Alaves vs Valladolid Predictions

Alaves vs Real Valladolid predictions ahead of La Liga meeting at the Mendizorrotza. Alaves and Real Valladolid, both struggling for form, face off in La Liga on Friday evening at Mendizorrotza Stadium in what promises to be a crucial clash for both sides. Here are our free betting tips and predictions ahead of the match.

Alaves
Real Valladolid

La Liga | Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Valladolid Predictions

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Can Alaves Hold Off Real Valladolid’s Struggling Attack?

  • Alaves’ home resilience: Alaves have picked up seven points from their four home matches this season, demonstrating that they are a tough team to beat on their own turf.
  • Valladolid’s defensive nightmares: Real Valladolid have conceded 19 goals in just nine games, the most in La Liga. This porous defence has been a major factor in their lowly league position.
  • Improving Valladolid attack: Despite their poor overall record, Valladolid have managed to score in each of their last three games, suggesting their attack is starting to find some form.

Our Tips

Alaves and Both Teams to Score
3/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
The best bet for this match is Alaves to win with both teams to score. Alaves' strong home form and Valladolid's leaky defence make a home win likely, while Valladolid’s recent improvement in attack suggests they’ll find the net.
Alaves 2-1
12/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-1 win for Alaves seems likely. Alaves' strong home scoring form and Valladolid's defensive struggles suggest the hosts will net twice, while Valladolid’s recent improvement in attack points to them grabbing a consolation goal.

Friday night’s La Liga clash between Deportivo Alaves and Real Valladolid promises to be an intriguing match-up, with both teams in dire need of a turnaround in form. Alaves, currently sitting in 13th place, will welcome their opponents to Mendizorrotza Stadium on the back of three consecutive defeats. However, despite this recent slide, their overall start to the season has not been entirely discouraging. With ten points from their opening nine matches, they remain just three points shy of the top half.

Real Valladolid, meanwhile, are languishing in 19th, with only five points to their name. Their form has been woeful, particularly on the road, where they’ve lost all four of their La Liga matches this season. Add to that their shocking defensive record – they’ve conceded 19 goals, the most in the division – and it’s clear that this is a team in desperate need of a result. Alaves might smell blood here, but as both sides come into this fixture on the back of three straight defeats, the pressure is mounting on both camps.

Best Bet: Alaves to Win and Both Teams to Score

The standout bet for this clash is undoubtedly Alaves to win, with both teams finding the net. It might seem like a contradiction, given Valladolid’s struggles, but the stats suggest that both sides have leaky defences, and this should create opportunities for both to score.

Alaves have been more reliable at home, collecting seven points from four matches at Mendizorrotza, and they’ll fancy their chances against a Valladolid side that have shipped 19 goals already. The White and Violets have conceded at a rate of over two goals per game, and this weak backline will surely struggle to contain an Alaves attack that has netted 11 times this season.

However, despite their woes, Valladolid have shown some signs of improvement in attack recently. They’ve managed to score in their last three La Liga outings, suggesting they might finally be finding some rhythm in front of goal. It’s not a lot to shout about – they’ve only scored five times all season – but those three goals in three games show that they are starting to create better opportunities. Their top scorer, Raul Moro, will be key here, and if Valladolid can keep him involved, there’s a good chance they can get on the scoresheet, even if it’s just a consolation.

This combination of Alaves’ solid home form and Valladolid’s vulnerable defence makes backing the home side to win a sensible call. However, given that both teams have been leaking goals – Alaves have conceded 15 in their nine games – it’s likely that Valladolid will manage to grab a goal of their own, but it won’t be enough to stop the hosts from securing the three points.

“Alaves’ home form is decent, and they should have too much for a fragile Valladolid defence. But with both teams struggling at the back, don’t be surprised to see Valladolid nick one,” explains BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gebasa. “Backing Alaves to win and both teams to score looks a solid option here, especially given the stats on both sides’ defences.”

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Correct Score Prediction: Alaves 2-1 Real Valladolid

In terms of a correct score prediction, 2-1 to Alaves feels about right. The home side have shown they can score goals, particularly at home, where they’ve netted seven in four matches. But with a defence that has conceded 15 goals already, it’s unlikely they will keep a clean sheet.

Valladolid, for all their struggles, have shown some signs of life in attack, managing to score in their last three games. But their defensive frailties – conceding 19 times already – will almost certainly prove their undoing again. Alaves should have enough to capitalise on this, especially if players like Carlos Vicente, who has already scored twice from wide areas, are given space to exploit.

A 2-1 scoreline would align with both teams’ recent patterns – Alaves are capable of scoring, but they also concede, while Valladolid are weak at the back but have found the net in their recent games. In the end, it’s difficult to see anything other than an Alaves victory, but not without a scare from Valladolid.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.