Palmeiras vs Atletico Goianiense predictions, betting tips and match previews for this Brazilian Serie A clash. Palmeiras aim for their sixth consecutive home win as they host Atletico Goianiense in round 16 of the Brasileiro Serie A on Thursday. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Brasileiro | Jul 11, 2024 at 11.30pm UK at Allianz Parque
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Palmeiras vs Atletico Goianiense Predictions
Can Palmeiras Maintain Their Dominance Against Atletico Goianiense?
Key Stats
– Estevao has four goals and three assists in his last eight games.
– Palmeiras average 19.1 total shots per game, significantly higher than Atletico Goianiense’s 13.9.
– Atletico Goianiense have failed to win any of their last six matches, highlighting their current struggles.
Palmeiras will aim to secure their sixth consecutive home victory as they host Atletico Goianiense in round 16 of the Brasileiro Serie A. Atletico Goianiense, struggling to find form, will attempt to end their six-match winless streak against a formidable Palmeiras side at Allianz Parque.
Recent Performances and Key Players
In their last outing, Palmeiras displayed dominance with a 2-0 victory over Bahia. The highly-touted youngster Estevao was instrumental, scoring just before halftime and assisting Rony in the second half. Estevao, who has been in remarkable form with four goals and three assists in his last eight games, will be a pivotal figure against Atletico Goianiense. This victory extended Palmeiras’ impressive run, having remained unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches across all competitions, propelling them to third place in the Serie A standings.
On the other hand, Atletico Goianiense have had a dismal season, languishing at the bottom end of the table. They have managed only two wins from 15 league matches, with their last outing ending in a 2-1 defeat to Athletico Paranaense. Despite taking the lead through Luiz Fernando, Atletico Goianiense failed to maintain their advantage, highlighting their defensive frailties.
Team News and Lineups
Palmeiras will be without several key players, including Richard Rios, who is on international duty, and injured players Murilo Cerqueira, Lazaro, Bruno Rodrigues, and Romulo. Ze Rafael is also set to miss out due to injury. Despite these absences, the expected lineup of Weverton; Mayke, Reis, Gomez; Estevao, Moreno, Menino, Veiga, Piquerez; Lopez, and Rony, remains strong. This lineup suggests a balanced approach, with a blend of defensive solidity and attacking prowess.
Atletico Goianiense, dealing with their own issues, will be without Derek Freitas, who is suspended, and injured players Pedro Henrique and Gustavo Campanharo. Their probable starting XI includes Ronaldo; Romao, Vinicius, Martins, Maguinho; Baralhas, Kal, Roni, Rhaldney; Rodriguez, and Shaylon. This lineup indicates a focus on resilience and the hope of capitalizing on counter-attacks.
Expected Goals Averages and Gameplay Strategies
Palmeiras have been effective in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game with a high number of shots on target. Their defence has been equally impressive, conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Atletico Goianiense, however, have struggled offensively, averaging 0.9 goals per game while conceding 1.4 goals per game. This disparity suggests that Palmeiras are likely to dominate both possession and scoring opportunities.
In terms of gameplay, Palmeiras are expected to adopt an aggressive approach, leveraging their superior attacking stats and home advantage. Estevao’s creativity and Rony’s finishing will be crucial in breaking down Atletico Goianiense’s defence. Atletico Goianiense, on the other hand, may opt for a more conservative strategy, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to exploit any counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Duels and Areas of the Field
The midfield battle will be pivotal, with Palmeiras’ Estevao and Moreno likely to dominate against Atletico Goianiense’s Kal and Roni. The effectiveness of Palmeiras’ wing-backs, Mayke and Piquerez, in both defensive duties and supporting attacks will also be critical. For Atletico Goianiense, Luiz Fernando’s ability to exploit spaces and create chances will be essential.
Managerial Analysis and Tactical Critiques
Abel Ferreira’s management of Palmeiras has been commendable, fostering a balanced team capable of both attacking flair and defensive resilience. His tactical acumen will be tested against a team desperate for points. Conversely, Anderson Gomes of Atletico Goianiense faces criticism for his team’s lacklustre performances. His inability to instill a winning mentality and tactical coherence has left the team vulnerable, particularly in defence.
Predictions
Best Bet: Palmeiras -1 to Win
Given Palmeiras’ recent form and home advantage, they are expected to win convincingly. Their ability to score multiple goals and maintain a solid defence suggests they can secure a victory by at least two goals.
Correct Score Prediction: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico Goianiense
Aligning with the best bet, a 3-1 scoreline reflects Palmeiras’ offensive prowess and Atletico Goianiense’s defensive vulnerabilities. Estevao and Rony are likely to be among the goals, with Atletico Goianiense possibly snatching a consolation.
Goalscorer Prediction: Estevao to Score Anytime
Estevao has been in scintillating form, contributing significantly to Palmeiras’ recent successes. His knack for finding the back of the net and creating opportunities makes him a strong candidate to score against Atletico Goianiense.
Team to Score First: Palmeiras
Considering their home dominance and attacking statistics, Palmeiras are highly likely to break the deadlock. Their aggressive start and early pressing should see them score the first goal.
Innovative Market: Total Corners Over 10.5
Both teams have shown tendencies to win corners, with Palmeiras averaging 7.4 per game and Atletico Goianiense 4.8. Given the attacking nature expected from Palmeiras, an over 10.5 corners market seems viable.
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