Today’s Horse Racing Tips: Wednesday’s Nap of the Day for April 16 at Cheltenham

Get the latest horse racing preview for Wednesday, April 16 horse racing action including the Nap of the Day selected amongst every race on every card in Britain and Ireland. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Today’s Horse Racing betting tips: Wednesday, April 16 at Cheltenham

Can Cheltenham’s Staying Puzzle Be Solved by Returning Form?

• Guard The Moon has won 2 of his 3 races on good ground, showcasing a 67% strike rate in such conditions.
• He recorded a peak RPR of 130 at Newbury earlier this season, better than most of today’s rivals have managed this term.
• Sam Twiston-Davies and Nigel Twiston-Davies combine with a recent 13% and 10% strike rate respectively, showing stable form.

Nap of The Day

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As the spring sun breaks across the Cheltenham hills, anticipation mounts for an action-packed afternoon of jump racing at one of the sport’s spiritual homes. Among the fixtures on offer today, the 3:50pm handicap hurdle over a testing three miles takes centre stage. With seasoned campaigners, progressive novices, and revitalised returners in the line-up, the race promises a competitive and strategic battle on ground expected to ride on the good-to-soft side. A mix of old form lines, fresh seasonal runs and trainer intent makes this a fascinating puzzle for punters and racing enthusiasts alike.

The standout feature of this Class 2 Safran Landing Systems Handicap Hurdle lies not only in its field’s diversity but also in the tightness of the betting markets. With the likes of the progressive Mr Hope Street, the course winner Long Draw, and the re-emerging Zain Nights all taking their chance, the layers are rightly cautious. However, beneath the surface of headline horses and front-page fancies, lies a runner whose earlier campaign marked him out as one to follow—before a couple of setbacks clouded the picture. This is exactly the kind of scenario where value can still be found, provided the right reading of the form.

Nap of the Day: Guard The Moon to win the 3.50 Cheltenham

Returning to more favourable conditions and a race that suits his attributes, Guard The Moon is well positioned to bounce back from recent disappointments. Despite pulling up at the Festival last month and trailing off at Chepstow, those efforts came under notably different circumstances and tougher company. Prior to those efforts, he had been running with real consistency and showing signs of real promise—his early season included back-to-back wins at Hexham and Warwick, both on decent ground and over staying distances.

This 7-year-old, trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies, has a profile that suggests we haven’t seen the ceiling of his ability just yet. His mark of 126 remains fair given his highest RPR of 130 and a track like Cheltenham—where tactical pace matters less and staying power dominates—looks ideal for a horse who already has placed form over similar trips. The rebooking of Sam Twiston-Davies is also a solid indicator of intent, especially considering their past success together. With a trainer striking at 10% and a jockey clicking at 13% over the last fortnight, the partnership appears in decent nick.

More telling, though, is that his best run this term came after an extended break—second to Impose Toi at Newbury, where he posted his career-best RPR of 130. That effort was franked by a strong timefigure (TS 116), which suggests his engine is more than competitive for a contest of this class. If judged solely on that form, he would likely be a few points shorter in the market. The key now is that he returns to that same ground type (good-to-soft) and faces a field that doesn’t include any major standout performer. With pace angles looking moderate and few confirmed front-runners, a well-judged ride could see Guard The Moon settle just behind the leaders before mounting a late rally.

The market currently underestimates him due to his latest poor showing in much deeper waters. Back in calmer conditions, off a fair weight, and returning to the sort of track and ground that suit, there’s every reason to expect a bold run from a horse who has already shown he can land a decent blow at this level.

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