Armenia vs Georgia Predictions

Armenia vs Georgia predictions for this UEFA Nations League. Armenia host Georgia in Yerevan on Thursday, battling for promotion to UEFA Nations League B. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Armenia vs Georgia Predictions

Can Armenia Upset the Odds Against Georgia in This Crucial Playoff?

• Armenia’s Home Struggles Continue – The hosts have won just three of their last 12 home matches, highlighting their difficulty in making home advantage count.
• Georgia’s Tougher Road to the Playoffs – While Armenia finished second in League C, Georgia had to battle in League B against the likes of Ukraine and the Czech Republic, proving they are used to stronger opposition.
• Missing Firepower Could Cost Armenia – With Spertsyan, Harutyunyan, Briasco, and Zelarayan all absent, Armenia are severely weakened in attack, making their goal-scoring struggles even more pronounced.

Best Bet for Armenia vs Georgia

Armenia and Georgia go head-to-head in Yerevan on Thursday evening in a high-stakes UEFA Nations League playoff. At stake is a spot in League B, with both sides aiming to prove they belong among Europe’s more competitive national teams.

For Armenia, this marks the start of a new era under Dutch manager John van ‘t Schip, who was appointed last month. His immediate challenge is to build momentum in a team that struggled for consistency in the group stage. Despite finishing second in their League C group, they were well off the pace set by North Macedonia and needed a last-match victory over Latvia to secure their place in the playoffs.

Georgia, on the other hand, come into this clash with a sense of unfinished business. They were just one point away from securing a promotion playoff in their League B group but instead find themselves fighting for survival. Willy Sagnol’s men had a mixed campaign—starting brightly with wins over the Czech Republic and Albania before a poor run of form left them finishing third.

This first leg in Yerevan is crucial. With Georgia hosting the return fixture, Armenia will be desperate to take an advantage from this home tie. However, with their poor home form and struggles in front of goal, they may find that easier said than done.

Best Bet for the Match: Georgia to Win

Georgia enter this match as slight favourites, and with good reason. Despite their inconsistency in the Nations League, they have been competing at a higher level than Armenia. Their seven points in League B came against teams like Ukraine, the Czech Republic, and Albania—far tougher opposition than what Armenia faced in League C.

One of the biggest concerns for the hosts is their inability to score consistently. In the group stage, they netted only eight goals in six games, with six of those coming in just two matches against Latvia. That means they scored just twice in their other four fixtures. If they struggled against teams of that calibre, it’s hard to see them troubling a Georgian side that has shown defensive solidity at times.

Adding to Armenia’s woes is the absence of some key players. Eduard Spertsyan, Hovhannes Harutyunyan, and Norberto Briasco are all sidelined, while Lucas Zelarayan is unavailable due to personal reasons. That leaves them without crucial attacking options in a game where goals will be hard to come by.

Georgia, meanwhile, will have to cope without Guram Kashia and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, both suspended. Kvaratskhelia’s absence is particularly significant, given his 17 goals in 40 appearances for his country. However, even without their star forward, Georgia have enough firepower to break through Armenia’s vulnerable defence. Sagnol still has Georges Mikautadze and Budu Zivzivadze leading the line, both of whom are capable of capitalising on Armenia’s defensive lapses.

Moreover, Armenia’s home form does not inspire confidence. They have won just three of their last 12 home matches, a worrying trend that does not bode well against a team that has proven capable of competing at a higher level.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington puts it:

“Armenia’s struggles in front of goal, combined with Georgia’s superior experience in tougher matches, make this a tough night for the hosts. Even without Kvaratskhelia, Georgia have enough quality to get the job done. Expect the visitors to take control and edge this one.”

With Georgia’s higher ranking, stronger squad depth, and experience against superior opposition, backing an away win is the best bet for this fixture.

Correct Score Prediction: Armenia 0-2 Georgia

Given Armenia’s difficulties in attack, it’s hard to see them breaching Georgia’s defence. They were outscored by their group-stage opponents and failed to score in half of their matches. With key attacking players missing, their offensive options are even more limited.

Georgia, meanwhile, have the quality to punish Armenia’s defensive frailties. Despite missing Kvaratskhelia, they still have capable finishers like Mikautadze and Zivzivadze, who can exploit Armenia’s backline. The hosts have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five games, and against a side that has competed at a higher level, their defence will be tested once again.

Expect Georgia to control the game, keep things tight at the back, and strike when the opportunities arise. A professional 2-0 victory seems the most likely outcome, setting them up nicely for the second leg in Tbilisi.

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