Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Predictions

Athletic Bilbao vs Girona predictions for this this game in Spain’s La Liga. Girona aims to revive their La Liga title aspirations with a Monday night visit to Champions League hopefuls Athletic Bilbao. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Athletic Bilbao

La Liga | Gameweek 25 – Feb 19, 2024 at 8pm UK – San Mames Barria

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Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Predictions

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A Tactical Showdown at San Mames: Bilbao’s Home Strength vs Girona’s Resilience

Key Stats
– Athletic Bilbao have transformed San Mames into a stronghold, with their home form being key to their Champions League aspirations.
– Girona boasts the second-best away record in La Liga, underscoring their threat on the road.
– The encounter pits Bilbao’s aerial dominance against Girona’s ground-based attacking prowess, setting the stage for a captivating tactical duel.

In the realm of La Liga, where the battle for supremacy rages week in and week out, Athletic Bilbao’s upcoming clash with Girona presents a fascinating narrative. Girona, aiming to rejuvenate their title aspirations after a setback against Real Madrid, faces a formidable challenge against Athletic Bilbao, a team with its sights set on Champions League qualification. This encounter is not just a test of form but a tactical battle that underscores the strategic depth of Spanish football.

Athletic Bilbao: The Fortress Builders

Athletic Bilbao’s commendable home record this season is a testament to Ernesto Valverde’s tactical acumen. With San Mames becoming a daunting fortress, Bilbao’s approach has been characterised by robust defending paired with lethal counter-attacks.


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The potential return of Nico Williams and Gorka Guruzeta could inject dynamism into their final third, offering a stark contrast to their recent goalless draw against Almeria. The emphasis on utilising Inaki Williams’ pace and Oihan Sancet’s creativity underlines Bilbao’s strategy to exploit spaces behind opposition lines.

Girona’s Quest for Consistency

Girona’s remarkable campaign, marred only by their defeat to Real Madrid, highlights their resilience. Under Michel’s guidance, Girona has embraced a fluid attacking style, with Artem Dovbyk and Aleix García playing pivotal roles. However, their defensive fragility, as exposed by Real Madrid, poses significant concerns.

The absence of Yan Couto might necessitate adjustments, but Girona’s second-best away record in La Liga signifies their ability to bounce back. The challenge lies in balancing their aggressive playstyle with defensive solidity.

Strategic Battlefields and Key Duels

The midfield battle, particularly between Athletic’s Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta and Girona’s Aleix García, could dictate the tempo of the game. Bilbao’s strength in aerial duels, led by Yeray Alvarez and Iñaki Williams, will clash with Girona’s preference for ground-based, intricate play, spearheaded by Dovbyk and García. The wings will be crucial, as both teams seek to leverage width to disrupt compact defensive setups.

Managerial Influence and Tactical Dynamics

Valverde’s experience and tactical flexibility have been instrumental in Bilbao’s pursuit of a top-four finish. His ability to adapt to in-game scenarios will be crucial against a Girona side that has shown tactical versatility. On the other hand, Michel’s Girona has been a revelation, with an attacking philosophy that has surprised many. However, his challenge will be to address the defensive lapses that have occasionally hindered their progress.

Analysis of Expected Goals and Gameplay Prediction

Bilbao’s expected goals (xG) average reflects their efficiency in front of goal, especially at home. Girona’s higher xG is indicative of their attacking prowess but also highlights their defensive shortcomings. The game is likely to be decided in the midfield, with both teams vying for control to dictate the pace of the match. Bilbao’s compactness and quick transitions pose a significant threat, while Girona’s fluid attacking movements and pressing could unsettle Bilbao’s defence.

Suggestions for Improvement and Tactical Critique

For Bilbao, diversifying their attacking routes could enhance their unpredictability, reducing reliance on direct attacks. Girona, meanwhile, must address their defensive organisation without compromising their attacking identity. The critique falls on Michel for Girona’s defensive naivety in crucial matches. Balancing attacking flair with defensive pragmatism remains his biggest challenge.

Predictions and Rationale

  1. Both Teams to Score – Yes: Considering Girona’s potent attack and Bilbao’s formidable home record, it’s likely both teams will find the back of the net. Girona’s resolve to keep their title hopes alive and Bilbao’s ambition for Champions League football should result in an open game with scoring opportunities at both ends.
  2. Correct Score Prediction – Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona: Bilbao’s impressive home form and Girona’s vulnerability away from home, especially against top teams, tilt the prediction in Bilbao’s favor. Expect a closely contested match, with Bilbao edging it by leveraging their home advantage and Girona’s recent defensive concerns.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction – Iñaki Williams: Williams’ pace and ability to exploit spaces make him a prime candidate to score. Against a Girona defence that has shown susceptibility on the counter, Williams’ attributes could prove decisive.
  4. Corner Prediction – Athletic Bilbao to win more corners: Bilbao’s attacking approach, especially at home, often results in a higher number of corners. Predicting more corners for Bilbao aligns with their strategy to apply pressure and create set-piece opportunities.
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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.