Thursday’s Football Tips: Spain’s Firepower and Greece’s Home Strength

Thursday’s top betting selection focuses on the Netherlands vs Spain clash in the Nations League quarter-finals. Spain’s free-flowing attack comes up against a Dutch side struggling defensively, making for an intriguing contest.

Let’s dive into Thursday’s top football betting tips!

Our experts have studied the stats, assessed the form, and picked four standout bets that promise great value. Let’s dive into their selections.

Netherlands vs Spain

Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

Spain’s bid to retain their Nations League crown takes them to Rotterdam, where they face a Netherlands side with clear defensive frailties. Ronald Koeman’s team have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five home Nations League fixtures, which is a worrying trend heading into this quarter-final clash.

Meanwhile, Spain have been lethal in front of goal, scoring at least twice in 13 of their last 19 matches across all competitions. Even when playing away, they have maintained their attacking output, netting two or more in their last two Nations League away games. With a well-balanced attack that includes Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Alvaro Morata, Spain have a variety of ways to break down opposition defences.

Koeman’s squad has quality in certain areas, but their backline has looked vulnerable throughout this competition. With seven goals conceded in the group stage, they were one of the leakiest teams among the top-ranked nations. Given Spain’s dominance in possession and ability to create high-quality chances, they should have little trouble breaking through the Dutch defence. Expect La Roja to find the net at least twice in what should be an entertaining fixture.

Best Bet – Spain to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Greece vs Scotland

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

Scotland’s struggles away from home make this a difficult challenge against a disciplined and in-form Greece side. Steve Clarke’s team have lost six of their last nine matches on the road, and their lack of a consistent attacking focal point could be a major issue in this match.

Greece, on the other hand, have been one of Europe’s most disciplined defensive teams, keeping five clean sheets in their last seven games. Their only defensive lapse in that time came against England, who needed a strong attacking display to find the net.

The Greeks have also been impressive going forward, scoring at least two goals in six of their last seven fixtures. With Christos Tzolis and Vangelis Pavlidis leading the charge, the hosts should have enough firepower to see off Scotland. Given the Scots’ away-day struggles and Greece’s defensive structure, backing a Greece win looks like an excellent bet.

Best Bet – Greece to Win

Italy vs Germany

Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

A showdown between two European heavyweights rarely disappoints, and this Nations League quarter-final should be no exception. Both Italy and Germany have shown attacking quality but also defensive frailties, making a Both Teams to Score bet a strong selection.

Italy’s defensive record is concerning—they have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten matches. Even when performing well in the Nations League group stage, they still conceded in three of their home fixtures. Luciano Spalletti’s attacking system leaves space at the back, something a team like Germany can exploit.

Germany, meanwhile, have been involved in goal-filled encounters, with all three of their away matches in the Nations League group stage seeing both teams score. Their high-tempo attacking approach means they will create chances, but they are also prone to leaving gaps in defence. With Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sané in attack and Alexander Nübel likely to deputise in goal, the potential for goals at both ends is high.

Best Bet – Both Teams to Score

Croatia vs France – France to Win

John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

France head into this Nations League quarter-final as clear favourites against a Croatia side that has struggled for consistency. Didier Deschamps’ team topped their group with 13 points, while Croatia barely scraped through with just eight.

The French squad is packed with attacking options, with Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and Randal Kolo Muani leading the charge. They have also been excellent away from home, winning each of their last three away games by an aggregate score of 9-3.

Croatia have been resilient at home, losing just one of their last seven matches on their own soil, but their record against France is poor. They have won just one of their last ten meetings with Les Bleus, making a France win the most logical bet.

Best Bet – France to Win

Thursday’s Super Double

For those looking for a two-leg combo with solid value, here is our recommended Daily Super Double:

Selection 1: Netherlands vs Spain – Over 2.5 Goals

Spain’s attack, combined with the Netherlands’ defensive weaknesses, should result in a high-scoring contest.

Selection 2: Italy vs Germany – Germany to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Germany’s attacking options are strong, and Italy’s defensive frailties make two German goals a likely outcome.

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