Aston Villa vs Fulham predictions for Saturday’s Premier League encounter at Villa Park. The Champions League-chasing Villains will be looking to secure another three points at home against inconsistent Cottagers side. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Sunday, 12th November at 2:00 pm In:
Aston Villa vs Fulham Predictions
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Villa’s Historic Chase and Fulham’s Top Six Test: In-Depth Analysis of Premier League Clash
Key Stats
– Fulham have failed to score in five games this season, highlighting their attacking struggles.
– Douglas Luiz has been involved in a goal in each of his last seven Premier League appearances at Villa Park.
Aston Villa, under the meticulous guidance of Unai Emery, are on the cusp of equaling a 40-year club record. Their formidable streak at Villa Park is a testament to Emery’s transformative impact, with the team eyeing a 13th successive home league victory. This feat, last achieved in 1983, exemplifies Villa’s resurgence in the Premier League.
Villa’s recent setback against Nottingham Forest was a minor blip in an otherwise impressive campaign. With Liverpool and Arsenal within striking distance, Emery’s men are vying for a top-four spot. Their impeccable home form, characterised by five wins from five and a tally of 20 goals, sets the stage for another dominant display.
However, Villa’s defensive frailties have been a concern, with only two clean sheets in their last 13 outings. Despite their attacking prowess, this vulnerability could be a point of contention against Fulham.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Diaby, with an impressive BettingTips4You expert rating of 7.25, has been a vital cog in Villa’s attack. His stats this season include 3 goals and 3 assists, underlining his direct contribution to the team’s offensive play. His expected goals (xG) of 1.99 and expected assists (xA) of 2.09 further demonstrate his ability to be in goal-scoring and goal-creating positions. Moreover, Diaby has maintained an average of 2.1 shots per game, with nearly half of these on target, indicating his propensity to test the opposition’s goalkeeper regularly.
Villa’s offensive prowess at Villa Park this season has been remarkable, with the team scoring 20 goals in five home league matches, the best record in the division. This attacking dominance provides a fertile ground for Diaby to add to his goal contribution tally. Additionally, Fulham’s defensive record this season, conceding 17 goals in 11 matches, suggests vulnerabilities that a player of Diaby’s calibre can exploit.
Considering Diaby’s current form, his role in Villa’s attacking setup, and Fulham’s defensive challenges, the bet on Diaby to score or assist offers excellent value. It capitalizes on the likelihood of Villa’s continued attacking impetus at home and Diaby’s integral role in it. The boosted odds from Bet365 further enhance the appeal of this bet as a standout choice for value.
Fulham’s Uphill Battle
Marco Silva’s Fulham have endured a challenging season, marked by a lack of offensive firepower. The absence of Aleksandar Mitrovic’s goalscoring abilities is palpable, with the team struggling to find the net consistently. Fulham’s resilience, however, was evident in their near miss against Manchester United and a commendable draw at Brighton.
Their away form presents a ray of hope, but Fulham’s record against top-tier teams suggests a daunting challenge at Villa Park. The Cottagers have historically struggled in this fixture, adding to the weight of the task ahead.
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Key Players and Predicted Lineups
Aston Villa’s strength lies in their dynamic attack, with Douglas Luiz and Ollie Watkins emerging as pivotal figures. Their contribution will be crucial, especially in the absence of key players like Tyrone Mings and Emi Buendia. Fulham, on the other hand, will rely on Joao Palhinha and Bobby Decordova-Reid to ignite their attack, amidst injuries to crucial defenders.
Predicted Lineups:
- Aston Villa: Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Pau Torres, Digne; McGinn, Douglas Luiz, Kamara, Zaniolo; Diaby, Watkins
- Fulham: Leno; Castagne, Bassey, Ream, Robinson; Iwobi, Joao Palhinha, Andreas Pereira; Wilson, Carlos Vinicius, Willian
Strategic Outlook and Managerial Critique
Villa’s offensive strategy, while formidable, leaves them exposed at the back – a concern Emery must address. Fulham, under Silva, need to find a creative solution to their goal-scoring woes.
Emery’s transformation of Villa is commendable, but his defensive oversight warrants criticism. Silva’s conservative approach has kept Fulham afloat, but a lack of attacking ingenuity is a glaring issue.
In-Depth Team Analysis
Villa’s expected goals average showcases their efficiency in front of the goal, with a significant number of chances created per game. Fulham, contrastingly, have struggled to convert their chances, as evidenced by their lower goals-per-game average.
The match’s outcome will likely hinge on Villa’s attacking prowess against Fulham’s resilience. Key player duels, such as Watkins versus Fulham’s defence, could be decisive.
Analytical Predictions
1. Match Outcome: Aston Villa to Win
Aston Villa’s track record at Villa Park this season has been nothing short of extraordinary. With five wins out of five in the Premier League, they have established their home ground as a fortress. This impressive home form, combined with the fact that Fulham have struggled against top-tier teams, strongly suggests a victory for Villa. Despite Fulham’s resilience in recent fixtures, Villa’s offensive firepower, averaging 2.4 goals per game, gives them a clear edge. The presence of key players like Ollie Watkins and Moussa Diaby, who have consistently found the back of the net, further amplifies Villa’s winning prospects.
2. Correct Score: Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham
This prediction is grounded in Villa’s potent attack and Fulham’s defensive vulnerabilities. Aston Villa, boasting the best attacking record in the division at home, are likely to exploit Fulham’s defensive shortcomings. Fulham have conceded 17 goals in 11 matches, indicating a weakness that Villa’s aggressive forward line can capitalise on. While Fulham might manage to breach Villa’s defence, considering Villa’s recent inability to keep clean sheets, the overall balance of play and Villa’s attacking prowess make a 3-1 outcome a strong possibility.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Douglas Luiz to Score
Douglas Luiz’s transformation under Unai Emery has been remarkable. Moving from a defensive to a more attacking role, he has been directly involved in goals in his recent Premier League appearances at Villa Park. His tendency to venture forward and his increased involvement in Villa’s attacking plays make him a likely candidate to find the net. With Fulham’s susceptibility to conceding goals, Luiz’s propensity for timely forward runs and accurate shots positions him as a potential goalscorer in this fixture.
4. Corner Prediction: Aston Villa to Have More Corners; Total Over 10.5 Corners
Aston Villa’s style of play this season has been characterised by consistent pressure in the attacking third, often resulting in a high number of corner opportunities. This prediction is supported by Villa’s average of 6.5 corners per game in the Premier League. Fulham’s approach, likely to be more conservative, especially in an away fixture, could result in them conceding corners against Villa’s relentless attacks. The predicted total of over 10.5 corners for the match reflects both teams’ playing styles and Villa’s tendency to push opponents back, thereby increasing the likelihood of corners.
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