Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Predictions

Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama predictions, betting tips and match previews for this Copa do Brasil clash. Vasco da Gama can secure a Copa do Brasil semi-final spot for the first time in over a decade by avoiding defeat against Athletico Paranaense on Wednesday at Arena de Baixada. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg | Sep 12, 2024 at 1:30am UK at Alinja Arena

Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Predictions

Will Vasco da Gama’s Resilience Prove Too Much for Athletico Paranaense?

• Athletico Paranaense’s Solid Home Record in the Copa do Brasil Athletico Paranaense have a perfect home record in this year’s Copa do Brasil, having won both of their matches at Arena de Baixada without conceding a goal. This stat reflects their overall strong performance in this tournament on home turf, though recent form in other competitions has shown cracks in their previously impenetrable defence.
• Vasco da Gama’s Second-Half Scoring Prowess Vasco da Gama have developed a habit of coming to life in the second half of matches. Their last eight goals across all competitions have come after the interval, highlighting their capacity to stay in games and finish strong. This ability to perform late on could be crucial in a match where they are likely to soak up pressure early on.
• Athletico Paranaense’s Recent Struggles at Home Despite their perfect record in the Copa do Brasil, Athletico Paranaense have lost their last two home games in all competitions. This dip in form has raised questions about their defensive stability, especially considering they allowed Vasco to overturn a lead in the first leg. With a thin squad due to injuries and suspensions, their defence could be exposed again.

Best Bet

As we approach the second leg of the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals, Athletico Paranaense face a crucial test at Arena de Baixada. The home side are in a precarious position after suffering a 2-1 defeat in the first leg at Vasco da Gama, where they conceded two late goals. This Wednesday’s match offers Athletico Paranaense an opportunity to reverse their fortunes, but they’ll have to overcome a Vasco da Gama side that has been in formidable form lately.

Vasco da Gama are riding high on an eight-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. The resilience they’ve shown, particularly in the first leg, has built them a strong foundation heading into this decisive second encounter. Athletico Paranaense, on the other hand, are struggling with consistency and are under pressure to protect their strong home record in the Copa do Brasil. Can they regain control of the tie, or will Vasco’s unbeaten run continue?

In terms of the best bet for this game, Vasco da Gama avoiding defeat seems the most logical choice. The team has shown resilience, particularly in the first leg, where they overturned a deficit with two late goals. Furthermore, their current form suggests that they are capable of managing this away fixture. Vasco have not lost in their last eight matches across all competitions, and their defensive solidity has been a key feature of their success.

Athletico Paranaense, meanwhile, have seen their usually solid home form falter of late. While they remain undefeated at home in this tournament, they have suffered two consecutive losses at Arena de Baixada in all competitions. This lack of consistency raises doubts about their ability to deliver a win in this crucial match. Moreover, they will be without key players, such as Lucas Di Yorio, who is suspended, and Fernandinho, still out with an injury, which will weaken their setup in both defence and attack.

Additionally, Vasco da Gama have been specialists in late-game heroics, scoring most of their recent goals in the second half. Their ability to perform under pressure has seen them turn potentially damaging situations around, as demonstrated in the first leg of this tie. Athletico Paranaense will need to remain vigilant throughout, but Vasco’s habit of scoring late could be the deciding factor.

Athletico Paranaense’s defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in the first leg, where they allowed Vasco to turn the game on its head in the final 10 minutes. This trend could very well continue, especially with Vasco’s Pablo Vegetti leading the line. Vegetti has been the standout performer with eight goals in Serie A, making him a threat Athletico’s defence will struggle to contain. If Athletico are not able to tighten up their backline, Vasco are well-positioned to secure at least a draw in this fixture.

“Vasco have shown incredible resilience in recent games, particularly when trailing, making them a tough side to overcome, even in hostile territory,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa. “Athletico’s defensive issues, combined with Vasco’s ability to perform in the second half, point to Vasco avoiding defeat as the best betting option.”

Correct Score Prediction: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Vasco da Gama

Given the context of the match, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely scoreline. Athletico Paranaense, despite their inconsistency, will likely score, especially playing at home where they generally perform better. They have found the net in most of their home matches, and Christian, who scored in the first leg, remains a potent attacking threat.

However, Vasco da Gama’s defensive organisation and resilience cannot be underestimated. They’ve conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game this season but have managed to keep six clean sheets. While they are likely to concede at least once, their recent attacking form, coupled with Athletico Paranaense’s defensive lapses, suggests they can grab a goal, especially late on. Pablo Vegetti, in particular, will be looking to add to his eight goals this season and should find opportunities against a weakened Athletico defence.

The last few encounters between these sides have generally been tight affairs, and with Vasco leading 2-1 on aggregate, they are under no pressure to chase the game. Their focus will likely be on controlling the tempo and hitting Athletico Paranaense on the counterattack, which could lead to a low-scoring draw.

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