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Get the latest horse racing preview for Thursday, 16 October horse racing action including the Nap of the Day selected amongst every race on every card in Britain and Ireland. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
3:07 Carlisle (C3 3m½f Hcp Chase): Your Own Story stays strongly; consistent placer; mark fair; yard flying; handles course; positive ride to grind late; 3/1.
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Today's Horse Racing betting tips: Thursday 16 October Nap Of The Day Tip
Can Carlisle Witness a Story Worth Telling in the Staying Chase?
- Your Own Story has finished second in 9 of his 21 career starts, underlining exceptional consistency.
- Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore’s yard holds a 19% win rate across the past fortnight.
- Your Own Story boasts a 50% place record at Carlisle, showing clear affinity for the course.
Thursday’s card at Carlisle presents a compelling afternoon of National Hunt action, headlined by the 3:07 Vesta Wealth Handicap Chase — a Challenger Staying Chase Series Qualifier over a gruelling three miles and half a furlong. This Class 3 contest for horses aged four and above promises a stern examination of endurance and jumping precision, particularly on Carlisle’s undulating course which demands both balance and resilience.
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Among the declared field are several seasoned chasers looking to make their mark early in the season. Dare To Shout returns after a solid campaign last term, having proved effective when fresh, while the evergreen Almazhar Garde lines up seeking a third consecutive success after two impressive wins at Worcester. Presentandcounting adds further intrigue, an experienced eleven-year-old who has shown consistency in his recent outings and is no stranger to these testing distances.
Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore are double-handed with Your Own Story and Inis Oirr, both of whom bring experience and stamina credentials to the contest. Jet Legs completes the line-up, representing Martin Todhunter’s yard, and although his form was somewhat mixed last term, he retains the potential to run a big race on his return. With conditions expected to test staying power, this looks an ideal platform for a horse with proven endurance to strike early in the campaign.
Nap of the Day: Your Own Story to Win the 3:07 Carlisle
Here at BettingTips4You, we take pride in providing just one carefully selected tip per event — focusing on quality rather than quantity. Our aim is to identify the standout opportunity of the day, allowing readers to follow a single, well-reasoned selection with full confidence. For today’s action at Carlisle, our Nap of the Day is Your Own Story to claim the 3:07 Handicap Chase.
Why Back This Selection
Your Own Story, trained by the partnership of Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore, looks particularly well-positioned for a bold run on his seasonal reappearance. Although his overall strike-rate over fences is modest, he has developed a notable consistency, recording multiple second-place finishes across his last campaign. That pattern of near misses hints at a horse who possesses both the stamina and the commitment required for these demanding staying chases, but who may only need a touch of fortune to convert effort into victory.
The gelding’s record at Carlisle stands out positively, having previously performed well at the track. His most recent efforts in higher-grade company — including a close second at Kelso and a solid run at Punchestown — suggest he retains the form and drive to compete effectively at this level. Carrying 11st 9lb off a mark of 126, he appears well-handicapped relative to rivals such as Almazhar Garde, who faces a rise in weights after successive wins, and Dare To Shout, who concedes a full three pounds.
Patrick Wadge, though currently without a winner in the past fortnight, knows the horse well and has guided him to several strong efforts. The yard’s 19% strike-rate over the last two weeks reflects solid overall form, offering reassurance that Your Own Story will arrive ready to perform. With proven staying ability and a tendency to thrive at this type of trip, he appeals as a horse poised to capitalise on ideal conditions and perhaps finally gain a deserved return to the winner’s enclosure.
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