Aston Villa vs Newcastle United predictions for Saturday’s Premier League early kickoff clash at Villa Park. Aston Villa and Newcastle both need points for their European ambitions. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Saturday, 15th April at 12:30pm In:
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions
£20 Returns £39  ----- £10 Returns £85  Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Aston Villa’s European Ambitions Face Newcastle Test
Key Stats
– Ollie Watkins has scored in nine of his last 11 Premier League appearances for Aston Villa.
– Newcastle boasts a five-game winning streak, solidifying their position in the Champions League spots.
Aston Villa’s Impressive Turnaround Under Emery
Since the arrival of Unai Emery in October, Aston Villa’s fortunes have taken a dramatic turn. Under Steven Gerrard, the team was fearing relegation, and now they have even an outside chance of breaking into the top four. Villa are heading into Saturday’s lunchtime on the back of six wins in their last seven games, currently in sixth place, just nine points shy of a Champions League spot.
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Newcastle’s Resurgence After Carabao Cup Final Loss
Newcastle are also in top form after securing five wins in a row since the disappointment of their Carabao Cup loss to Manchester United. Eddie Howe’s men are now sitting in third place, ahead of United on goal difference, and a win here would be very important to consolidate that top-four position. The positive here is that they have found form again after a rather shaky period, and another win would set the stage for a crucial home clash against Tottenham that will be vital in determining their chances of a top-four finish.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Main Betting Tip: Draw
It is not surprising to see that Newcastle are the bookies favourites at 23/20, Villa can be backed at 49/18, and the draw is set at 49/20. If we look at the last 11 encounters between these teams, we can see that they have been evenly matched, with three wins each and five draws. Considering the form of the two teams, I would expect to see a rather close affair in which the draw makes more sense.
Under Emery’s guidance, Aston Villa’s midfield has become more cohesive and dynamic. The arrival of players like Leon Bailey, Boubacar Kamara, and Philippe Coutinho surely improved the team’s overall performance, as they are now more able to control the midfield and create goal-scoring opportunities.
The injuries to key midfielders, however, do pose a challenge for this upcoming game against a top Newcastle side. With Cash, Steer, Bailey, Kamara, and Coutinho all sidelined due to injuries, Emery has to focus on the depth and versatility of his squad to maintain their recent form.
The Magies have displayed remarkable defensive solidity, which has helped them achieve a five-game winning streak. This resilience will be fully tested against an in-form Aston Villa attack led by Watkins, and I do expect Newcastle to avoid taking too many risks and try to stay disciplined and organised to avoid getting surprised by the hosts.
The Battle for European Spots
With both sides vying for European spots, this match has high stakes. A win for Emery’s men will allow them to close the gap with the top four and increase their claim for a European berth, while a win for the Magpies will help them consolidate their Champions League spot.
This is why I predict that this will be a thrilling early kickoff affair between two teams in great form with European aspirations. Villa’s impressive turnaround under Emery is a guarantee, and the same can be said for Newcastle’s resurgence under Howe.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Value Bet: Ollie Watkins value bet
With both teams boasting in-form strikers, goals are expected in this high-stakes Premier League clash. Ollie Watkins has been in excellent form for Aston Villa, scoring nine times in his last 11 games, and looks a value pick to score the first goal of the match at the top price guarantee of 7/1 with William Hill (was 6/1).
With less to lose in the grand scheme of things and considering they are playing at home, it is realistic to expect a strong start from the Villans, who might well find the first goal of the match.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Correct Score Prediction: Draw 2-2
As mentioned before, both teams can rely on in-form strikers. If Watkins is a clear threat for the Magpies’ back line, so is Alexander Isak for the Villa’s, as the Sweden has found the net in the last three away games for Newcastle.
Villa’s consistent scoring record at home coupled with Newcastle’s excellent away record do suggest an open yet tight affair, which could well end with a 2-2 opening to this weekends Premier League games in great style.
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