Alaves vs Eibar Predictions

Alaves vs Eibar predictions for Thursday’s Segunda Division playoff at Mendizorroza. Who will prevail in this crucial matchup? Read on for all our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.

Alaves vs Eibar
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Alaves vs Eibar Predictions

Clash of Equals

Key Stats
– Alaves and Eibar: A tale of equals with both teams averaging 1.1 goals per game
– Corner galore: Alaves and Eibar collectively average 10.8 corners per game
– In the realm of draws: Four of Alaves’ last five games and five of Eibar’s last ten games have been draws

In the throbbing heart of the Segunda Division play-off semi-final, Alaves prepare to lock horns with Eibar at their home ground, Mendizorrotza. The excitement is palpable as the first leg of this dramatic encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, leaving the fate of both teams delicately poised.

The Opening Scene

In the initial face-off, Mamadou Sylla, the dynamic forward for El Glorioso, made the first mark by scoring in the ninth minute. However, the joy was short-lived as Juan Diego Molina Martinez, the spearhead of Los Armeros, evened the score in the dying minutes of the first half. A twist in the tale appeared in the 73rd minute with the dismissal of Anaitz Arbilla from the Eibar squad. Despite this setback, Alaves couldn’t capitalise on their one-man advantage and ended up settling for a tie.


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The Advantage

Entering the second leg at home, Luis García Plaza’s team holds a strategic edge. Yet, their attack needs to gear up to convert this advantage into a victory and secure a place in the final. It’s a crucial lesson learned from the first leg, where Eibar launched 14 shots compared to Alaves’ three. Interestingly, despite having 48% possession, Eibar managed to have four of those on target, while Alaves could only get one shot on target – the one that resulted in Sylla’s goal.

The Historical Context

Considering the past, these teams have met 33 times, with Eibar emerging victorious in 15 games, narrowly surpassing Alaves’ 12 wins. However, the recent record leans in favor of Alaves, with Eibar only securing one victory in their last eight encounters. Eibar’s struggle becomes more pronounced when considering their away performance, having won just one of their last five matches. Meanwhile, Alaves have been unbeaten in their last ten home games since their loss to Sevilla in the Copa Del Rey.

The Statistical Deep Dive

The second leg promises an intense tussle, with both sides showing potential to turn the tables. Both teams have netted goals in their recent games, with Alaves recording goals in five of their last seven games and Eibar in seven of their last ten. This propensity to score and their previous record of a 1-1 draw hint at a likely repeat scoreline.

In a deeper dive, Alaves average 1.1 goals per game, with a shot-on-target average of 3.5. They have also demonstrated a propensity for generating corners, with an average of 5.6 per game. This trend can be pivotal in pushing the game beyond the threshold of 10.5 corners, a key prediction.

Eibar, though matching Alaves’ goal per game ratio, shows a slightly higher shot-on-target average of 3.7 and marginally lower corner rate of 5.2 per game. Notwithstanding, their superior possession statistics of 54.7% and higher successful long ball percentage of 52.2% show promise for an aggressive performance in the upcoming match.

A Showcase of Defensive Prowess

The robustness of both teams’ defenses adds another layer of anticipation to this match-up. Both Alaves and Eibar have an impressive record of clean sheets, with 16 and 18 respectively. Despite their attacking prowess, the teams have kept their goals conceded per game to below one, with Alaves at 0.8 and Eibar at 0.9. This reveals a staunch defensive front by both teams, contributing to the prediction of a low-scoring game, hence, a possible low score draw.

The Art of Deadlock Breaking

An intriguing commonality in both teams’ performance is the significant number of draws, with Alaves registering four draws in their last five games and Eibar recording five 1-1 finishes in their last ten matches. These stats further fortify the prediction of a draw in the upcoming face-off.

Juxtaposition of Playing Styles

Despite these commonalities, each team has a unique playing style. Alaves, with a possession percentage of 47.0%, focuses on a strong defensive game with an average of 15 tackles per game. This defensive solidity could help contain Eibar’s more aggressive style of play, which is evidenced by their higher ball possession of 54.7% and a larger average of 367 accurate passes per game. However, Alaves will need to break free from their defensive cocoon to capitalise on the opportunities that this game presents.

On the flip side, Eibar will need to convert their attacking game into goals. The data highlights their attacking style with a total average of 12.7 shots per game, which exceeds Alaves’ 11.4. But, their focus should be on accuracy rather than quantity to turn the tide in their favour.

The Final Predictions
With a comprehensive analysis, the predictions lean towards an Over 10.5 Corners due to the attacking nature of both teams and their corner-generating trends. Similarly, based on both teams’ balanced performances and scoring patterns, a 1-1 draw appears to be a plausible outcome in the correct score market.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!