Get the latest horse racing preview for Monday, 15 September horse racing action including the Nap of the Day selected amongst every race on every card in Britain and Ireland. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Today’s Horse Racing betting tips: Monday 15 September Nap Of The Day Tip
Could the late-summer Thirsk sprint hinge on one breakthrough performer?
- Hockney’s post-surgery handicap debut suggested he ran about 20lb ahead of his mark, leaving him attractive under a penalty
- Jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin is 2-13 (15%) in the last 14 days; trainer Tom Dascombe 1-11 (9%)
- Market rivals include B Associates (consistent recent seconds) and The Green Man (class drop), yet both face a well-in rival
Nap of The Day
Hockney to win 3.50 Thirsk | |
6/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Hockney arrives transformed after wind surgery, crushing his handicap debut and still well treated under a penalty. His speed-laden pedigree, favourable draw and positive jockey-trainer form strengthen confidence. With key rivals inconsistent or down in grade, his tactical pace and current wellbeing point to another decisive 6f success. |
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Thirsk stages a competitive afternoon where sprint handicappers take centre stage, culminating in the 3:50, the 6f Sapphire Selling Handicap for three- to six-year-olds rated 0-65. The feature heat assembles a varied cast mixing progressive three-year-olds with seasoned older sprinters, many dropping in grade or tinkered with headgear as connections search for an angle.
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Markets are understandably warm about recent improver Hockney, who reappears under a penalty after a dominant all-weather success at Lingfield last week over the same trip. He is joined by pace-influenced types such as The Green Man and B Associates, both with previous winning form at the distance, while Speaktotheguvnor steps into handicaps after a solid first run for his new yard.
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One Of Our Own, usually happiest on a faster surface, keeps things honest from a workable mark; Dazy Mazy returns sporting new headgear and looks well treated if the rain arrives. Laurens Dream has been hitting the frame and should be thereabouts with a repeat of recent efforts, whereas Line Of Force has fallen in the weights and hinted he may be nearing a competitive level again.
Others like Tuscan Point and Go On Rosie have questions to answer on consistency, and Ottawa drops significantly in class attempting to recapture early promise. With several making stable or class switches and a smattering of three-year-olds open to progress, the 3:50 shapes as the pivotal race on the card.
Nap of the Day
Here at bettingtips4you we only provide a single prediction rather than many different ones, as we believe in quality and not quantity and only give out the best tip per event. This will also make it easier for readers that don’t have to worry about what selection to go for and also it is more accountable as we can easily evaluate our tips profitability as we only give out a clear best bet for event: Hockney to win 3.50 Thirsk
Hockney looked a different animal on his first start after wind surgery, bursting clear over 6f at Lingfield on handicap debut and clocking a figure that implied he operated roughly a stone and a half ahead of his official mark. The resulting penalty still leaves him very favourably treated on the evidence of that romp, and the switch from the all-weather to turf should not blunt his edge given his earlier runs came on grass and his pedigree (by Showcasing out of a Starspangledbanner mare) screams speed on most surfaces.
Tom Dascombe’s team have been ticking over in the past fortnight and the trainer’s overall 27% strike-rate from limited seasonal runners suggests placement has been sharp; meanwhile, Pierre-Louis Jamin has been riding with confidence, returning a 15% win rate in the last two weeks and an eye-catching 38% overall strike-rate from a smaller sample this season.
This is a selling handicap, and several rivals are either out of form, inconsistent or rebuilding confidence. The likely pace scenario also suits: Hockney travels strongly, and with others such as The Green Man and B Associates liable to keep it honest, the race should set up for a well-handicapped closer who can quicken. Future figures indicate he remains well in relative to his burden today, and with a clean break from stall 5, his tactical speed should carry him into a prominent slot before asserting late. If he reproduces anything close to last week’s surge, the rest may be running for places.
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