Today’s Horse Racing Tips: Nap of the Day, best bets around the tracks for Thursday 11 September

Get the latest horse racing preview for Thursday, 11 September horse racing action including the Nap of the Day selected amongst every race on every card in Britain and Ireland. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Today’s Horse Racing betting tips: Thursday 11 September Nap Of The Day Tip

Could proven course craft and rain-friendly stamina decide Epsom’s feature handicap late on?

• Mostawaa line up from the same rating (73) used to win this race on soft ground last year
• Carlisle third on soft this June indicates form remains intact off a similar mark
• Tronido face a 6lb hike after a recent soft-ground stroll and must prove themselves at Epsom

Nap of The Day

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Epsom’s afternoon programme builds steadily towards the 4:25, a Class 5 handicap over the idiosyncratic mile and a half-furlong, where course nuance and ground management often sort the contenders from the pretenders. The field is a varied mix of recent winners, returning projects and Epsom-savvy types, with the draw adding its own layer of puzzle on this famous switchback.

Atlantis Blue return after a below-par spin but had shaped well prior, while Ombrecell step back after making a winning yard and handicap debut on the all-weather before a solid follow-up; both arrive with untapped upside. Tronido come here riding the crest of a soft-ground romp a fortnight ago and must negotiate a 6lb nudge.

Magical Merlin have kept their form neatly this summer and tend to run Epsom well, whereas Oj Lifestyle have posted respectable efforts at the track and around Brighton of late. Blenheim Star keep finding the frame in cheekpieces, Buy The Dip drifted out of nick after a mid-summer win, and Beau Jardine edge down the weights without yet rediscovering spring verve.

Mostawaa, crucially, are back down to a mark of 73, the same rating from which they landed this very race on soft ground last year. With rain forecast, underfoot ease could again be pivotal on a course where rhythm, balance and tactical nous are paramount. Trainers and jockeys carry mixed recent returns: Heather Main are 0-10 in the last fortnight, while Mason Paetel are 0-16 in that same window, yet the combination are reunited with a horse who knows this cambered stretch intimately.

Nap of the Day

Here at bettingtips4you we only provide a single prediction rather than many different ones, as we believe in quality and not quantity and only give out the best tip per event. This will also make it easier for readers that don’t have to worry about what selection to go for and also it is more accountable as we can easily evaluate our tips profitability as we only give out a clear best bet for event: Mostawaa to win 4.25 Epsom

Epsom’s 1m½f handicap revolves around who handle the likely easing ground and the camber when the race begins to quicken past Tattenham Corner. Mostawaa tick those boxes better than most because the gelding return to an identical handicap mark (73) to the one used to win this last year on soft. The recent run at Windsor can be binned given the combination of quicker ground and a hotter Class 2; before that, there were fair mid-pack efforts and a solid Carlisle third on soft off similar ratings, all pointing to a horse running to mark despite unfavourable conditions. Back at Epsom, over the exact trip of the September success, the setup is practically tailored.

The forecast rain brings them firmly into the equation, and the race tempo should suit a handy, experienced type who can hold a position and lengthen rather than rely on a sharp turn of foot. Mostawaa have repeatedly shown they are tractable and brave on undulations, evidenced by previous Epsom winning form and a career record that has thrived when stamina at the mile is properly tested. Tronido are dangerous after that soft-ground demolition, but a 6lb rise asks a new question at a track they still need to answer.

Atlantis Blue and Ombrecell bring promise, yet they lack the course-and-conditions lock that Mostawaa possess. Mason Paetel’s recent numbers are lean, but that masks the more relevant bond here: familiarity with the horse and a return to the precise race conditions that unlocked a decisive performance twelve months ago. With the handicapper relenting to the winning figure and the weather playing ball, the value tilts towards a repeat.

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