Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Champions League. Diego Simeone starts his 12th Champions League campaign with Atletico Madrid, hosting RB Leipzig on Thursday. Both teams aim for a strong opening in this high-stakes encounter. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Atletico Madrid
RB Leipzig

Champions League | League Stage | Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

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Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN ATALANTA vs ARSENAL, AS MONACO vs FC BARCELONA & ATLÉTICO vs RB LEIPZIG
7/2 (was 5/2)
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Can Atletico Madrid’s Imposing Home Form Prove Too Much for RB Leipzig?
  • Atletico Madrid’s Dominance at Home: Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last eight home matches across all competitions, winning six and drawing one. Their last defeat at the Civitas Metropolitano came over a year ago, and their recent form in Europe, where they won all five of their home matches last season, only reinforces their status as a dominant force on their own turf.
  • Leipzig’s Attacking Threat on the Road: Despite facing tough opposition, RB Leipzig have scored in all of their away matches this season, including netting seven goals in their two Bundesliga away fixtures. Their ability to find the back of the net, even against stronger sides like Bayer Leverkusen, makes them a dangerous opponent, particularly when playing away.
  • Griezmann’s Influence: Antoine Griezmann has continued his excellent form into the new season, scoring two goals in his last three matches at home. The French international was Atletico’s top scorer in the Champions League last season, and his ability to perform on big occasions makes him one to watch in this clash against Leipzig.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Atletico Madrid and Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/4
Reasoning
Back Atletico Madrid to win with over 2.5 goals. Atletico’s strong home form and attacking prowess, led by Griezmann, should outmatch Leipzig, whose aggressive style creates chances but leaves defensive gaps.
Odds subject to change
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As Atletico Madrid gear up to face RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League at the Civitas Metropolitano, both teams enter the match riding high on a wave of strong domestic form. Atletico, currently sitting near the top of La Liga with 11 points from their opening five games, have shown both defensive resilience and attacking flair. RB Leipzig, meanwhile, have been equally impressive in the Bundesliga, claiming seven points from three games, including a standout victory over Bayer Leverkusen. With both sides still unbeaten in their respective leagues, this contest promises to be a tightly-fought affair.

Though neither team has suffered a defeat yet this season, the stakes of the Champions League can often bring out the best in sides. Atletico’s intimidating home record, paired with the attacking threats that both teams possess, sets the stage for a fascinating encounter. RB Leipzig will know that a positive result here could set them up well for a challenging group that also includes Juventus and Inter Milan. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid will aim to capitalise on their impressive European home form, where they have been nearly unbeatable in recent years. With no need for desperation so early in the group stages, the match is likely to be an open and free-flowing affair, allowing both teams to play to their strengths.

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The standout prediction for this clash is to back Atletico Madrid to win, with over 2.5 goals scored in the match. Atletico’s strong home record in Europe, combined with their attacking potential, makes this a reasonable bet.

Atletico Madrid have turned the Civitas Metropolitano into a fortress in the Champions League, having gone unbeaten in their last five home games on the continent. More impressively, they have netted three goals in two of their home matches this season, demonstrating that their attack can rise to the occasion. The presence of Antoine Griezmann, who has already bagged two goals this campaign, alongside Julian Alvarez, makes Atletico’s frontline a significant threat.

RB Leipzig, while formidable in their own right, have been more vulnerable away from home, conceding two goals against Bayer Leverkusen before a late comeback earned them victory. Leipzig’s aggressive attacking play, led by Loïs Openda and Benjamin Sesko, means they are likely to push forward and take risks, leaving spaces for Atletico to exploit. Leipzig’s matches this season have also produced goals, with 3.3 shots on target per game, suggesting that their style of play leads to plenty of opportunities in both directions.

The potential for goals is further bolstered by Atletico’s own record of generating chances. They average 13.6 shots per game in La Liga this season, with 4.6 of those being on target. With Leipzig also averaging a solid 12 shots per game and boasting dangerous forwards like Openda, who has already scored twice, goals seem likely from both sides. The high-intensity nature of both teams’ attacking play, combined with Leipzig’s vulnerability away from home, makes over 2.5 goals a solid part of this prediction.

According to BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa, “Atletico’s home form makes them favourites, but with both teams’ strong attacking forces, we can expect plenty of goals. A 2-1 or 3-1 Atletico victory seems well within reach given the context of the match.”

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Antoine Griezmann to Score Anytime @ 6/4
Reasoning
Backing Antoine Griezmann to score anytime is a strong option. His form, creativity, and Leipzig's defensive vulnerabilities make him likely to capitalise, especially with support from Alvarez and Llorente.
Odds subject to change
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A bet on Antoine Griezmann to score anytime is another solid option. The French forward has been instrumental for Atletico this season, already registering two goals in the early stages of La Liga. Griezmann’s tendency to deliver in big European nights is well known, and this match is set up for him to make an impact.

His partnership with Julian Alvarez looks promising, and with RB Leipzig’s backline not being entirely impenetrable, Griezmann will likely have opportunities to score. Leipzig’s defence, which has conceded two goals in three Bundesliga matches, could struggle against the creativity and clinical finishing that Griezmann brings. Additionally, Griezmann has been key in set-piece situations, and Atletico often turn to him when they need a moment of magic.

The match may provide Griezmann the space and opportunities to capitalise, particularly if Leipzig push high up the pitch. With Alvarez and Marcos Llorente also in form, Griezmann will benefit from a wealth of attacking support, making him a prime candidate to find the back of the net.

Correct Score Prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 RB Leipzig

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The final prediction for this encounter is Atletico Madrid to win 3-1. This scoreline aligns well with both teams’ attacking firepower and Leipzig’s vulnerability away from home. Atletico have been dominant at home, and while Leipzig have had strong performances this season, Atletico’s experience in these types of European nights could be the difference.

Atletico’s average of 1.8 goals per game in La Liga, combined with their defensive solidity, makes it unlikely that they will concede more than once. Meanwhile, Leipzig’s potent attacking trio, led by Openda and Sesko, should be able to breach Atletico’s defence, even though the Spanish side have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches. However, Atletico’s ability to create chances, with 3.4 big opportunities per match and a high shot volume, suggests they will have enough to score multiple goals.

Griezmann, Alvarez, and Marcos Llorente provide plenty of firepower, and Atletico’s home advantage will likely see them press their advantage to secure a comfortable win, while Leipzig may manage to grab a consolation goal through their energetic attacking play.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.