The Open Championship Betting Tips

Golf betting expert John Pentin delivered winning bets at The Masters and US Open, and previews The Open at Hoylake in search of of more wins. Read on to find the tips and predictions and make the most of the selected bookies offers for maximise your betting value in this huge event.


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The Open Championship Betting

The Open Championship Betting Tips | Thursday 20th July to Sunday 23rd July 2023

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Main Bet: Dustin Johnson To Win

A Chronicle of the Championship

A strategic calendar revision four years back elevated the Open Championship, also known as the British Open, to the concluding major tournament of the year. This event is not only the oldest among the four majors but is also considered the most prestigious. Distinguished by its organisation under the aegis of the Royal and Ancient Golf Club of St. Andrews (R&A), the Open Championship is unique for being the only major held outside the United States. It all began in 1860 when Willie Park emerged as the first champion. As we stand today, we’re about to witness the 151st edition of this storied competition.

The Open Championship has the unique tradition of rotating through different courses, but it always unfolds on a links course. This year, we’re headed back to Royal Liverpool, nine years since the championship was last held there.

The Stage – Royal Liverpool

Situated in Hoylake, England, Royal Liverpool has a rich history. Established as a golf course in 1869, it was originally a racecourse perched beside the River Dee. This makes it the second oldest seaside links course in England, right after Royal North Devon.

The upcoming championship marks the 13th occasion that Hoylake has been selected as the venue. In its history, it has been graced by several prominent figures who emerged as Open champions. The list includes esteemed players like Harold Hill, Bobby Jones, J. H Taylor, Walter Hagen, and Peter Thomson. More recently, the last two Open editions at Hoylake were won by three-time Open champion, Tiger Woods (2006), and Rory McIlroy (2014).

Course Insights

Royal Liverpool has undergone subtle yet significant modifications over the years. In 2006, when Woods used his irons masterfully on the arid, solid course to achieve an 18-under-par victory, the course had a different character compared to the lusher conditions under which McIlroy triumphed with a 17-under-par score in 2014. The course was slightly lengthened by 54 yards for the 2014 edition. For the upcoming championship, the changes are more substantial, transforming the field in a more prominent way.

The Anticipation of a McIlroy Win

Having been 3264 days since McIlroy’s Open victory at Hoylake, there’s much anticipation of his possible triumph this year. Considering his incredible prowess and the four majors he claimed within a span of a little over three years, it seems plausible. Despite some near misses, such as losing to Patrick Reed at Augusta in 2018, letting slip the Claret Jug at St Andrews in 2022, and being one stroke short in the US Open in 2023, McIlroy’s performance has remained remarkable.

The upcoming championship provides McIlroy a golden opportunity to break this dry spell and remind the world of his indisputable talent. Interestingly, he has performed exceedingly well in Open championships with more top-five finishes than in other majors, hinting at a potential edge in the forthcoming tournament.

Weather and Course Advantage

Two significant factors have aligned in favour of McIlroy: the course conditions and the weather. Contrary to expectations of a hard, dry course reminiscent of 2006, the forecast indicates that the Royal Liverpool will be more akin to its greener 2014 version. This implies that McIlroy, known for hitting drivers more frequently and effectively, might benefit from the course conditions and the extended par-fives in the latter half of the course.

The Big Three and One Dark Horse

McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Jon Rahm are indisputably the top three golfers in the current scene. Adding Cameron Smith or Brooks Koepka to the mix expands the circle of frontrunners to five. Each golfer brings a unique flavour to the championship, but one stands out for his brilliant performance on the final Sunday: Rory McIlroy. One more victory could prove transformative for him, reestablishing his status in golf history.

Should Koepka or Rahm emerge victorious, they will be at the brink of golfing immortality, on par with McIlroy. But there’s another player whose prowess shouldn’t be overlooked: Dustin Johnson. With a commendable track record in the Open Championship and recent victories, Johnson is a strong contender whose betting odds of 30/1 make him an enticing prospect.

Betting on Dustin Johnson

One cannot ignore Dustin Johnson’s consistent performances over the past years. As a major player in the LIV Golf circuit, Johnson has enhanced his Open record with five top-10 finishes out of 13 participations. His performances have demonstrated a high level of skill and precision, positioning him as a worthy bet in this year’s championship.

Johnson’s victory at the US Open marked a significant turnaround in his career. His outstanding iron play at Valderrama and ranking second at Centurion indicate his readiness for the Open Championship. Johnson’s current form, combined with the favourable conditions of Royal Liverpool, certainly enhance his chances for a remarkable performance at the Open Championship.

In conclusion, as we approach the Open Championship, the betting scene is full of exciting possibilities. With seasoned players like Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Dustin Johnson, it promises to be a tournament packed with thrilling moments and outstanding golf. The real question now is, who will lift the Claret Jug this year? As a first option we going for Dustin Johnson as it does represent great value at the current price.

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at