Alaves vs Mallorca Predictions

Alaves vs Mallorca predictions for this La Liga fixture. Alaves aim to end their five-game La Liga losing streak as they host Mallorca on Friday night, seeking a crucial win. Read on for our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.

La Liga | Nov 1, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Mallorca Predictions

Can Mallorca Continue Their Impressive Form at a Struggling Alaves?

• Mallorca’s Defence: A Wall
  • With only eight goals conceded in 11 matches, Mallorca have built their success on a rock-solid backline. They’ve also kept five clean sheets, showing they’re one of the most disciplined sides defensively in La Liga.
• Alaves’ Goal Drought
  • Alaves have scored just 13 goals in 11 games, and their recent form is even worse, with no goals in three of their last four league encounters. This lack of firepower has been a major contributor to their five-game losing streak.
• Mallorca’s Away Form
  • Mallorca have won three of their last five away matches, demonstrating their ability to pick up crucial points on the road. Despite not being prolific, they’ve shown a knack for winning tight, low-scoring games.

Our Tips

Friday’s La Liga clash between Alaves and Mallorca sets up an intriguing narrative, as two teams at opposite ends of form and expectation lock horns. Alaves are desperately looking to snap a five-game losing streak in the league, while Mallorca are in a far more positive situation, comfortably sitting in seventh place. A victory for the visitors would further cement their credentials as an emerging side this season, potentially propelling them into the conversation for a European spot. However, Alaves, with their backs against the wall, could provide a tricky challenge, especially on home turf.

The stakes are high for both sides. Alaves are teetering above the relegation zone, and another defeat could plunge them deeper into trouble, while Mallorca will be eager to exploit their form to climb further up the table. It’s a contest between a team on the rise and a team on the ropes, and that imbalance will likely dictate how the match unfolds.

Best Bet: Mallorca to Win and Under 2.5 Goals

The standout prediction for this encounter is Mallorca to win and under 2.5 goals, a bet that feels particularly well-suited to the context of the game. Mallorca have been a force to reckon with defensively this season, conceding just eight goals across their 11 league matches, one of the best defensive records in the division. The reason for backing them to edge out Alaves lies in their strong away form combined with Alaves’ struggle to find the back of the net.

Alaves have lost five La Liga games in a row, and during this run, they have often looked toothless in attack. Scoring just 13 goals in 11 matches, they have frequently laboured in front of goal, particularly against solid defensive teams. Mallorca fit this mould perfectly. With five clean sheets already this season, the visitors boast the kind of defensive organisation that should comfortably contain Alaves’ misfiring attack.

Moreover, Alaves’ tendency to play in low-scoring encounters – largely due to their struggles in front of goal and their shaky defence – aligns well with the under 2.5 goals market. They have only scored more than one goal in two of their last five games, while Mallorca, despite their lofty league position, aren’t exactly prolific either. Their tally of 10 goals in 11 games tells the story of a team who are happy to grind out results without blowing teams away.

Gerard Gabasa, BettingTips4You.com’s resident expert, backs this prediction: “Mallorca’s defence has been rock solid all season, and with Alaves struggling to score, the visitors should get the job done in a tight, low-scoring affair. A 1-0 win for Mallorca feels right.” This bet encapsulates the form of both sides perfectly—Alaves’ blunt attack versus Mallorca’s watertight defence.

Mallorca’s away form also strengthens the case for this bet. With three victories in their last five away matches, they have proven capable of getting results on the road, often through disciplined, organised performances. They are unlikely to go on a goal-scoring spree here, but they are more than capable of grinding out another low-scoring win against a struggling Alaves side.

Correct Score Prediction: Alaves 0-1 Mallorca

Given Mallorca’s excellent defensive structure and Alaves’ lack of potency in attack, the correct score prediction of 0-1 in favour of Mallorca is a logical extension of the best bet. While Mallorca’s attack hasn’t set the league alight, they have consistently found a way to nick crucial goals in close contests, as seen in their narrow 1-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano just a couple of games ago. A similar outcome feels likely here.

Mallorca’s 10 goals from 11 matches paint a picture of a side content to edge matches with fine margins rather than dominate them offensively. On the flip side, Alaves, who have conceded 19 goals this season, are vulnerable at the back but not consistently being blown away by opponents. In fact, only two of their seven losses have been by more than a single goal.

Alaves’ recent form shows their struggles on both ends of the pitch. They have failed to score in three of their last four league games, and when facing an in-form and defensively resolute side like Mallorca, they are likely to be frustrated again. Meanwhile, Mallorca’s impressive defensive record suggests they can contain the threat of Alaves, who are hardly prolific in front of goal. As such, a single goal from the visitors could be enough to settle this game.

The numbers support this outcome. Alaves average just 1.2 goals per game, while Mallorca, despite their strong defensive record, average less than a goal per game themselves at 0.9. With such low-scoring tendencies on both sides, a tight 1-0 win for the visitors feels like a sensible prediction.

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