Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Predictions

Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok predictions for this La Liga affair. Ajax, with a strong position in the Europa League playoffs, seek to confirm their group stage spot against Jagiellonia Bialystok on Thursday. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Ajax

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg | Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK at Amsterdam ArenA

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Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Predictions

Ajax Poised for Comfortable Progression Against Jagiellonia: Will the Dutch Giants Secure Another Convincing Win?
  • Ajax have scored in every Europa League game this season, with an average of 2.5 big chances per match.
  • Jagiellonia have scored in nine out of their last ten matches across all competitions, despite losing five in a row.
  • Ajax have an average of 14 shots per game, indicating consistent offensive pressure throughout their matches.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Athletic Bilbao to Win @ 21/20
Reasoning
Backing Athletic Bilbao for an outright win is a strong bet. Leganes’ offensive struggles, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, contrast with Bilbao’s sharper attack, led by Nico Williams, making the visitors favourites.
Odds subject to change
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In the second leg of their Europa League playoff, Ajax are set to host Jagiellonia Bialystok at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. The Dutch side already hold a significant advantage, having secured a 4-1 victory in the first leg away in Poland. As they approach this fixture, Ajax are not only aiming to confirm their place in the group stage but also to build momentum ahead of a crucial domestic clash with Feyenoord on the weekend. Jagiellonia, meanwhile, face a daunting task as they attempt to overcome a three-goal deficit, knowing their only hope lies in an extraordinary comeback.

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Backing Ajax to win while both teams find the back of the net emerges as the most compelling option for this fixture. While Ajax have demonstrated their attacking prowess, scoring four goals away from home, they have also shown vulnerabilities in defence, having conceded in their last three matches across all competitions. Jagiellonia, despite their recent struggles, have managed to score in nine of their last ten games, indicating that they possess the offensive capability to at least trouble Ajax’s defence.

The rationale behind this prediction is grounded in both teams’ recent form and statistical trends. Ajax, under new manager Francesco Farioli, have been prolific in front of goal, particularly in European fixtures, where they have consistently scored multiple goals. Their current average of 14 shots per game, with 4.5 of those on target, suggests they are likely to create several scoring opportunities once again. Additionally, Ajax’s ability to dominate possession, with an average of 61.5%, coupled with their passing accuracy of 87.2%, underscores their capacity to control the game and suffocate their opponents.

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67 OR MORE GOALS ACROSS TUESDAY'S 20 EFL TROPHY MATCHES COMBINED
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However, Ajax’s defensive record is less reassuring, having kept only one clean sheet in their last six matches. This vulnerability was evident even in the first leg, where they conceded an early goal. Jagiellonia’s offensive threat, led by captain Jesús Imaz and supported by the likes of Afimico Pululu, who scored in their recent league outing, cannot be entirely dismissed. Despite their poor form, Jagiellonia have managed to find the net regularly, averaging two goals per game in their domestic league. This trend suggests that while Ajax are likely to secure another victory, a clean sheet may elude them once again.

As our expert from BettingTips4You.com, Wolfgang Shotten, remarks: “Ajax’s attacking depth makes them overwhelming favourites, but their recent defensive lapses mean Jagiellonia could well nick a goal, making a home win with both teams scoring the smart bet.” The combination of Ajax’s superior quality and Jagiellonia’s tendency to score even when under pressure forms the basis of this prediction, offering a balanced yet profitable betting opportunity.

Correct Score Prediction: Ajax 4-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok

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Given the analysis above, the correct score prediction aligns closely with the best bet, suggesting a 4-1 victory for Ajax. This scoreline mirrors the outcome of the first leg, reflecting both Ajax’s attacking dominance and their occasional defensive frailties. With the Dutch side expected to rotate their squad slightly, players like Chuba Akpom, who scored a hat-trick in the first leg, will be eager to make their mark again, especially in front of their home crowd.

Jagiellonia’s recent defensive woes, highlighted by their concession of 16 goals in their last five matches, suggest they are unlikely to contain Ajax’s attack for long. However, their ability to score, evidenced by their nine goals in five Ekstraklasa matches, means they are capable of at least salvaging a consolation goal. This prediction not only takes into account Ajax’s overall superiority but also respects Jagiellonia’s knack for finding the net, even in adverse circumstances.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!