Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo predictions for Monday’s FIFA Club World Cup tie in Pasadena. Atletico Madrid face a must-win match against in-form Botafogo, needing victory to reach the FIFA Club World Cup knockout stages. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

FIFA Club World Cup | June 23 2025 at 8:00 pm UK at Rose Bowl

Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo Predictions

Is the Underdog Story About to Reach a New Chapter in Pasadena?

• Botafogo’s Iron Wall: They restricted PSG to just 0.54 xG and two shots on target in a shock win last time out.
• Atleti’s Jekyll and Hyde Form: While they beat Seattle 3–1, they were dismantled 4–0 by PSG in their opener and are still searching for balance.
• The Fogo Factor: Botafogo have lost just one of their last 10 matches and already boast wins over both PSG and Seattle in this group.

Best Bet for Atletico Madrid vs Botafogo

A pulsating Group B of the Club World Cup draws to a tense conclusion on Monday, as Atlético Madrid face a determined Botafogo side who’ve already torn up the script more than once in this competition. For Diego Simeone’s team, this isn’t just a group decider—it’s a litmus test of whether their more expansive approach can truly deliver results against unpredictable, counter-punching opponents. For Botafogo, it’s about seeing how far this unexpected surge can carry them, having already shocked the giants of Paris Saint-Germain in a result nobody saw coming.

Atleti had to respond after their PSG battering, and they did just enough against Seattle Sounders with a hard-earned 3-1 win. It wasn’t vintage stuff, but it kept them in the mix. They now require a result—preferably three points—against a Brazilian outfit who’ve not only punched above their weight but shown a tactical maturity many weren’t expecting.

Botafogo enter this clash with two wins from two, including that gritty 1-0 triumph over the European champions last time out. It wasn’t flashy—they created very little going forward—but the defensive performance was masterful. They allowed PSG just two shots on target, restricted them to 0.54 xG, and looked as composed at the back as any side in the tournament.

The Brazilians aren’t just here to make up the numbers. They know a point secures top spot. That knowledge changes the dynamic. Atlético, needing a win, might be the ones forced to take more risks, and if Botafogo have proven anything, it’s that they can punish that kind of approach.

Best Bet for Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo: Botafogo Double Chance (Win or Draw)

Here at BettingTips4You, we keep things simple and sharp: one match, one bet—the strongest angle we see. No clutter, no guesswork. That’s why we’re putting forward Botafogo Double Chance (Win or Draw) as our Best Bet for this contest.

Now, why this selection, and why with confidence? Well, consider the context. Botafogo have momentum and motivation on their side. Two wins already in the bag, confidence coursing through the team, and a defensive setup that just smothered one of the most dangerous frontlines in club football. Jair Cunha and Igor Jesus have played key roles—not just in attack, but in making their side tick tactically. Cunha, in particular, has become the spine of this side, allowing them to stay compact and spring forward when gaps appear.

Then you have Atlético—clearly still in transition. Diego Simeone’s decision to start Alexander Sørloth against Seattle didn’t quite work, and although the scoreline favoured them, the overall performance was anything but secure. Atleti’s attempt to be more open might play right into Botafogo’s hands here. Giuliano Simeone and Julian Álvarez add thrust, but if they get too gung-ho, the spaces behind are ready for the taking.

Botafogo also don’t need to win. A draw sees them top the group. That changes their incentive structure—they can sit in, soak up pressure, frustrate, and hit on the break when Atlético lose shape. Sound familiar? It’s exactly what they did to PSG, and there’s every chance they could do it again.

“Botafogo have already shown they can neutralise elite sides. With qualification nearly sealed, expect another stubborn, smart display—one that could see them frustrate Simeone’s evolving side.”
– BettingTips4You.com expert quote from Gerard Gabasa

The blend of confidence, defensive solidity, and tactical clarity makes Botafogo a real threat here—even if the bookies still see them as outsiders.

The smart money says they find a way to get what they need.

As for a correct score? A 1–1 draw seems likely. Atlético will push and may even strike first, but Botafogo have shown enough resilience and savvy to claw their way back and shut things down from there.

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