Aston Villa vs Everton Predictions

Aston Villa vs Everton predictions for Wednesday’s Carabao Cup affair at Villa Park. Both elated after their respective Premier League victories away from home over the weekend, Aston Villa and Everton will face off at Villa Park for the EFL Cup’s third round on Wednesday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Aston Villa
Match Live Wednesday, 27th September at 7:45 pm In:

Aston Villa vs Everton Predictions


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

An EFL Cup Showdown at Villa Park

Key Stats
– Aston Villa boast a remarkable 10-game winning run at Villa Park.
– James Tarkowski was pivotal in Everton’s recent win with a goal and an assist.
– Both teams have conceded 10 goals in their recent 6 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

On a euphoric high after their Premier League conquests away from home, Aston Villa and Everton are gearing up for a compelling contest at Villa Park for the EFL Cup’s third round. Aston Villa roared past Chelsea with a 1-0 scoreline at Stamford Bridge, with Everton marking their Premier League victory ledger with a 3-1 win over Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Aston Villa’s sojourn in the Europa Conference League, ensuring a skip over the initial two EFL Cup rounds, saw them taste the harshness of European football, with Legia Warsaw narrowly edging them out 3-2. Following this, a fresh Chelsea, intent on extending Villa’s woes, ended up falling short to the resounding power of the Lions.

The Roaring Lions and the Resurgent Toffees

The spotlight fell on Ollie Watkins during Villa’s recent match against Chelsea. Having been goalless in the 2023-24 Premier League season until then, Watkins’s masterful finish, following an initial block, was certainly worth the anticipation. Chelsea would’ve faced a more substantial defeat had Robert Sanchez not intervened crucially.


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With this, Aston Villa registered their fourth victory in six league games, ensuring their steady position in the table. Furthermore, the hosts are on an incredible 10-game winning spree at Villa Park, displaying a fierce determination to prevent a third consecutive third-round EFL Cup exit.

On the other hand, James Tarkowski, who wore Brentford’s colours from 2014 to 2016, was instrumental in Everton’s first win of the season. He set up Abdoulaye Doucoure for the opener and later scored a decisive header. Dominic Calvert-Lewin added the icing to the cake with a goal, pushing Everton to the safer terrains of the league table. This winning momentum came after their slender 2-1 victory against Doncaster Rovers in the EFL Cup. Yet, Sean Dyche’s team is on the hunt for their maiden clean sheet of the season, especially as they face the daunting challenge at Villa Park.

The Teams Take Shape

No new injuries emerged from Aston Villa’s side after their clash with Chelsea. Nonetheless, coach Emery has several injury concerns to address. Names like Emiliano Buendia and Tyrone Mings are amongst the long-term absentees. As for Everton, injuries plague the squad, including Dele Alli and Seamus Coleman.

In-depth Analysis

  1. BettingTips4You Expert Rating Performance
    • Aston Villa: With an average score of 6.95, they rank 10/20. Key performers include Douglas Luiz and Emiliano Martínez.
    • Everton: They stand at 12/20 with an average score of 6.91. James Tarkowski and James Garner are amongst the top-rated.
  2. Expected Goal Averages
    • Aston Villa: In their 6 matches, they have netted 12 goals but conceded 10.
    • Everton: They have scored 5 goals in their 6 matches, conceding 10.


1. Match Outcome: A Draw at Villa Park

Both Aston Villa and Everton have displayed patchy forms lately. On the one hand, Villa, fresh from a remarkable triumph over Chelsea, have an impeccable home record, boasting a ten-game winning streak at Villa Park. Everton, conversely, despite their recent victory against Brentford, have shown vulnerabilities, especially at the back with no clean sheets this season. Given the track record, while Villa seems to be the stronger team on paper, the Toffees have the firepower to level the scores, having previously demonstrated their attacking prowess. Therefore, while it might be tempting to back the home side given their recent run, both teams have enough in their arsenal to balance out the scales, leading to a possible stalemate.

2. Correct Score: 2-2

Factoring in both teams’ defensive frailties and offensive capabilities, a high-scoring draw seems plausible. Villa have recently netted 12 goals in their last 6 Premier League games while Everton, despite their struggles, managed to put three past Brentford. Given that neither side will want to exit the EFL Cup at this stage, the motivation to push forward should be evident. Coupled with their recent defensive lapses, a 2-2 scoreline appears a probable outcome.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Ollie Watkins

The young English striker, Ollie Watkins, seems to have found his rhythm, registering his first goal of the season in an exquisite fashion against Chelsea. His movement off the ball, combined with his ability to be in the right place at the right time, indicates he’s getting back into form. Given his recent performance and the fact that he’ll be eager to add more to his tally, Watkins looks a good shout to find the net against Everton.

4. Corner Prediction: Aston Villa to Win the Corner Count

Delving into the match dynamics, Villa’s attacking prowess, especially down the flanks, coupled with their penchant for pressing high up the pitch, often results in them winning several corners. Their recent stats reveal they’ve averaged 6 corners per game. Everton, on the other hand, while being capable offensively, often rely on counter-attacks, especially in away games, leading to fewer corner opportunities. Given the patterns and Villa’s home advantage, it’s likely that the Lions will edge out the Toffees in the corner count. However, given the attacking nature of both sides, predicting a high total corner count for the match might also be an enticing option for the more adventurous.


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.