Argentina vs Bolivia Predictions

Argentina vs Bolivia predictions ahead of this Nations League clash. Argentina are favourites to secure a comfortable win against Bolivia, despite recent struggles. Bolivia have shown improvement but typically struggle against the reigning world champions, making an Argentina victory highly likely. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK at Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina vs Bolivia Predictions

Can Bolivia’s Recent Run Survive the Buenos Aires Test?

• Argentina’s Dominant Defence: Argentina have conceded just five goals in nine World Cup qualifiers, boasting an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game. Their defensive solidity will be a key factor against Bolivia.
• Bolivia’s Away Day Woes: Despite Bolivia’s recent success, they’ve struggled away from home, managing just one point in 11 trips to Argentina. Their poor travel form makes this an incredibly tough fixture.
• Messi Magic on Home Soil: Lionel Messi remains Argentina’s top scorer in the qualifiers with three goals. His return to the starting line-up will be a significant boost, especially with Argentina playing at home, where they’ve been undefeated in the last four matches.

Our Tips

As Argentina welcome Bolivia to Buenos Aires for another CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying clash, all eyes will be on the reigning world champions to deliver a strong performance after a somewhat underwhelming display against Venezuela. A 1-1 draw away from home, while not disastrous, has highlighted that Lionel Scaloni’s men are far from perfect. They’ve been strong at home, though, and now face a Bolivia side that’s on an upward trajectory under Oscar Villegas. Bolivia, fresh off a 1-0 victory over Colombia, will hope to continue their recent resurgence, but Argentina’s home form will make this an uphill task.

Bolivia’s success of late, including their surprising win over Colombia despite being down to ten men, has raised eyebrows, but Argentina’s sheer class and depth will likely prove too much. Bolivia’s challenge will be to hold their nerve in a city where they’ve historically struggled. So, can Bolivia’s newfound confidence make a difference, or will Argentina extend their dominance in this fixture?

Best Bet: Argentina to Win to Nil

For those looking to place their bets, Argentina to win to nil appears to be the most solid prediction. While Bolivia have shown resilience in recent matches, their attack lacks the firepower to seriously challenge Argentina’s defence, especially when playing away. Argentina have kept clean sheets in three of their last four home games in this qualifying campaign, and with players like Nicolas Otamendi and Cristian Romero back in the fold, the defensive line is expected to be rock solid.

Statistically speaking, Bolivia have struggled to create chances on the road. Their goal-scoring stats highlight this weakness: just 1.2 goals per game, with a significant drop-off in away performances. In stark contrast, Argentina have conceded only five goals across their nine qualifying matches, with a goals-against average of 0.6 per game. Given Bolivia’s struggles to score away from home, and their tendency to be overwhelmed in Buenos Aires, a clean sheet for Argentina seems almost inevitable.

Moreover, Bolivia’s best performances have come at extreme altitudes in El Alto, conditions that clearly favour them against visiting teams. When they leave the Andes, however, they lose their competitive edge, as evidenced by their track record in Argentina. They’ve never managed more than a solitary point in 11 visits to Buenos Aires.

The expected return of Messi to the starting line-up, along with key defenders like Romero and Otamendi, gives Argentina further assurance at the back. The lack of creativity in Bolivia’s midfield without Hector Cuellar, suspended after a red card against Colombia, will further limit their attacking options. Argentina’s midfield trio of De Paul, Fernandez, and Lo Celso will control the tempo, ensuring Bolivia spend most of the match chasing shadows.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa aptly put it: “Bolivia may have shown grit and determination at home, but travelling to Argentina is a different beast. With Argentina’s defence as tight as ever, Bolivia will struggle to find any cracks, making a clean sheet for the hosts the most likely outcome.”

Correct Score Prediction: Argentina 3-0 Bolivia

Building on the prediction of a clean sheet for Argentina, a 3-0 victory feels like the most plausible outcome. While Argentina haven’t been scoring freely in recent matches, the combination of their attacking talent and Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road suggests that the hosts will find multiple goals in this fixture. Argentina have averaged 1.4 goals per game in qualifying, and they’ll fancy their chances of surpassing that against a team that concedes 1.7 goals per match.

Lionel Messi will be crucial, of course, but don’t overlook the influence of Lautaro Martinez, who has been in fine form for the national team. His movement and physicality will pose problems for a Bolivian defence that’s often found lacking in away matches. With Martinez and Julian Alvarez supporting Messi, Argentina’s attack should comfortably overwhelm the Bolivian backline. Bolivia, meanwhile, may sit deep and try to frustrate Argentina, but the sustained pressure will eventually break them down.

In the reverse fixture, Argentina won 3-0, and there’s little to suggest that Bolivia will fare any better this time. Their defensive lapses and the absence of first-choice goalkeeper Carlos Lampe, still sidelined with an injury, will make it difficult to keep the scoreline respectable. While Bolivia’s recent run of form has been impressive, it’s come in much friendlier environments than what awaits them in Buenos Aires.

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