Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao predictions ahead of this clash in La Liga. Athletic Bilbao aims for a third consecutive win across all competitions against bottom-placed Almeria in Spain’s top flight on Monday evening. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Almeria
Athletic Bilbao

La Liga | Gameweek 24 – Feb 12, 2024 at 8pm UK – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

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Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

£20 Returns £42

Reason for tip: PSG's home strength and squad depth, against Rennes' potential European fatigue, favor the Parisians. With Vitinha's creativity, PSG's attack and midfield are likely to dominate, winning by at least a goal.

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£10 Returns £110

Reason for tip: PSG's 2.4 goals per game average against a possibly weary Rennes indicates a high-scoring match. Rennes might score, reflecting their resilience, but PSG's superior quality is likely to secure a win.

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The March of the Lions: Bilbao’s Quest for Glory Against Almeria’s Fight for Survival

Key Stats
– Athletic Bilbao have the second-best defensive record on their travels this season, a testament to their tactical discipline.
– Almeria have conceded 51 goals this season, highlighting their defensive frailties.
– Bilbao have won five of their last seven in La Liga, showcasing their form and consistency.

In the compelling narrative of La Liga, Athletic Bilbao’s journey to Almeria unfolds as a testament to resilience and ambition. Bilbao, standing tall in fifth place with aspirations of a Champions League berth, contrasts sharply with Almeria’s precarious position at the bottom, teetering on the brink of relegation. This match presents more than just a clash of teams; it’s a duel of fate against determination, where Bilbao seeks to extend their winning streak against an Almeria side desperate for survival.

The Crucible of Competition: Almeria’s Dire Straits

Almeria’s season has been marred by challenges, with the team languishing in last place, a stark 14 points away from safety. Their record, the most porous defence in the league conceding 51 goals, is a glaring indicator of their struggles. Despite a spirited performance against Valencia, the burden of consecutive defeats weighs heavily. Almeria’s predicament is compounded by significant absences, including Luis Suarez and Leo Baptistao, further destabilising their prospects against a formidable Bilbao side.

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Bilbao’s Blueprint for Success

Conversely, Athletic Bilbao’s campaign has been marked by strategic brilliance and solid performances, placing them within striking distance of the coveted top-four finish. Their recent triumphs, including a notable victory against Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey, underscore their resilience and tactical acumen. The team boasts the second-best defensive record on the road, a testament to their disciplined setup and Ernesto Valverde’s masterful guidance.

Expected Lineups and Tactical Outlook

Almeria’s lineup, adjusted for injuries and suspensions, will likely see Maximiano in goal, with a defence comprising Pubill, Baba, Chumi, and Centelles. The midfield and attack will pivot around Lopy, E Gonzalez, Arribas, Melero, Ramazani, and Lozano, aiming to exploit any openings. However, the absence of key players poses a significant challenge to their tactical flexibility.

Athletic Bilbao’s expected lineup, despite the uncertainty around Nico Williams, showcases their depth and quality. Simon in goal, flanked by De Marcos, Yeray, Paredes, and Yuri, provides a solid defensive backbone. The midfield and attack, featuring Ruiz de Gallareta, Benat, I Williams, Sancet, Muniain, and Guruzeta, highlight Bilbao’s balanced strength and creativity.

Key Battles and Strategic Dynamics

The match will likely be decided in the midfield, where Bilbao’s control and creativity will clash with Almeria’s determination and resilience. Key duels, such as Muniain’s craft against Almeria’s defensive midfielders, could tip the balance. Bilbao’s ability to exploit wide areas and their defensive solidity suggests a tactical edge over an Almeria side struggling for form and cohesion.

In-Depth Analysis: Team Strengths and Managerial Insights

Bilbao’s strategic prowess, underpinned by their defensive rigour and offensive versatility, contrasts with Almeria’s defensive vulnerabilities and attacking limitations. Valverde’s tactical nous, emphasising discipline and counter-attacks, has positioned Bilbao as a formidable force, while Almeria, under Gaizka Garitano, has struggled to find a consistent formula for success. Criticism of Garitano’s approach, particularly his inability to shore up the defence and inspire attacking dynamism, is warranted given the team’s precarious position.

Predictions

1. Match Outcome: Athletic Bilbao to Win

Athletic Bilbao’s superior form, tactical discipline, and defensive solidity make them the favourites. Despite Almeria’s fighting spirit, Bilbao’s consistency and quality, especially on the road, should see them secure a victory. The absence of key Almeria players further tilts the odds in Bilbao’s favour, reinforcing the expectation of an away win.

2. Correct Score: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria

Considering both teams’ form and historical outcomes, a 3-0 victory for Bilbao appears plausible. Bilbao’s balanced attack and stout defence, coupled with Almeria’s scoring struggles and defensive lapses, suggest a clean sheet for the visitors and a few goals to seal the deal.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Iñaki Williams to Score

Iñaki Williams, with his pace, power, and precision, stands out as Bilbao’s prime attacking threat. His form and ability to exploit Almeria’s defensive weaknesses make him a likely candidate to find the back of the net in this encounter.

4. First Half Result: Athletic Bilbao to Lead

Bilbao’s tendency for early dominance, combined with Almeria’s susceptibility to conceding early goals, suggests that the visitors could establish a lead by half-time. Bilbao’s strategic approach often involves asserting control and creating scoring opportunities from the outset, setting the stage for a first-half advantage.

£20 Returns £42

Reason for tip: PSG's home strength and squad depth, against Rennes' potential European fatigue, favor the Parisians. With Vitinha's creativity, PSG's attack and midfield are likely to dominate, winning by at least a goal.

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£10 Returns £110

Reason for tip: PSG's 2.4 goals per game average against a possibly weary Rennes indicates a high-scoring match. Rennes might score, reflecting their resilience, but PSG's superior quality is likely to secure a win.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.