Atalanta vs Verona Predictions

Atalanta vs Verona predictions for this Serie A fixture. Atalanta, seeking to recover from European disappointment, will target a Serie A victory as they host Hellas Verona in Bergamo on Saturday evening. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Oct 26, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta vs Verona Predictions

Will Atalanta’s Attack Overwhelm Verona’s Fragile Defence?

• Atalanta’s attacking dominance: Atalanta have created an average of 16.3 shots per game in Serie A this season, with 6 of those hitting the target. Expect them to keep Verona’s defence under constant pressure.
• Verona’s defensive fragility: Verona have conceded 15 goals in their first eight matches this season, averaging nearly two goals per game. Defensive lapses have led to four goals directly from errors, highlighting their vulnerability.
• Retegui’s red-hot form: Mateo Retegui has scored eight goals in as many Serie A appearances this season. His lethal finishing could be the difference-maker against a struggling Verona backline.

Our Tips

As Atalanta BC prepare to welcome Hellas Verona to the Gewiss Stadium this Saturday, emotions are running high in Bergamo. After an intense Champions League clash against Celtic that ended in a frustrating 0-0 draw, La Dea will be hungry to get back to winning ways in Serie A. Having dominated much of their European fixture, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men were left ruing missed opportunities as they peppered Celtic’s goal but were denied by the post and some heroic saves. Now, with Verona arriving in shaky form after a bruising 3-0 defeat to Monza, Atalanta will see this match as a prime opportunity to get their domestic campaign back on track.

Verona, on the other hand, find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 13th in the league after losing four of their last five games. Their manager Paolo Zanetti has plenty to worry about, with his side shipping 15 goals already this season – the third-worst defensive record in Serie A. Can Verona dig deep and produce a surprise, or are they simply outmatched against Atalanta’s potent attacking force?

Best Bet: Atalanta to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Backing Atalanta to win, with over 2.5 goals in the game, seems like the standout bet for this clash. Atalanta have been clinical in front of goal, scoring 18 times in just eight Serie A matches this season – a remarkable stat that makes them the league’s highest scorers so far. When you add Verona’s shaky defence into the mix, it feels like goals will flow naturally in this fixture.

Gasperini’s side come into the game with an average of 2.3 goals per game in the league, and Mateo Retegui has been in scintillating form with eight goals in eight games. Retegui’s presence in the box, combined with Atalanta’s ability to create big chances (3.9 per game), should provide Verona’s backline with a nightmare scenario. Let’s not forget that Atalanta have also hit the woodwork six times this season, so if their finishing sharpens up, they could be in for a big haul.

Verona’s defensive woes are hard to ignore. They’ve conceded 15 goals already, an average of 1.9 per game, and the fact that they’ve committed a staggering number of defensive errors – leading to four goals – suggests that they will struggle to contain Atalanta’s high-octane attack. Moreover, with Verona having lost four of their last five matches, confidence is likely low, making it hard to see them mounting a serious challenge, especially away from home.

It’s also worth noting that Verona haven’t exactly been strong at the other end of the pitch either, with only 12 goals scored in eight games. Their dependence on individual moments from players like Daniel Mosquera, who has bagged three goals, and Darko Lazovic, who has been directly involved in 46 Serie A strikes since joining Verona, isn’t enough to match the depth of Atalanta’s attack.

“Atalanta have shown their quality in front of goal, and with Verona’s defensive issues, it’s hard to see this match ending without a few goals. Atalanta to win, with over 2.5 goals, is where the value lies,” says Luca Pratesi, BettingTips4You.com’s expert.

Correct Score Prediction: Atalanta 4-1 Hellas Verona

When looking at a potential correct score for this match, a 4-1 victory for Atalanta stands out as the most likely outcome. Atalanta’s attacking firepower is undeniable, and given Verona’s leaky defence, it’s not unreasonable to expect La Dea to rack up the goals.

Atalanta have averaged 2.3 goals per game in the league, but in recent weeks they’ve been unlucky not to score more – as evidenced by their 23 shots against Celtic. Meanwhile, Verona’s tendency to collapse defensively (particularly early in games) suggests they will struggle to hold out for long against the relentless waves of Atalanta’s attack. The key here is that Atalanta have the habit of taking control early, leading at half-time in all of their recent victories, while Verona have trailed at the break in four of their last five defeats.

Verona may still nick a goal – they’ve managed to score in most of their matches this season – but that will likely be no more than a consolation. Mosquera and Lazovic are capable of creating something out of nothing, but with Atalanta’s superior possession game (averaging 56.4% ball possession) and a defence that will be keen to tighten up after their recent European frustration, any Verona strike is unlikely to affect the result.

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