Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions for this Premier League affair. Arsenal, the only side unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season, face Tottenham in a crucial North London derby, aiming to avenge recent knockout disappointments. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Premier League | Jan 15, 2025 at 8pm UK at Emirates Stadium
Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions
Best Odds Boost for this Match | |
Will Arsenal’s Resilience Prevail in a Feisty North London Derby?
- Arsenal’s Defensive Struggles: The Gunners have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four games, conceding against teams far weaker than Spurs.
- Tottenham’s Away Woes: Spurs have conceded in all 25 of their previous Premier League visits to the Emirates, a truly staggering statistic.
- Son Heung-min’s Influence: The South Korean forward remains Tottenham’s key threat, having been involved in the majority of their goals this season.
Our Tips
Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score | |
6/4 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Arsenal are favourites, but defensive frailties suggest a 2-1 or 3-2 home win with both teams scoring. Tottenham’s potent attack ensures they’ll trouble Arsenal’s weakened backline. | |
Yves Bissouma to Commit Over 1.5 Fouls | |
1/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Yves Bissouma is likely to commit over 1.5 fouls in this derby, given Arsenal’s possession dominance and his disruptive role against Ødegaard and Partey in an intense midfield battle. | |
Arsenal 2-1 | |
7/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning A 2-1 Arsenal victory seems likely, leveraging their home advantage and midfield control. Tottenham’s defensive frailties will be punished, but their attacking quality ensures they’ll find the net once. |
There’s never a dull moment when Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur collide, and Wednesday night’s clash at the Emirates promises to be no exception. The Gunners enter this derby licking their wounds after a bruising fortnight that saw them knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United and left with a mountain to climb in their EFL Cup semi-final against Newcastle United. Mikel Arteta’s men, second in the Premier League, know they cannot afford further setbacks if they are to maintain any semblance of a title charge. However, they will need to overcome a slew of injuries and a misfiring attack to dispatch their bitter rivals.
Tottenham, meanwhile, arrive in the midst of a Premier League slump. Ange Postecoglou’s side have just one league win in their last eight games and remain languishing in the bottom half of the table. Their inconsistent form was epitomised by a nervy FA Cup win over non-league Tamworth, where Spurs needed extra time to avoid humiliation. With their confidence fragile and their defence stretched by injuries, Tottenham’s task at the Emirates looks daunting. But derbies have a knack for throwing up surprises, and Spurs will look to exploit Arsenal’s own vulnerabilities, particularly with Gabriel Jesus and Bukayo Saka absent for the hosts.
This showdown is not just about three points; it’s a battle for pride and momentum. Arsenal will hope to draw energy from their home support, where they remain unbeaten in the Premier League this season. Tottenham, on the other hand, will be desperate to stop the rot and perhaps spring a surprise. Will the Gunners take the opportunity to heap further misery on their neighbours, or can Spurs rediscover their spark in the most heated of fixtures?
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The Best Bet: Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score
Arsenal are deservedly the favourites for this clash, but their defensive frailties make a clean sheet seem unlikely. A home victory combined with both teams finding the net stands out as the best betting option for this encounter.
While Arsenal’s defensive unit is usually solid at the Emirates, recent performances have exposed some cracks. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four outings across all competitions, conceding to sides far less potent than Spurs. Even more concerning for Arteta is the absence of key players. Bukayo Saka’s creativity and Gabriel Jesus’ intelligent movement will be sorely missed, forcing the Gunners to lean heavily on Martin Ødegaard, Leandro Trossard, and Kai Havertz – the latter of whom has been far from clinical in front of goal.
Tottenham, despite their struggles, still boast one of the Premier League’s best attacking records this season, with 42 goals in 20 matches. Son Heung-min remains a major threat, while Dejan Kulusevski and Dominic Solanke have shown glimpses of quality. The return of Lucas Bergvall to midfield adds further impetus. Spurs may have issues defensively – and those gaps are likely to be exploited by Arsenal – but going forward, they have the tools to trouble a Gunners backline that is not at its imperious best.
Arteta’s side have enough quality to secure the three points. Thomas Partey’s presence in midfield adds defensive steel, while Declan Rice offers balance between defence and attack. The Gunners’ ability to dominate possession should create opportunities for their front three to exploit Tottenham’s weakened backline. As BettingTips4You.com expert Tyler Morris notes: “Arsenal’s superior organisation and creativity, particularly in midfield, should see them come out on top. However, Spurs’ attacking prowess cannot be underestimated – this derby could see goals at both ends.”
With Spurs unlikely to sit back and Arsenal eager to bounce back from their recent disappointments, an entertaining derby with goals at both ends feels inevitable.
Second Prediction: Yves Bissouma to Commit Over 1.5 Fouls
One intriguing angle to watch in this match is the midfield battle, and Yves Bissouma could find himself at the centre of the action. The Tottenham midfielder has consistently been involved in physical duels this season, particularly against the league’s top sides, and his aggression often translates to fouls. With Arsenal expected to dominate possession, Bissouma is likely to be chasing the ball and tasked with disrupting the rhythm of players like Ødegaard and Partey.
The fiery atmosphere of a North London derby could also exacerbate this tendency, as emotions tend to boil over in these encounters. Bissouma’s track record against other top-six sides suggests he is prone to committing multiple fouls in such high-intensity games. Whether it’s breaking up counter-attacks or dealing with Arsenal’s intricate passing in the final third, the likelihood of the Malian midfielder overstepping the line at least twice seems high.
Given Arsenal’s attacking options and Spurs’ lack of control in midfield in recent games, Bissouma will almost certainly be tested defensively. Betting on him to commit over 1.5 fouls looks a smart play, particularly as he faces the unenviable task of tracking Arsenal’s fluid movement in central areas.
Correct Score Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur
A narrow 2-1 victory for Arsenal feels like the most plausible outcome. Both sides have struggled defensively in recent matches, but the Gunners’ superior quality and home advantage should ultimately see them edge their rivals. Tottenham’s vulnerabilities at the back, coupled with the absence of key defenders like Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven, make it hard to see them holding out against Arsenal’s attack, even in the absence of Jesus and Saka.
Arsenal are unlikely to run riot, given their recent struggles in front of goal, but they should create enough chances to find the net twice. Tottenham, for their part, have enough firepower to capitalise on Arsenal’s occasional lapses, and with Son and Kulusevski in the line-up, they are capable of scoring at least once. However, Spurs’ open style under Postecoglou often leaves them exposed, and Arsenal’s midfield quality should provide the hosts with a platform to dictate the game.
In what promises to be a fiercely contested derby, Arsenal’s greater composure and tactical discipline should prove decisive, but they may have to work harder than their fans would like to secure the victory.
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