Transfer Market Bet of the Day: Xavi Simons to Sign for Arsenal Is Tuesday’s Smartest Long-Odds Value Play – 22 July

As the summer window edges into its most decisive phase, Tuesday’s top long-odds betting opportunity lies with Xavi Simons making the move from RB Leipzig to Arsenal. Bet365 are currently offering 6/1 on the 22-year-old Dutch international joining Mikel Arteta’s side, and given the tactical need, growing interest and player preference, this could be one of the most undervalued markets left on the board.

⚽ Why Xavi Simons to Arsenal Could Be Tuesday’s Most Backable Transfer Bet

Simons is actively pushing for a Premier League move following RB Leipzig’s failure to qualify for European competition. Arsenal and Chelsea are both circling, but it’s the Gunners who appear better aligned tactically and financially to finalise a deal. With Leipzig now reportedly open to selling for under £60m, and Simons entering the final two years of his deal, the window for a move is wide open.

Chelsea have initiated contact but face internal squad balancing and positional overload, while Arsenal—after missing out on Wirtz—see Simons as the ideal creative reinforcement behind Viktor Gyokeres. If Arsenal firm up their intent, 6/1 with Bet365 could collapse quickly.

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🔄 Why Simons Fits Arteta’s Vision for Arsenal’s Attack

Simons isn’t just available—he’s precisely what Arsenal need. With Eberechi Eze’s clause complicating negotiations and injuries to key playmakers in recent seasons, Simons provides a fresher, more dynamic option with fewer barriers to completion.

Here’s how Simons aligns with Arteta’s tactical blueprint:

• Creative versatility: Can play centrally or on either wing, vital for Arteta’s 3-2-5 offensive structure.
• Youth and experience: Just 22 but already capped 28 times by the Netherlands and played in four top European leagues.
• Statistical output: 11 goals and 8 assists last season despite missing two months through injury.
• Technical profile: Strong two-footed ability, close control and press resistance—ideal for possession-dominant systems.
• Mentality match: Wants to be the centrepiece of a project, not a rotation option—something Arteta offers more credibly than Maresca.

Simons would immediately increase competition for starting roles while offering tactical flexibility if either Martin Ødegaard or Bukayo Saka are unavailable. With Champions League football and a clearly defined project, Arsenal looks increasingly like the right platform for his next step.

Our Best Bet

📉 Reasoning

Simons’ public desire to leave, coupled with Leipzig’s willingness to deal and Arsenal’s need for a versatile attacker, forms the backbone of this tip. While Chelsea have shown interest, they lack the clean tactical fit and squad space that Arsenal offer.

The Dutchman:

• Has already played under immense pressure in Paris and Leipzig.
• Is looking for a club that can guarantee both development and minutes.
• Has been on Arsenal’s radar since May and is considered a key alternative to Eze.
• Wants Premier League football, ideally in a team competing on multiple fronts.

With Arsenal ready to offload fringe attackers like Reiss Nelson and potentially Smith Rowe, there’s both budget room and positional space for Simons. At 6/1, this is precisely the type of calculated, early-window play smart punters target.

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🔍 Market Is Moving—But Slowly

The 6/1 quote with Bet365 reflects a momentary lull in official progress, not a lack of interest. All indicators suggest that Arsenal are building towards a serious push—but haven’t shown their full hand yet.

Key signals:

• Leipzig open to sale under £60m due to no European football.
• Simons prefers the Premier League, and specifically a defined role.
• Chelsea have engaged, but their attacking depth could delay a deal.
• Inter Milan’s late interest may distract—but Simons is focused on England.
• Arteta has personally reviewed Simons’ data, according to internal reports.

This market is likely to move fast once Arsenal make an approach. By then, 6/1 could be gone. The logic here is more than speculative—it’s informed by real dynamics in squad building, player motivation, and tactical clarity.Liverpool’s system, strategy and squad evolution all point in the same direction—and so does Rodrygo’s ambition.

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🏟️ Why the Emirates Is the Right Move for Simons

While Chelsea’s recent trophies and finances are appealing, Arsenal offers something more enduring: role clarity, system fit, and a manager with a proven track record of developing elite young talent.

• Direct route into starting XI or rotational role with major minutes
• Elite manager in Arteta who values structure and development
• Champions League exposure, title-challenging squad, and young core
• Room to grow as a central or wide attacking midfielder
• Already familiar with several players through Dutch and youth systems

If Simons wants to move from potential star to true top-tier force, the Emirates is arguably the most suitable stage.

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✅ Why 6/1 with Bet365 Deserves a Closer Look

With odds still floating and no official bid submitted, this market provides a rare combination of logic, value, and upside.

• Arsenal are genuinely interested.
• Simons wants Premier League football.
• Leipzig are ready to sell.
• Chelsea’s squad structure may delay movement.
• Arteta has a defined tactical need Simons would fill.

The 6/1 price will not survive a formal approach. For bettors looking to get ahead of a shift, this is precisely the kind of opportunity worth taking before wider movement makes it mainstream.

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💬 Steve Harrington, Premier League Analyst at BettingTips4You.com, says:

“Simons to Arsenal checks every box—fit, price, ambition, timing. It’s the kind of move that turns into a coup once it happens. At 6/1, the value is exceptional.”

👉 Back Xavi Simons to join Arsenal at 6/1 with Bet365 before the market adjusts. This is smart speculation built on tactical sense and credible traction—not just whispers. 👈

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