Aston Villa vs Brighton Predictions

Aston Villa vs Brighton predictions for Saturday’s Premier League affair. Following their unexpected exit from the EFL Cup third round earlier this week, both Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion are set to clash at Villa Park this Saturday lunchtime in the Premier League, aiming to secure a victory. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Aston Villa
Match Live Saturday, 30th September at 12:30 pm In:

Aston Villa vs Brighton Predictions

Aston Villa and Brighton: Battle of Resilience at Villa Park

Key Stats
– Aston Villa boast a win streak of nine top-flight home games, their best since 1983.
– Brighton have a strong start in the Premier League, with five wins in six games and a league-high 18 goals.
– Both teams average six corners per game, hinting at a corner-packed match.

After a midweek EFL Cup disappointment for both Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, they will clash at Villa Park on Saturday in the Premier League, eager to regain their momentum.

Recent Form:

The Lions, despite showcasing an unpredictable streak of late, have shown resilience. Even amidst a challenging schedule, alternating between domestic and European competitions, Unai Emery’s men have rebounded quickly from defeats. One such occasion was their victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge following a loss to Legia Warsaw in the Europa Conference League. Yet, their recent 2-1 defeat to Everton in the EFL Cup, despite Boubacar Kamara’s late effort, halted their perfect home record for the season.


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Brighton, managed by Roberto De Zerbi, also faced mixed results recently. They triumphed over Bournemouth in the Premier League but faced defeats in their European and EFL Cup ventures. De Zerbi has emphasised the need for improvement, especially from the younger players, with a packed fixture list ahead.

Team Statistics:

While Aston Villa have shown strong form at home, winning their last nine top-flight matches at Villa Park, Brighton’s Premier League campaign has been remarkable. Having won five of their six opening games and netting 18 goals, they currently sit third on the table, just three points ahead of sixth-placed Villa.

A deep dive into team statistics showcases Brighton’s superior ball possession at 62.8% and impressive pass accuracy, with notable performances from players like Pascal Groß and Solly March. Aston Villa, on the other hand, have also shown their prowess, especially in front of the home fans, with their last significant win streak at Villa Park dating back to 1983.

Injury and Lineups:

Villa’s lineup might see several changes due to injuries. Midfielder Jacob Ramsey, along with Leon Bailey, could join others on the injury list. Brighton also has its worries, with De Zerbi likely considering changes to protect his players, including Ansu Fati, from potential injuries.

Tecnical Analysis

With Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion both facing a recent downturn in the EFL Cup, they’re each keen on finding their rhythm when they clash at Villa Park.

Offensive and Defensive Strategies

Aston Villa, under the management of Unai Emery, have showcased a playstyle that enjoys building from the back, with an emphasis on ball possession. This is reflected in their average possession statistic of 50% from the recent matches. Players like Douglas Luiz, Ollie Watkins, and Moussa Diaby, the top performers for the team, have been crucial in setting the tone up front. Diaby’s quick runs and Luiz’s ability to hold the ball in the midfield are perhaps Emery’s most significant weapons in breaking opposition lines.

On the other hand, Brighton’s strategy under Roberto De Zerbi is clear: dominate possession and create a multitude of chances. Their impressive 62.8% average ball possession attests to this. Brighton’s frontline, boasting players like Evan Ferguson, Solly March, and Kaoru Mitoma, have been potent, and their ability to consistently find the net from inside the box is a testament to their sharpness in front of goal.

Individual Performances of Key Players

While Aston Villa’s midfielder, Douglas Luiz, has been a dominant force in the middle with an average rating of 7.33, Brighton’s Pascal Groß, with a rating of 7.80, has proven his worth in both orchestrating play and chipping in with crucial goals. Both these players are the fulcrum of their respective sides, setting the tempo and directing play.

Impact of Management

Unai Emery’s influence on Aston Villa is evident. His experience in European competitions has shaped the team to balance between domestic and European duties. On the other side, Roberto De Zerbi, with his attacking philosophy, has carved out a Brighton side that’s delightful to watch, generating more expected goals than many of their Premier League counterparts.

Expected Goals Analysis

Brighton, having won five of their six Premier League matches, with a league-high 18 goals, have exceeded their expected goals tally. Aston Villa, while having an impressive home record, have shown defensive lapses, conceding two or more goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions. This indicates that while Brighton’s offensive efficiency has been commendable, Villa may need to address their defensive frailties.

Comparison and Dynamics of the Game

Brighton’s free-flowing football, emphasis on ball possession, and their ability to carve open defenses, gives them an edge, especially with their midfield maestro, Pascal Groß, in stellar form. Aston Villa, however, will rely heavily on their home form and the individual brilliance of players like Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby to make a difference.

Suggestions for Improvement

Aston Villa need to address their defensive lapses. A tighter backline, possibly with more protection from the midfield, could help them neutralise Brighton’s potent attack. Brighton, while excellent offensively, should be wary of counter-attacks, especially with Villa’s frontline’s pace.

Strengths, Weaknesses, and Potential Dynamics

Aston Villa’s strength lies in their home form and the individual brilliance of their players. However, their recent inconsistency and defensive frailties are areas Brighton could exploit. Brighton’s strengths are their possession-based football and their clinical finishing, but they should guard against complacency, especially having lost to Villa in their recent encounters.

In conclusion, while both teams are coming off EFL Cup losses, their Premier League form suggests an enticing encounter. Brighton’s attacking verve against Villa’s resilient home form sets the stage for an intriguing battle of tactics and willpower.


1. Both Teams to Score

Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, there’s substantial reason to believe that both will find the back of the net. Aston Villa have been involved in high-scoring matches, with their recent stats highlighting 12 goals scored in their last 6 Premier League matches. Brighton, on the other hand, have scored a staggering 18 goals in their previous 6 matches in the league. The Seagulls’ attack, particularly with players like João Pedro and Kaoru Mitoma, has demonstrated potency in front of the goal. With both teams having vulnerabilities in their defence, as seen by their recent goals conceded statistics, a ‘Both Teams to Score’ market seems a reasonable prediction.

2. Correct Score: 2-2

Delving deeper into the offensive patterns of the two sides, a high-scoring draw, potentially 2-2, seems plausible. Aston Villa have a decent home record and will be keen to maintain that. Brighton, however, with their impressive start to the Premier League season, won’t be easily pushed over. They’ve found the net consistently, and given the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, a 2-2 scoreline is within the realms of possibility.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Moussa Diaby

When analysing individual performances, Moussa Diaby stands out as a significant goal threat for Aston Villa. He’s one of the team’s top scorers this season, with 2 goals to his name already. His pace, agility, and ability to find pockets of space make him a continuous threat to opposition defences. Considering Brighton’s defensive record, which has seen them concede 8 goals in their last 6 Premier League outings, Diaby has a decent chance of finding the back of the net in the upcoming fixture.

4. Corner Prediction: Brighton to have more corners

The Seagulls’ style of play underpins this prediction. Brighton, with an average ball possession of 62.8%, tends to dominate matches and create numerous scoring opportunities, often leading to corners. In their last 6 league matches, both teams have averaged 6 corners per game. However, given Brighton’s propensity to maintain possession and drive forward, they might force the Villa defence to concede more corners. With players like Solly March and João Pedro who are skilled in taking on defenders, the likelihood of Brighton winning more corners than Aston Villa is high.

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.