It’s been an exceptional week for horse racing tips from Herrin Kendrick, and he’s looking to continue his winning streak with selections at today’s racecourses, including Haydock, Ascot, and the Curragh. As we dive into today’s events, Saturday, August 10th, promises to be full of exciting contests across the board. Read on to explore the top tips for the day, including the much-anticipated Nap of the Day.
Horse Racing Tips Saturday 10th August 2024
Nap of the Day Selection
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Races Previews For Today’s, Saturday 10th August at Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield
Today’s racing schedule features several intriguing contests, with races at Haydock, Ascot, and the Curragh offering a mix of high-calibre competitors and tricky handicaps. Each of these races presents its own set of challenges, from testing stamina over extended distances to quick bursts of speed on shorter tracks. The selections will reflect a balanced approach, highlighting horses that have shown promise in recent outings, along with those who could potentially cause an upset.
The 4.45 at Haydock: A Clash of Talent
The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes at Haydock is a key race today, attracting a competitive field. Indelible is the early favourite, and rightfully so, given her consistent performances this season. However, the price on Naomi Lapaglia is worth considering. Richard Spencer’s four-year-old filly has shown significant improvement this term, with her last two runs marking career-best performances. Her fourth-place finish in a Listed race at Deauville and a third-place finish behind Friendly Soul in a Group 3 at Ascot highlight her growing form. Although she was outpaced by the winner at Ascot, her ability to rally from the back of the field suggests she’s a strong contender, especially if the ground remains firm.
Dora Milaje is another interesting runner in this race. Despite being the outsider, this lightly-raced four-year-old has shown glimpses of quality. Her win over a mile and a quarter at Haydock earlier in the season was particularly eye-catching, and she may well appreciate the return to a mile today. Although her last two attempts in Listed company didn’t yield the desired results, there are reasons to believe she could surprise the field if ridden more conservatively.
The Shergar Cup Mile at Ascot: A Test of Class
The Shergar Cup meeting at Ascot is always divisive among racing fans, but it undeniably adds an element of intrigue to the day’s proceedings. In the final race, the Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile, Tacarib Bay catches the eye. Trained by Richard Hannon, this five-year-old has struggled to replicate his earlier successes but has shown flashes of ability, particularly when winning a Listed race at Newcastle last November.
Despite a recent run of poor form, his effort at Newcastle two starts ago was commendable, given he was drawn away from the action. A return to a mile might just be what he needs to get back to winning ways, and with jockey Tadhg O’Shea in the saddle, there’s potential for a strong showing.
Theme Park, running in the 2.25 at Haydock, also deserves attention. After some inconsistent performances earlier this season, the four-year-old bounced back with a win at York over an extended seven furlongs. His ability to finish strongly in a race where it paid to be on the pace indicates that he’s well-suited to today’s conditions. A step back up to a mile should play to his strengths, especially if he gets a strong pace to aim at.
The 3.00 at Haydock: A Key Event for the Day
Anmaat is the standout name in the 3.00 at Haydock, the Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes. This six-year-old has had a disrupted career due to injury but has consistently shown his class when fit. His victory in the same race last year, followed by a win in the Prix Dollar at Longchamp, underlines his ability.
Although he hasn’t been seen since winning the Group One Prix d’Ispahan at ParisLongchamp, he’s proven capable of running well fresh, and trainer Owen Burrows has a knack for getting horses ready after a layoff. Given his form and the conditions today, Anmaat looks set to put in another top performance.
Newmarket’s Sweet Solera Stakes: A Rising Star
Over at Newmarket, the JenningsBet Sweet Solera Stakes offers a glimpse of potential future stars. Lake Victoria, a Frankel filly trained by Aidan O’Brien, is making her Group race debut after an impressive maiden win at the Curragh.
Being out of Commonwealth Cup winner Quiet Reflection, she has a top-class pedigree, and her narrow victory over Red Letter, who subsequently won by a significant margin, suggests she’s ready to step up in class. Her progress will be fascinating to watch, and she has every chance of making a successful transition to Group company today.
Horse Racing Tips For Today’s, Saturday 10th August at Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield
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Naomi Lapaglia, a four-year-old filly trained by Richard Spencer, presents a compelling case as a strong contender in the 4.45 at Haydock, especially when examining her recent performances in detail. While she enters the race priced behind the favourite, Indelible, this assessment arguably undervalues her genuine prospects based on her recent form and her ability to handle a variety of race conditions.
Her standout performance came most recently in a Group 3 race at Ascot, where she finished a commendable third. What is particularly noteworthy about this effort is the manner in which she achieved this result. Naomi Lapaglia was held up at the back of the field for the majority of the race, a position from which it is often challenging to mount a serious challenge. Despite this, she displayed a remarkable turn of foot in the final stages, managing to close the gap significantly on the front runners. This ability to finish strongly, even when coming from a seemingly disadvantaged position, speaks volumes about her tenacity and latent potential.
Moreover, the race conditions at Haydock could play into Naomi Lapaglia’s hands. She has proven her adaptability on various ground types, having shown effectiveness on both quick and rain-softened ground. This versatility is a crucial asset, particularly given the unpredictable weather leading up to race day. The Haydock track, which can vary in firmness depending on recent weather, should pose no significant threat to her performance. If the ground remains firm, as it was during her Ascot run, Naomi Lapaglia’s closing speed could become a decisive factor. On the other hand, if the rain intervenes and the ground softens, her ability to perform on such surfaces, demonstrated in past outings, ensures that she remains a viable threat.
Additionally, the filly’s development over the past year cannot be understated. She was a progressive sort last season, but this term she has stepped up her game, registering career-best performances according to Racing Post Ratings. This improvement trajectory suggests that she is still on the upward curve, potentially reaching new heights with each race. In a field where several of her competitors are either unproven at this level or potentially unsuited to the race conditions, Naomi Lapaglia’s consistency and continued improvement offer a solid foundation for success.
Given these factors, Naomi Lapaglia represents an excellent value bet, particularly when considering that she has already competed effectively against higher-rated horses. Her tactical versatility, combined with her proven ability to handle various ground conditions, makes her a formidable opponent in this field. If she is ridden with similar patience and allowed to unleash her closing burst, there is every chance that she could challenge Indelible and even surpass her, making Naomi Lapaglia a solid selection for the 4.45 at Haydock.
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Tacarib Bay’s recent form may not immediately inspire confidence, but a closer inspection reveals that there are valid reasons to consider him a strong contender in the Shergar Cup Mile at Ascot. This five-year-old, trained by Richard Hannon, has had a somewhat inconsistent career, but he has shown flashes of brilliance that suggest he is capable of more than his recent results indicate.
One of the key factors working in Tacarib Bay’s favour today is the drop back to a mile. In his last few outings, Tacarib Bay has been tested over varying distances, but his best performances have typically come over the mile trip. This return to a more familiar distance could help him rediscover his best form, particularly as he has shown a preference for this distance on Ascot’s straight course in the past.
Furthermore, the Shergar Cup format may play to Tacarib Bay’s strengths. The nature of the competition, which often involves international jockeys with varied experience of the course, can lead to tactical races that require both stamina and sharp racecraft. Tacarib Bay’s experience at Ascot, coupled with the expertise of his jockey, Tadhg O’Shea, who has a wealth of experience and has previously ridden winners at Ascot, could give him an edge over less experienced rivals. O’Shea’s familiarity with the track and his ability to judge the pace of the race could be crucial in extracting the best from Tacarib Bay.
Another point to consider is Tacarib Bay’s handicap mark, which has dropped to a career-low level. This reduction reflects his recent dip in form, but it also means he is now racing off a much more lenient mark than in previous outings. Given that he has been competing in stronger races, this lower mark could be the key to seeing him return to the winners’ circle. His past performances suggest that he is more than capable of running a big race off this mark, especially when faced with slightly weaker opposition than he has encountered recently.
Moreover, the presence of likely pace-setters in the race could work to Tacarib Bay’s advantage. Horses like Spirit Catcher and Tempus are expected to push the pace early on, which could set the race up for a closer like Tacarib Bay, who tends to do his best work in the latter stages. If the early fractions are indeed brisk, Tacarib Bay could find himself perfectly positioned to capitalise in the final furlong, making a late charge towards the line.
In summary, while Tacarib Bay’s recent form figures may not be the most appealing on paper, there are several factors that suggest he could bounce back today. The drop in distance, a favourable handicap mark, and the presence of a seasoned jockey all contribute to his potential to outperform expectations in the Shergar Cup Mile.
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Theme Park, a four-year-old from the Nigel Tinkler yard, is a horse who has shown glimpses of real ability, particularly when conditions have fallen in his favour. His recent win at York, where he came from off the pace to secure victory over an extended seven furlongs, suggests that he is hitting form at just the right time, making him a strong contender in today’s 2.25 at Haydock.
One of the most compelling aspects of Theme Park’s profile is his ability to handle fast ground. His best performances have come when the ground has been on the firmer side, and today’s conditions at Haydock are expected to suit him perfectly. His win at York was particularly impressive because it came in a race where the pace was not overly strong, yet he was able to make up significant ground in the final stages. This ability to accelerate late in the race, even when the early fractions are slow, is a valuable trait, especially in today’s contest where a similar scenario could unfold.
The step back up to a mile should also be in Theme Park’s favour. Although he has shown versatility over different distances, his pedigree and running style suggest that a mile is his optimum trip. The Haydock track, with its long straight, should allow him to settle early before unleashing his finishing kick in the final furlongs. If he can replicate the turn of foot he showed at York, he could well prove difficult to beat.
Moreover, the race dynamics appear to be shaping up in Theme Park’s favour. With several potential front-runners in the field, there is likely to be a strong pace, which will suit a horse like Theme Park who prefers to come from behind. If the early leaders go too fast, it could play perfectly into his hands, allowing him to pick them off in the closing stages.
Another point in Theme Park’s favour is his previous form against high-quality opposition. Last season, he ran some excellent races in competitive three-year-old handicaps, often finishing close behind horses who have gone on to perform well in higher grades. This suggests that Theme Park has the ability to compete at a higher level than today’s race, and if he can produce a performance close to his best, he should be right in the mix.
In addition, his current handicap mark appears workable, particularly given the way he won at York. The handicapper has raised him 4lb for that victory, but this could still underestimate his potential, especially if he continues to improve as expected. His previous form off higher marks suggests that he is still well-treated and capable of winning again under similar conditions.
In conclusion, Theme Park looks to be peaking at just the right time, and the conditions at Haydock should suit him perfectly. With a strong pace likely and the step back up to a mile in his favour, he is well-positioned to follow up his recent success with another big run today.
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Anmaat, the six-year-old trained by Owen Burrows, is undoubtedly the class act in the 3.00 at Haydock, the Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes. His career has been somewhat disrupted by injury, but when he’s on song, there are few in this field who can match his level of ability. Today’s race represents his return to action after a layoff, and while there are always risks associated with backing a horse first time out after a break, Anmaat’s previous record suggests he is more than capable of winning fresh, making him a prime candidate for today’s Nap of the Day.
Anmaat’s career has been characterised by moments of brilliance, notably when winning this very race last year. That victory was followed by a superb win in the Group 2 Prix Dollar at Longchamp, where he beat a strong field to underline his status as a top-class middle-distance performer. His form in 2022 was exceptional, and his subsequent second place behind Derby winner Adayar in the Gordon Richards Stakes earlier this year showed that he has lost none of his ability.
What makes Anmaat particularly appealing today is his proven ability to perform at the highest level, even after a break. His trainer, Owen Burrows, has demonstrated a knack for bringing horses back in peak condition after a layoff, and there is every indication that Anmaat has been prepared meticulously for this race. Given his class and Burrows’ expertise, there is every reason to believe that Anmaat will be ready to fire on all cylinders.
The conditions at Haydock should also suit Anmaat well. He has shown a preference for good to firm ground, which is likely to be the case today. The Haydock course, with its long straight, will allow him to use his powerful stride to full effect, particularly in the closing stages where his stamina and class should come to the fore. His ability to handle varying ground conditions further enhances his appeal, as he has performed well on both firm and slightly softer going in the past.
In terms of competition, Anmaat faces a field that, while talented, may lack the same level of proven Group 1 quality. Many of his rivals today are either stepping up in class or have questions to answer regarding their current form. In contrast, Anmaat’s form is rock-solid, and if he runs anywhere near his best, he should prove too strong for this field.
Another factor to consider is Anmaat’s tactical versatility. He has shown that he can win from the front or come from behind, depending on how the race unfolds. This adaptability gives his jockey, Jim Crowley, multiple options during the race, allowing him to respond to the pace and positioning of the other runners. Crowley’s experience and understanding of Anmaat will be crucial, and their partnership has already yielded significant success.
Given all these factors, Anmaat stands out as the best bet of the day. His combination of class, proven ability to perform after a layoff, and the expertise of his trainer make him the one to beat in the Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes. As the Nap of the Day, he represents the strongest chance of delivering a victory for backers.
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