atletico Mineiro will be tested by Luiz Fernando and Rodriguez of Atletico Goianiense, who will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
Gameplay Predictions
The game is likely to see Atletico Mineiro dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, their defensive vulnerabilities mean Atletico Goianiense could find joy on the counter. The home side’s attacking prowess, despite absences, suggests they will score, but their defence could be breached by a determined Atletico Goianiense.
Predictions
Best Bet: Both Teams to Score
Given the attacking tendencies and defensive frailties of both sides, it is reasonable to expect both teams to find the net. Atletico Mineiro have seen both teams score in five of their last six matches, while Atletico Goianiense have a similar record in four of their last five fixtures.
Correct Score Prediction: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Atletico Goianiense
Reflecting the likelihood of both teams scoring and Atletico Mineiro’s slight edge in attacking quality, a 2-1 victory for the home side seems plausible. This scoreline aligns with their recent performances and the expected impact of their key absentees.
Goalscorer Prediction: Hulk to Score Anytime
Hulk remains a vital figure for Atletico Mineiro and is likely to be pivotal in their attacking play. His ability to score from open play and set-pieces makes him a strong candidate to find the net against Atletico Goianiense’s shaky defence.
Corner Prediction: Atletico Mineiro to Have More Corners
Atletico Mineiro’s attacking style and higher possession stats suggest they will win more corners. Their average of 5.9 corners per game compares favourably against Atletico Goianiense’s 4.3, indicating a trend that is likely to continue.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Cards Over 4.5
Given the competitive nature of the match and the average fouls per game (14.6 for Atletico Mineiro and 11.8 for Atletico Goianiense), a high card count is expected. Both teams average around three yellow cards per game, supporting the prediction of over 4.5 total cards in the match.
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