Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons Predictions and Best Bets – NFL tips and preview

Atlanta Falcons host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Thursday’s NFL action. Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season begins with two teams, both coming off impressive victories, set to face each other in Thursday Night Football. Click here for the latest tips, analysis, and best bets for this matchup.

NFL | Oct 3rd, 2024 at 1:15am UK at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Will the Buccaneers Outshine the Falcons in a High-Stakes NFC South Battle?
  • Tampa Bay have beaten the spread in 75% of their games this season.
  • Atlanta haven’t covered the spread as a home favourite this year.
  • Baker Mayfield has a sparkling passer rating of 101.7 against the Falcons.

Our Tips

Kansas City Chiefs +2
10/11 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing the Kansas City Chiefs +2 seems a smart bet, given their knack for winning despite challenges, strong defensive play, and Andy Reid’s post-bye tactical advantage. While San Francisco has talent, Kansas City's consistency and creativity give them the edge.
Total Points Under 47
10/11 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing under 47 points seems wise, as both teams boast strong run defences, limiting ground play. Offensive inconsistencies, key injuries, and turnover issues suggest a more defensive game, likely falling short of the points total.

Anticipation is bubbling over as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers march into Atlanta for Thursday night’s showdown with the Falcons. With the NFC South as unpredictable as British weather, both teams know that a win here could be a game-changer. The Buccaneers are keen to keep their perch at the top, while the Falcons wouldn’t mind knocking them off and sharing the view.

Best Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Money Line

Let’s face it, backing the Buccaneers at 21/20 feels like finding a tenner in your old coat pocket. Tampa Bay are flying high after dismantling the Eagles, and Baker Mayfield seems to have found his mojo. Throwing for 347 yards and a couple of touchdowns, Mayfield looked like he was playing a video game on easy mode. If he keeps that up, the Falcons’ defence might be in for a long night.

Meanwhile, the Falcons are coming off a win that, quite frankly, felt like a fluke. They didn’t score a single offensive touchdown against the Saints and had to rely on a muffed punt return and a pick-six to scrape by. Their supposed offensive weapon, Kyle Pitts, was about as effective as a chocolate teapot—zero catches on three targets. Unless they can figure out how to get him involved, they might as well be playing with ten men.

Then there’s the little issue of Kirk Cousins. The poor chap is still hobbling back from an Achilles injury and trying to learn a new playbook. It’s like starting a new job on crutches—hardly ideal. And let’s not forget the injury woes of their star running back, Bijan Robinson, who’s grappling with a hamstring problem. If he’s not at full tilt, the Falcons’ offence could be as flat as a pancake.

On the betting front, the Buccaneers have been the gift that keeps on giving, covering the spread in three out of four games. The Falcons, however, have been about as reliable as a British train schedule, failing to cover the spread in three of four outings. Considering all this, putting your faith in the Buccaneers seems not just smart but almost obligatory.

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Second Prediction: Totals Over 44

Now, let’s talk points. Betting on the total to go over 44 might just be the easiest decision since saying yes to free cake. The Buccaneers are scoring for fun lately, and even if Mike Evans is a bit banged up, they’ve got enough firepower to light up the scoreboard. Baker Mayfield is playing like he’s got something to prove—and perhaps he does.

The Falcons might be struggling offensively, but they’re not completely hopeless. Playing at home could be the catalyst they need. Maybe Kirk Cousins finally clicks with his receivers, and perhaps Kyle Pitts remembers he’s supposed to catch the ball. Stranger things have happened.

Defensively, both teams have shown cracks. The Falcons allowed a whopping 366 yards to the Saints, and the Buccaneers might be missing key defensive pieces like Antoine Winfield. If both offences exploit these weaknesses, we could be in for a high-scoring affair that sails past the 44-point mark. After all, life’s too short to bet the under.

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Graham Hartshorn
With more than 10 years of business expertise, Graham Hartshorn is a recognized authority on sports betting. He is the betting coordinator for @BTips4You, where he provides content for football fans.  Graham  is a reliable source for sports betting advice and analysis because of his enthusiasm for the business and his successful track record over the years.