Atalanta vs Fiorentina predictions ahead of this Serie A clash. Atalanta BC and Fiorentina conclude the Serie A 2023-24 season this Sunday with a long-delayed fixture. Click here for our free match preview, betting tips and predictions.
Serie A | Gameweek 29 – Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK at Gewiss Stadium
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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Predictions
Atalanta vs Fiorentina: A Climactic End to Serie A Season with Europa League Champs Set to Shine
Key Stats
– Ademola Lookman has scored seven goals in his last ten appearances for Atalanta.
– Atalanta have won their last six Serie A matches, scoring 18 goals in the process.
– Fiorentina have lost two of their last four away league games and conceded six goals in those defeats.
As the 2023-24 Serie A season draws to a close, Atalanta BC and Fiorentina are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing match-up. Scheduled for Sunday evening, this fixture has been rescheduled to accommodate both teams’ commitments in European competitions. Atalanta, fresh from their Europa League triumph, will host Fiorentina, who are recovering from their disappointment in the Europa Conference League final. This match offers a fascinating contrast between two teams with vastly different recent fortunes.
Match Context and Preview
The originally scheduled game was postponed due to the tragic passing of Fiorentina’s director Joe Barone, who suffered a heart attack shortly before kickoff. Consequently, this match, rescheduled to a time when other Serie A teams are on their break, now holds significance beyond the standard end-of-season clash.
For Atalanta, this fixture is an opportunity to cap off a remarkable season with a flourish. Their recent victory over Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League final ended a 61-year wait for silverware and solidified their status as one of Italy’s top clubs. This win also served as a fitting tribute to veteran coach Gian Piero Gasperini, whose leadership has been pivotal.
Ademola Lookman was the star of the Europa League final, netting a hat-trick that will be remembered by Atalanta fans for years to come. His form has continued in the league, scoring again in their penultimate match, a 3-0 victory over Torino. This result secured Atalanta’s position in the top three of the Serie A standings, a testament to their consistent performance throughout the season. The team has won six consecutive league matches, showcasing their formidable form.
On the other hand, Fiorentina’s season has been a rollercoaster of emotions. After reaching the Europa Conference League final for the second consecutive year, they once again fell short, losing to Olympiacos in extra time. This defeat highlighted their inability to capitalise on crucial moments, a recurring theme throughout their campaign. Despite these setbacks, Fiorentina managed to secure a return to European competition by finishing eighth in Serie A, thanks to Atalanta’s Europa League victory.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Atalanta: With third place still at stake, Gasperini is likely to field a strong lineup. Gianluca Scamacca, who has been in scintillating form, will spearhead the attack. His involvement in 14 goals since March underscores his importance to the team. However, captain Marten De Roon is sidelined with an injury, and Sead Kolasinac is doubtful due to a knee problem. Hans Hateboer will also miss out due to suspension.
Expected Lineup: Carnesecchi; Toloi, Djimsiti, Scalvini; Zappacosta, Koopmeiners, Ederson, Ruggeri; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Scamacca.
Fiorentina: Vincenzo Italiano’s side will be without Riccardo Sottil, who suffered a fractured collarbone. Gaetano Castrovilli, available again after missing the Conference League final, could feature. Italiano is known for his rotational approach, rarely naming the same starting XI twice. Giacomo Bonaventura, despite a disappointing midweek performance, is expected to start, having been a key player throughout the season.
Expected Lineup: Terracciano; Dodo, Milenkovic, Martinez Quarta, Biraghi; Arthur, Bonaventura; Gonzalez, Beltran, Kouame; Nzola.
Tactical Analysis and Key Areas of the Field
Atalanta’s recent form has been characterised by their attacking prowess and solid defensive displays. Their ability to score from various positions and situations makes them a versatile and unpredictable team. With players like Lookman, Scamacca, and Koopmeiners all contributing to the goal tally, Atalanta are a constant threat. Their defence, led by Scalvini and Djimsiti, has also been robust, keeping clean sheets in their last three games.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, have struggled with consistency, particularly in finishing their chances. Despite creating numerous opportunities, their inability to convert these into goals has been their downfall. The midfield battle, featuring Arthur and Bonaventura against Atalanta’s Koopmeiners and Ederson, will be crucial. Fiorentina’s defence, particularly Milenkovic and Martinez Quarta, will need to be at their best to contain Atalanta’s dynamic attack.
Predictions
Best Bet: Atalanta -1 to Win
Given their current form and home advantage, Atalanta are favourites to win this match. Their recent performances have shown a team in high spirits and capable of dominating their opponents. Fiorentina’s recent struggles, especially their fatigue from the midweek final, make it unlikely they will pose a significant threat.
Correct Score Prediction: Atalanta 3-0 Fiorentina
With Atalanta’s attacking firepower and Fiorentina’s defensive vulnerabilities, a 3-0 scoreline in favour of the home team seems plausible. Atalanta have consistently scored multiple goals in their recent matches, while Fiorentina have shown a tendency to concede.
Goalscorer Prediction: Ademola Lookman to Score
Ademola Lookman’s recent form has been outstanding, and he is likely to continue his scoring streak in this match. His pace and clinical finishing make him a constant threat to the Fiorentina defence.
Corners Prediction: Over 10.5 Corners
Both teams have a propensity to attack and create chances, which often results in numerous corners. Atalanta average 5.6 corners per game, while Fiorentina average 5.3. This match is likely to see plenty of action in the wide areas, leading to a high number of corners.
Innovative Market Prediction: Gianluca Scamacca to Have 3+ Shots on Target
Scamacca has been in excellent form and is central to Atalanta’s attacking play. Given Fiorentina’s defensive issues, Scamacca is expected to have multiple opportunities to test the goalkeeper. A bet on him having at least three shots on target is a strong proposition.
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