AC Milan vs Liverpool Predictions

AC Milan vs Liverpool predictions for this Champions League clash. Old Champions League rivals AC Milan and Liverpool reunite for Tuesday’s league phase opener, starting their latest European campaigns under the bright lights of San Siro. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

AC Milan
Liverpool

Champions League | League Stage | Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK at San Siro Stadium

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AC Milan vs Liverpool Predictions

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
LIVERPOOL TO WIN
+
OVER 3.5 GOALS
+
LUIS DÍAZ TO SCORE
8/1 (was 7/1)
Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change; Stake Limits Might Apply; T&C's Apply; #Ad GambleAware 18+ Only 
Can Liverpool Reassert Their European Dominance at San Siro?
  • Liverpool’s Defensive Strength: The Reds have conceded just one goal in their opening four Premier League matches, keeping three clean sheets in the process, underlining the resilience of their backline.
  • Milan’s Attack in Form: AC Milan have scored nine goals in their four Serie A games, with 2.3 goals per match on average. However, they’ve also conceded six, showing their defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Mohamed Salah’s European Impact: Salah has been directly involved in five goals in his last four Champions League appearances, and he’s already scored three goals in the Premier League this season.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Liverpool to Win @ 10/11
Reasoning
Backing Liverpool to win is a solid prediction. Their strong European pedigree, Mohamed Salah’s form, and defensive resilience give them an edge over AC Milan, who’ve struggled with inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities this season.
Odds subject to change
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As the UEFA Champions League kicks off in full swing, two European heavyweights, AC Milan and Liverpool, are set to face each other at the iconic San Siro. Both sides enter the competition eager to assert themselves, with contrasting fortunes in recent domestic performances adding further intrigue to this encounter. The last time these two clubs met, it was a pulsating contest, and their respective fan bases will expect no less on Tuesday night. Under the guidance of new managers, Arne Slot for Liverpool and Paulo Fonseca for AC Milan, both teams will be looking to start their Champions League campaign on a high note.

Liverpool’s defeat to Nottingham Forest last weekend has raised questions about their consistency, but their formidable record in European competition cannot be discounted. Meanwhile, AC Milan, fresh from a morale-boosting 4-0 victory over Venezia, will aim to take that momentum into their midweek fixture. With both clubs eyeing progression beyond the group stage, this match will likely set the tone for their European ambitions this season.

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The standout prediction for this game is backing Liverpool to secure a victory. Despite their recent Premier League setback, the Reds have consistently proven their mettle in Europe, especially in away games against Italian opposition. Their Champions League pedigree, combined with the tactical nous of Arne Slot, gives them a slight edge in this contest.

Liverpool’s key advantage lies in their ability to respond to setbacks quickly. After an underwhelming performance against Nottingham Forest, where they dominated the shot count but failed to convert, Slot will surely emphasise the importance of clinical finishing at San Siro. The Reds’ attack, spearheaded by the ever-reliable Mohamed Salah, has looked threatening in most games this season, scoring seven goals across four Premier League matches. Salah, in particular, has been in exceptional form, scoring in three of Liverpool’s first four fixtures.

Moreover, Liverpool’s defensive solidity should not be overlooked. With Virgil van Dijk marshalling the backline, the Reds have kept three clean sheets in their opening four matches, conceding only once. AC Milan’s inconsistency in Serie A—where they managed only one win in four games—suggests that their attack might struggle to break down this resolute defence. Milan’s attacking trio of Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, and Rafael Leão may have shone against Venezia, but Liverpool’s defence presents a much tougher challenge.

While Milan’s recent form gives them some hope, their overall inconsistency this season makes them vulnerable against high-calibre opposition like Liverpool. The Rossoneri have conceded six goals in four games, and this porous defence could be their undoing against Liverpool’s potent attack. Furthermore, Liverpool have shown resilience in their European travels, winning four of their last five away games against Italian clubs.

According to Tyler Morris, our BettingTips4You.com expert, “Liverpool’s quality in the final third, coupled with their European experience, makes them strong favourites. They may have stumbled domestically, but their tactical flexibility under Slot should see them through against a shaky Milan defence.”

Correct Score Prediction

Bookmaker
Liverpool 3-1 @ 23/2
Reasoning
A 3-1 Liverpool win seems likely. Liverpool's potent attack, led by Salah and Gakpo, should overwhelm Milan’s shaky defence, while Milan could still grab a goal through Leão or Pulisic.
Odds subject to change
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For the correct score prediction, the most likely outcome appears to be a 3-1 win in favour of Liverpool. This scoreline aligns with Liverpool’s attacking firepower and AC Milan’s defensive frailties. Although the Reds are expected to dominate, Milan are capable of finding the back of the net, especially with Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic in decent form.

Liverpool’s ability to generate numerous scoring opportunities should come to the fore at San Siro, particularly after their frustrating performance against Nottingham Forest. AC Milan, who have scored nine goals in their four Serie A matches, can pose a threat to Liverpool’s backline, especially in transition. However, given the Rossoneri’s defensive record, it’s hard to see them keeping Liverpool out for the entire 90 minutes.

Milan’s potential to score, coupled with Liverpool’s dominance, suggests a scoreline where Milan might grab a consolation goal, but Liverpool will have too much for them. With the likes of Salah and Cody Gakpo likely to be involved in the attacking third, the Reds should comfortably breach Milan’s defence multiple times.

Goalscorer Prediction

Bookmaker
Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime @ 11/8
Reasoning
Mohamed Salah is a strong pick to score, given his impressive form and history against AC Milan. His movement and finishing ability, combined with Liverpool's attacking dominance, make him a constant threat.
Odds subject to change
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Mohamed Salah remains one of the most reliable goal-scorers in European football, and the Egyptian forward is our pick to score at least once in this match. Salah has already netted three goals in the Premier League this season and has a proven track record in the Champions League, particularly against AC Milan, where he scored in both group-stage games during the 2021-22 campaign.

Liverpool will rely heavily on Salah to break down Milan’s defence. His movement off the ball, combined with his finishing ability, makes him a constant threat. Even though AC Milan kept a clean sheet against Venezia, their defensive vulnerabilities were laid bare in earlier games, and against a player of Salah’s calibre, they are unlikely to hold firm for long.

Salah’s positioning and ability to exploit space in behind Milan’s defence will be key. With Liverpool expected to dominate possession, it’s hard to see Milan keeping Salah quiet throughout the match. His link-up play with the likes of Szoboszlai and Gakpo should provide him with ample opportunities to find the net.

Additional Prediction

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Another intriguing prediction for this match revolves around the total number of shots on target. Both AC Milan and Liverpool are sides that tend to create plenty of chances, and given the stakes of the game, we can expect an open contest with numerous shots on goal.

Liverpool are averaging 5.3 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season, and they managed 14 shots in their defeat to Nottingham Forest, despite failing to convert. Meanwhile, Milan, with their attacking trio of Pulisic, Leão, and Abraham, have averaged 5.8 shots on target per game in Serie A.

With both teams eager to make a statement in their Champions League opener, it’s reasonable to predict that the total shots on target will exceed 8.5 by the end of the match. This bet aligns with the attacking intent both managers are expected to deploy and the likelihood of a fast-paced game with plenty of goalmouth action.

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.